Sat.Oct 26, 2024 - Fri.Nov 01, 2024

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Sunday links: controlling your vote

Abnormal Returns

Markets Jeff Somer, "Hedging and prediction markets are certainly worth knowing about, but for financial well-being, I believe that straightforward strategies are superior for most of us — as long as the great U.S. experiment endures." (nytimes.com) On the danger of forecasting decade-long returns. (tker.co) The problem with broad emerging market indices.

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Why Advertising “Conflict-Free” Advice Could Violate The SEC’s Marketing Rule

Nerd's Eye View

As fiduciaries, financial advisors are required to disclose any conflicts of interest that exist between themselves and their current and potential clients. The conflicts themselves can range from compensation models that impact how much money an advisor might earn as the result of a recommendation (such as specific product recommendations for advisors compensated on commission and 401(k) plan rollover recommendations for AUM-based advisors) to less direct conflicts such as 'soft dollar' benefit

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MiB: Annie Lamont, Managing Partner of Oak HC/FT

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Annie Lamont, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Oak HC/FT. Prior to founding Oak HC/FT in 2014, Annie spent 28 years at Oak Investment Partners, where she served as a Managing Partner and led the healthcare and fintech practices. Annie has been named to Forbes’ Midas List as well as Fortune’s Top 20 Private Equity Power Players and Modern Healthcare’s 100 Most Influential People.

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5 Reasons to Think About Long-Term Care Planning Today

Carson Wealth

I once received an email from a family friend about long-term care insurance. He was frustrated over a premium increase – which wasn’t the first rate hike. Yet, he was thankful for the policy. Despite the rising cost, he knew the importance of long-term care insurance in helping protect himself and his family. Mostly because he knew the alternative and had seen examples of it play out time and time again.

Planning 141
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Research links: multi-period compounding

Abnormal Returns

History You can't tell the story of indexing without the late John “Mac” McQuown. (on.ft.com) Mutual funds have been around for a 100 years now. (fhmagazine.org) Joachim Klement, "In economics, finance, politics, and most social sciences we create models with an error term and then conveniently ignore the error term as ‘noise.’ (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Global Increased globalization helps explain rising correlations.

Economics 290

More Trending

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish Blend coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Savers Bid a Sad Farewell to Higher Yields : Interest rates on CDs and savings accounts are down and expected to keep falling. A mourning period is under way for the all too brief era of 5% yields. ( Wall Street Journal ) • Goldman Sachs cautions that predicting the next decade of returns is hard : The strategists forecast lackluster returns, but they definite

Education 173
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Don’t Take Financial Advice From Hedge Fund Managers

A Wealth of Common Sense

Paul Tudor Jones made some waves last week on a CNBC interview: He’s worried government spending and deficit levels are going to lead to a crisis: “The question is after this election will we have a Minsky moment here in the United States and U.S. debt markets?” Jones said, referring to shorthand for a dramatic decline in asset prices. “Will we have a Minsky moment where all of a sudden there&#821.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Why we diversify. (awealthofcommonsense.com) We have entered an era where the economy is good, but everyone thinks it sucks. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Howard Marks thinks nearly every investor should look at private debt. (on.ft.com) Google's ($GOOGL) big businesses are in a slow, decline. (wheresyoured.at) Now is not a horrible time to rebalance your portfolio.

Media 289
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (November 2–3)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that SIFMA, which represents broker-dealers, investment banks, and asset managers, released a white paper that argues that CFP Board "increasingly functions as a de facto private regulator for CFP certificants" and proposes that CFP Board eliminate rules and standards that duplicate, conflict with, and/or impose in addition to existing SEC and/or FINRA rules and standards.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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At the Money: Shareholder Yield

The Big Picture

At the Money: Getting More Out of Dividends with Shareholder Yield. Meb Faber, Cambria Investments (October 30, 2024) Dividend investing has a long and storied history, but it turns out dividends are only part of the picture driving stock returns. One alternative is shareholder yield, which includes not only dividends, but also share buybacks and debt paydowns as indicators of future gains.

Valuation 147
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Using Trading Volume to Optimize Portfolio Construction and Implementation

Alpha Architect

The authors of the research discussed developed a machine learning model that can accurately predict trading volume for individual stocks. They then demonstrated how this model can be used to construct a portfolio that outperforms a traditional market-cap weighted portfolio. Using Trading Volume to Optimize Portfolio Construction and Implementation was originally published at Alpha Architect.

Portfolio 127
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Longform links: zero political impact

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from "The Price Of Power: How Mitch McConnell Mastered The Senate, Changed America, And Lost His Party" by Michael Tackett. (theatlantic.com) A Q&A with Amanda Ripley author of "High Conflict: Why We Get Trapped and How We Get Out." (davidepstein.substack.com) A Q&A with Eliza Griswold author of "Circle of Hope: A Reckoning with Love, Power, and Justice in an American Church.

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#FASuccess Ep 409: Adding 1,400 New Clients In A Year As An Extension Of Doing (Profitable) Student Loan Consulting At Scale, With Travis Hornsby

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome, everyone! Welcome to the 409th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Travis Hornsby. Travis is the founder of Student Loan Planner, an RIA and student loan consulting company based in Chapel Hill, North Carolina that serves nearly 1,400 households with ongoing financial planning (as well as consulting with over 15,000 clients on student loan debt).

