The Big Picture

DECEMBER 8, 2023

That is a significant number to recall whenever people posit we either are in, or just were in, or are about to tumble into a recession. but most months, the specific number is more or less a rounding error. It was that 157.087 million people are employed full-time in the United States.1 This is not a popular opinion.

Numbers 264

Numbers Retirement Economy Accounting 264

Abnormal Returns

APRIL 2, 2023

awealthofcommonsense.com) How to dole out risk in your portfolio. nytimes.com) Regional banks are a linchpin for the economy. bloomberg.com) Economy Why we should be celebrating the current employment situation. tker.co) You can expect the Case-Shiller housing numbers to turn negative year-over-year in the next few months.

Financial Advising 240

Financial Advising Banking Economy Insurance 240

The Big Picture

MARCH 6, 2025

To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your portfolio, let’s bring in Austin Goolsbee. The supply side was healing on the supply chain, and there was a big surge of labor force participation from a number of groups. I think number one. Inflation as a driver of returns. It’s a very noisy series.

Economy 162

Economy Economics Food Banking 162

The Big Picture

MARCH 13, 2024

To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your portfolio, let’s bring in Jim Bianco, Chief Strategist at Bianco Research, and His firm has been providing objective and unconventional research and commentary to portfolio managers since 1990, and it is top rated amongst institutional traders. It’s a state program.

Numbers 288

Numbers Insurance Economy Marketing 288

The Big Picture

MARCH 3, 2023

Meaning, you do not get the 8-10% long-term gains without living through a significant number of market events, ranging from cyclical drawdowns to longer secular bear markets, and full-on crashes. 2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked.

Marketing 336

Marketing Marketing Economics Portfolio 336

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

If the economy remains strong (as we expect), that would matter much more than just about anything else. Here’s What the October Payroll Report Really Tells Us About the Economy October payrolls were a big disappointment, with job growth clocking in at just 12,000. But those numbers are backward looking.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96

The Big Picture

MAY 20, 2025

In addition, they’ve put up some really impressive numbers over the past 30 years, which has given them the opportunity to donate tens of millions of dollars to their favorite organizations. How did that background help when it comes to modeling portfolios or applying those methods of statistical analysis to investing?

Management 130

Management Numbers Transportation Accounting 130

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 2, 2023

This month's edition kicks off with the news that custodial platform Altruist is eliminating the $1 per account monthly fee for its portfolio management and reporting technology for advisors on its platform, which on the one hand suggests that the economies of scale Altruist has achieved in the wake of its move to become a fully self-clearing custodian (..)

Communication 246

Communication Portfolio Management Clients Startup 246

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 13, 2025

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. Monthly numbers can be noisy and so a 3-month average is helpful.

Marketing 75

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 75

Carson Wealth

MAY 20, 2024

April inflation data confirmed there is no need to panic about the first-quarter numbers. Despite the path of the economy, inflation, the election, geopolitics, or the Fed’s actions, what matters at the end of the day is what markets do. A diversified portfolio does not assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market.

Numbers 97

Numbers Marketing Marketing Insurance 97

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 11, 2023

The Equity Beat: Old Economy Stocks Aging Like Fine Wine mhannan Fri, 08/11/2023 - 17:10 Unlike my good friends who frequent Baltimore’s finest dining establishments about as often as the division-leading Orioles win (you know who you are), I would never be confused for a wine connoisseur. was only marginally better.

Economy 98

Economy Manufacturing Clients Economics 98

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 5, 2024

Economic data last week showed the economy slowing more than expected, adding to worries about a potential recession. Monthly nonfarm payrolls came in weak, adding to the worries about the overall strength of the economy. Lower rates could provide a jump to the economy on both fronts.

Marketing 141

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 141

The Big Picture

MARCH 4, 2025

Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. Alright, so, so you go from public finance, how did you evolve towards co-head of innovation economy? So Barry Ritholtz : Let’s talk about your dual role, your, your co-head of innovation economy and your head of specialized industries.

Banking 130

Banking Economy Startup Marketing 130

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

I’m Barry Ritholtz, and on today’s edition of At the Money, we’re gonna discuss whether war and inflation 20 somehow adds up to higher portfolio prices. So what were the numbers like after World War 1 and after World War 2? It just puts a lot of money into the economy, enables a lot of development.

