Sat.Dec 31, 2022 - Fri.Jan 06, 2023

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (January 2023)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the January 2023 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Envestnet has decided to enter the RIA custodial business through a partnership with Australian bank FNZ to white-label what was once the State Street RIA custodial platform of many years ago –

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December Employment Report: 223 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in December, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care, construction, and social assistance. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down by 21,000, from +284,000 to +263,000, and the change for November was revised down by 7,000, from +263,000 to +256,000.

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Freudenschaude

The Big Picture

Merry Christmas, Happy New Year, and all the rest of the seasonal glad tidings for you and yours in 2023. Before we roll up our sleeves and start to engage in the serious business of managing risk in the capital markets, I wanted to share a story that is more in keeping with the spirits of the season. I ran track in high school. My father’s advice when I joined the team was: Find the fastest guy on the team and keep up with him.

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Five Must-Haves for Financial Advisor Websites

Wealth Management

A bad website can be just as harmful for your business as having no website at all.

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8 Ways to Torture Your CFO

The office of the CFO is rapidly evolving, with more and more demands being placed upon the finance and accounting team each year. Join us in this webinar, where we share 8 things to NOT do when it comes to helping the CFO office advance in supporting the business. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how best to support an organization's finance leadership.

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Think you have it bad?

The Reformed Broker

If you’re a financial advisor or a fund manager and you weren’t down 20% last year, you won, basically. The S&P fell into a 20% bear market while the Nasdaq crashed almost 40%. Bonds were down double digits as an asset class. International stocks, while outperforming the US and not down as much, were still down a lot. Except for Turkey, which inexplicably doubled last year – here’s the TUR ETF, The post Think you have it bad?

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Comments on December Employment Report

Calculated Risk

With 4.50 million jobs added, 2022 was the 2nd best year for job growth in US history behind only 2021 with 6.74 million. The headline jobs number in the December employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 28,000, combined. The participation rate increased, and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5%.

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Ten Ways Advisors Can Set Themselves Up for Success in 2023

Wealth Management

The new year can be an opportunity to take stock and reflect.

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Sunday links: the role of work

Abnormal Returns

Markets Global stocks and bonds lost more than $30 trillion for 2022. (ft.com) The 60/40 portfolio had a historically bad year. (finance.yahoo.com) Apple ($AAPL) lost $846 billion in market cap in 2022. (marketwatch.com) 2022 was a big year for ETFs, except for a spot Bitcoin ETF. (theetfeducator.com) IPO proceeds fell off the table in 2022. (cnbc.com) Strategy Average annual stock market returns are not-so average.

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Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 67% YoY, Slightly Below Pre-Pandemic Levels

Calculated Risk

Here is another monthly update on framing lumber prices. This graph shows CME random length framing futures through January 3rd. Lumber was at $374 per 1000 board feet this morning. This is down from the peak of $1,733, and down 67% from $1,148 a year ago. Prices are slightly below the pre-pandemic levels of around $400. Click on graph for larger image.

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Stocks That Lost the Most Market Cap in 2022

The Big Picture

Source: Reddit. The post Stocks That Lost the Most Market Cap in 2022 appeared first on The Big Picture.

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How to Streamline Payment Applications & Lien Waivers Through Innovative Construction Technology

Speaker: Dylan Secrest, Founder of Alamo Innovation and Construction Digital Transformation Consultant

Construction payment workflows are notoriously complex when you consider juggling multiple stakeholders, compliance requirements, and evolving project scopes. Delays in approvals or misaligned data between budgets, lien waivers, and pay applications can grind progress to a halt. The good news? It doesn't have to be this way! Join expert Dylan Secrest to discover how leading contractors are turning payment chaos into clarity using digital workflows, integrated systems, and automation strategies.

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Revised Retirement Rules in the SECURE Act 2.0

Wealth Management

New law includes significant changes to the rules for individual retirement accounts and employer plans.

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Longform links: owning your content

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Sheila Liming’s forthcoming book, "Hanging Out: The Radical Power of Killing Time." (theatlantic.com) An excerpt from Dacher Keltner’s new book, "Awe: The New Science of Everyday Wonder and How It Can Transform Your Life." (theatlantic.com) Society Americans are spending more time and money on pets. (washingtonpost.com) There seems to be a marked shift in attitudes toward work for younger generations.

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Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q4 as "demand plummeted", Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged

Calculated Risk

From Moody’s Analytics Senior Economist Lu Chen and economist Xiaodi Li: Apartment struck a balance, Office demand plummeted, and Retail remains flat Corporate profits squeezed under macroeconomic uncertainties and flexible work arrangements weakened office demand and continued to transform the sector’s fundamental. Moreover, new office demand isn’t always reflected through direct leases.

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Billionaires Index

The Big Picture

Source : Bloomberg Billionaires Index. I was in the midst of my analysis of how the Fed would react to softening wage gains in the NFP data, when the markets exploded 2.5% higher. The Fed is very concerned that the perennially underpaid median worker has been seeing wage increases. The past few years follows 3 decades of lagging income. It kinda killed my motivation to write yet another pierce discussing Fed actions.

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Your Accounting Expertise Will Only Get You So Far: What Really Matters

Speaker: Victor C. Barnes, CPA, MBA

In the climb from contributor to leader, the rules quietly change. If you’re aiming for the summit, the air gets thinner—and what got you here won’t be enough to get you to the top (a concept first popularized by Marshall Goldsmith in his book What Got You Here Won’t Get You There ). What made you successful early in your finance career—technical accuracy, sharp analysis, flawless execution—won’t be what carries you to the next level.

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2023 Predictions for the Digital Asset Ecosystem

Wealth Management

While cryptocurrencies have experienced recent collapses, the underlying blockchain technology still has immense potential to propel the modern innovation of finance.