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Transcript: Toto Wolff, Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1 Team

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Toto Wolff, Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1 Team , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~ 00:00:02 [Speaker Changed] Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News. 00:00:09 [Speaker Changed] This is Masters in business with Barry Riol on Bloomberg Radio. 00:00:15 [Speaker Changed] W

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October Employment Report: 12 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Employment Situation Total nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in October (+12,000), and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care and government. Temporary help services lost jobs. Employment declined in manufacturing due to strike activity.

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Personal finance links: the lure of small rewards

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Peter Lazaroff talks with Sara Gelsheimer, Senior Wealth Manager at Plancorp, about the importance of both spouses being involved in their household’s financial decisions (peterlazaroff.com) Carl Richards talks with Jerry Colonna about the 'emotional landscape of money.' (50fires.com) Khe Hy talks 'career earthquakes' with Paul Millerd. (youtube.com) Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk with Phil Moeller author of "Get What’s Yours for Medicare.

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BRICS to launch new currency: Will it challenge the dominance of US dollar?

Trade Brains

BRICS is a coalition of five major emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. Formed in 2009, BRICS aims to enhance cooperation among its members in various sectors, including trade, investment, and development. This group represents a significant portion of the world’s population and GDP. By working together, BRICS countries seek to promote sustainable development and reform global financial systems.

Economics 111
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The True Tax Benefit of IRAs and 401(k)s : How they stack up against taxable accounts. ( Morningstar ) • Once You Try a Four-Day Workweek, It’s Hard to Go Back : A six-month trial in Germany showed many promising signs. But there were disappointments, too. ( Businessweek ) • America’s Newest Hit Candy Is Gummy, Crunchy and Printing Money : Nerds Gummy Clusters are everywhere this Halloween.

Media 147
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Comments on October Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the October employment report was below expectations, and August and September payrolls were revised down by 112,000 combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio declined, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1%. Earlier: October Employment Report: 12 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November.

Retail 111
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Monday links: the right balance

Abnormal Returns

Trading All-day equity trading takes another step. (cnbc.com) But don't expect a ton of liquidity. (sherwood.news) Robinhood ($HOOD) is jumping into the prediction markets. (theblock.co) HFT firms want speed, at any cost. (on.ft.com) Fund management Franklin Templeton's ($BEN) Western Asset Management unit has missed out on the bond market rally. (on.ft.com) Vanguard is closing its legacy mutual fund platform.

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Stocks, Rates & Gold: What’s Going on Here?

A Wealth of Common Sense

We also discussed questions about Roth vs. traditional retirement accounts, the pros and cons of targetdate funds, retiring in your mid-30s and what to do about big gains in Mag 7 stocks. Further Reading: What’s the Investment Case For Gold? 1I had our chart guy Matt cut off the tops of the gold chart here because some of the returns in the 1970s were so high.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Eight Colleges with the Best Financial Planning Programs

Wealth Management

Based on the results of the FPA Financial Planning Challenge, these eight colleges unlock the most value for students training to be financial planners.

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S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index: Hits New Record High in August

Advisor Perspectives

Home prices continued to trend upwards in August as the benchmark 20-city index rose for a nineteenth consecutive month to a new all-time high. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index revealed seasonally adjusted home prices for the 20-city index saw a 0.4% increase month-over-month (MoM) and a 5.2% increase year-over-year (YoY). After adjusting for inflation, the MoM was reduced to -0.1% and the YoY was -0.2%.

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Adviser links: serving Boomers

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese talk with Josh Brown about the secrets of success in finance AND media. (podcasts.apple.com) Brett McKay talks with Daniel Crosby author of "The Soul of Wealth: 50 Reflections on Money and Meaning." (artofmanliness.com) Ben Carlson talks about the state of the retirement savings market with Shawn O'Brien, Director of Retirement at Cerulli Associates.

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Fannie and Freddie: Single Family and Multi-Family Serious Delinquency Rates Increased in September

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie: Single Family and Multi-Family Serious Delinquency Rates Increased in September Excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies increased slightly in September, and multi-family serious delinquencies increased. Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate in September was 0.54%, up from 0.52% August.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Stocks in which promoters have increased their stake by up to 32% in Sep Qtr

Trade Brains

Promoter holding refers to the percentage of shares owned by a company’s founders, promoters, or their family members. It reflects insider confidence in the business, with higher holdings typically indicating strong commitment and alignment with minority shareholders’ interests. When promoters increase their holdings in a company, it typically sends a strong positive signal to the market.

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Banks’ New Trick Could Mean Trouble for Everyone

Advisor Perspectives

If you’re unfamiliar with synthetic risk transfers, there’s a chance you’ll hear all about them when the next financial crisis hits. They’re the latest way for big banks to game rules designed to safeguard the system, and they’re growing fast. So far, regulators seem all but oblivious.

Banking 104
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Wednesday links: plenty of perspective

Abnormal Returns

Rates Why rates are bucking the Fed. (sherwood.news) What's behind weakness in the long end of the curve? (apolloacademy.com) Finance Charles Schwab ($SCHW) is expanding 24-hour trading. (barrons.com) The crypto industry is licking its chops for the prospects over the next four years. (theatlantic.com) Companies Does Arm Holdings ($ARMH) have an AI future?