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Implementing Retirement Income Guardrails To Facilitate (The Right) Spending Raises And Spending Cuts

Nerd's Eye View

Financial advisors have a wide range of strategies at their disposal to create financial plans for their clients. And when it comes to retirement planning, one popular technique is the use of ‘guardrails’, which set an initial monthly withdrawal rate that can be later adjusted as the size of the client’s portfolio changes. This strategy is valuable because it generally allows for higher initial withdrawal rates than more static approaches that don’t accommodate clients wi

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BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 10.5 million in November

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 10.5 million on the last business day of November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations changed little at 6.1 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (dar

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State Coincident Indicators: November 2022

The Big Picture

The Philly Fed’s November State Coincident Indicators snuck out while I was away (1/28/22). There are increasing signs of local distress revealed in the midwest, and lots of softness elsewhere. As detailed here , over the past month, the SCI indicies increased in 30 states, decreased in 13 states, and remained stable in seven, for a one-month diffusion index of 34.

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How To Overcome Change Fatigue In Finance With Neuroscience-Backed Strategies

Speaker: Kim Beynon, CPA, CGMA, PMP

The most overlooked, yet most critical, element of transformation is preparing people for change. Automation and AI aren't just technical upgrades, they’re cultural shifts which can challenge identities. That’s why change management isn’t a side project—it’s the foundation. In finance, where precision and process rule, navigating change can feel especially disruptive.

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The Telecommuting State Tax Battle

Wealth Management

The shift to working remotely comes with tax return implications.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Jan 7-8)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has received significant pushback from investment adviser and financial industry trade groups to the regulator’s recent proposal that would establish formalized due diligence and monitoring obligations for investment advisers that outsource certain advisory functions.

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Housing January 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 3.4% Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports inventory is down 3.4% week-over-week and down 15.0% from the peak on October 28, 2022. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of December 30th, inventory was at 491 thousand (7-day average), compared to 508 thousand the prior week. Inventory has declined sharply over the holidays. The second graph shows the seasonal pattern for active single-family inventory since 2015.

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My early morning train WFH reads: • Get Ready for the Richcession : Well-off Americans could get hurt more than usual in the next downturn ( Wall Street Journal ). • Why Markets Were Down in 2022 : there was also an Occum’s razor answer for the losses in financial markets in 2022. Sometimes the reason asset prices fall is because they went up too much in the first place. ( Wealth of Common Sense ) see also Observations to Start 2023 : From 2010 through 2021, The S&P500 Index gained 330% — a

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You upgrade everything else. Why not your close process?

You wouldn’t keep using a 2009 flip phone - so why settle for outdated close processes? It’s time for an upgrade. SkyStem's Guide to Month-End Close Software walks you through what today’s best tools can do (and what your team shouldn’t have to deal with anymore). Get smart, fast, and a whole lot less stressed when it’s time to close the books.

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WMIQ: Stark Differences Exist Between High-Growth Firms, Others in Marketing and Client Communications

Wealth Management

New research from WealthManagement.com's WMIQ suggests firms are inhibiting growth by minimizing, and in many cases mishandling, marketing and client communications.

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Research links: the downside of diversification

Abnormal Returns

Research How do bonds perform after a 2-10 yield curve inversion? (simplify.us) What accounts for the difference between brown and green stocks? (alphaarchitect.com) A look at how various factors performed during different market cycles. (quantpedia.com) How is geopolitical risk measured? (alphaarchitect.com) Contrary to the life-cycle hypothesis, the elderly don't uniformly engage in decumulation of assets.

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Trade Deficit decreased to $61.5 Billion in November

Calculated Risk

From the Department of Commerce reported : The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $61.5 billion in November , down $16.3 billion from $77.8 billion in October, revised. November exports were $251.9 billion, $5.1 billion less than October exports. November imports were $313.4 billion, $21.5 billion less than October imports emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Happy perihelion day! Kick off the day where the Earth’s orbit is nearest to the Sun with our morning train reads: • Rookie Traders Are Calling It Quits, and Their Families Are Thrilled : Many who picked up investing during the pandemic are cooling on the hobby ( Wall Street Journal ). • Eyeliner Out of Stock? Blame TikTok : Items going viral on social media sites are selling out, posing new supply-chain challenges. ( Wall Street Journal ) see also How TikTok Became a Diplomatic Crisis :

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Securing Office Financing Will Be More Difficult in 2023

Wealth Management

Many lenders have stopped financing office assets, and those that do are offering less favorable terms and scrutinize deals closely.

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Personal finance links: ignoring the lottery

Abnormal Returns

Retirement Why you need a diversified life portfolio in retirement. (wsj.com) Why you want to have options in retirement. (kiplinger.com) Everybody wants the FI in FIRE. (bestinterest.blog) Giving up How to de-prioritize activities that don't serve you. (genyplanning.com) Why you should choose simplicity over complexity: the case against FSAs. (abnormalreturns.com) This startup site is designed to provide people with information about divorce.

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1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December A brief excerpt: This is the first look at local markets in December. I’m tracking about 40 local housing markets in the US. Some of the 40 markets are states, and some are metropolitan areas. I’ll update these tables throughout the month as additional data is released.

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The Best of Pragcap in 2022

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here are some of my favorite posts from 2022.

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The New Way Remote Finance Teams Are Protecting Accuracy And Building Resilience In A Cyber-Threatened World

Speaker: Cheryl J. Muldrew-McMurtry

Remote finance teams are rewriting how the back-office runs—and attackers are taking notes. Disconnected workflows, process blind spots, and rising cyber threats have become more than just “growing pains”. They’re now liabilities. The challenge isn’t just team distribution, but building resilient systems that protect accuracy, control, and speed across every transaction and touchpoint.