Marketing 317

Marketing Marketing Government Numbers 317

The Big Picture

APRIL 29, 2025

Their focus is on generating alpha with high conviction concentrated portfolios. As you, as you may recall, the insurance companies had huge commercial loan portfolios in those days that they were using to backstop long dated life insurance liabilities. First, what is a concentrated portfolio? Tell us a little bit about that.

Management 130

Management Assets Portfolio Insurance 130

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

ft.com) Why where investors mark the portfolios can be all over the place. bloomberg.com) Economy What does a 'no landing' economic scenario look like? apricitas.io) There are a near-record number of housing units currently under construction. (howardlindzon.com) Private assets Why private equity needs much better valuations.

Financial Advising 147

Financial Advising Engineering Valuation Retail 147

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

Resilience is Core to Sustainable Portfolio Construction. While the old adage “only time will tell” generally refers to a future outcome, it is apropos of our belief that a truly sustainable portfolio must consist of businesses that have proven to be resilient under a variety of macroeconomic circumstances. Wed, 09/21/2022 - 10:50.

Portfolio 86

Portfolio Manufacturing Investing Investments 86

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 9, 2024

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.

Marketing 69

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing 69

Carson Wealth

APRIL 21, 2025

The recently released Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey showed a record number of participants who intend to cut US exposure, as shown in the chart below. Given this survey looks at managers who manage actual portfolios, this is a very solid potential contrarian indicator.

Marketing 78

Marketing Marketing Economy Investments 78

Trade Brains

DECEMBER 28, 2023

However, there are many other lesser-known indicators that can actually provide valuable insights and are helpful for the economy. Back in the autumn of 2001, he noticed that when the US economy was struggling due to the recession, lipstick sales were actually going up instead of down. Keep reading to find out what they are!

Economy 64

Economy Economics Sales Government 64

Carson Wealth

JUNE 10, 2024

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly. We didn’t even see significant revisions to March and April payroll numbers, and the 3-month average now sits at 249,000.

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 143

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

To find out more, I speak with Jeremy Schwartz, Global Chief Investment Officer of WisdomTree, leading the firm’s investment strategy team in the construction of equity Indexes, quantitative active strategies and multi-asset Model Portfolios. So his own portfolio started selling the S&P 500 and buying value.

Investing 296

Investing Investments Valuation Portfolio 296

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 23, 2023

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4%

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail 143

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 11, 2023

It is important to remember that stocks lead the economy, both on the way up and the way down. To us, this is the market’s way of saying the economy will continue to see solid growth next year. Stocks tend to lead the economy, and several major indexes are near new highs, which is a good signal for the economy.

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 143

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 21, 2023

etftrends.com) Portfolio management still has a gender problem. etf.com) Economy Every index/measure of financial conditions has problems. frontofficesports.com) By the numbers: which countries like baseball the most. (wsj.com) Vanguard is exiting the Chinese fund management market. fivethirtyeight.com)

Startup 130

Startup Financial Advising Banking Portfolio Management 130

Discipline Funds

NOVEMBER 20, 2024

I believe this is especially true if you live in a 3rd world economy where the probability of currency collapse is even moderately high. But there’s nothing wrong with a traditional finance portfolio holding something like Bitcoin. But sometimes the narratives are a bit much. 3) The worlds best (or worst) investment bank.

Insurance 98

Insurance Government Assets Management 98

Mr. Money Mustache

FEBRUARY 25, 2025

S&P returns (including dividends) since 2019, graph by the excellent portfolio visualizer website. Which makes the landlord business a lot less profitable, and we should expect exactly the same thing as stock investor: lower future profits as a percentage of our portfolio value. And it has more than doubled in the past five.

Marketing 66

Marketing Marketing Sales Portfolio 66

Carson Wealth

MARCH 3, 2025

Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. We continue to think the bull market is alive and well and the economy is on solid footing, but that doesnt mean we wont have scary headlines or worries. Heres the thing.

Marketing 78

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 78

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 2, 2023

My morning train reads: • The Economy Is Great. Wall Street Journal ) • The Bond Market, a Sleeping Giant, Awakes : Soaring interest rates have the power to alter the direction of the economy and command the attention of Washington, our columnist says. ( Why Are Americans in Such a Rotten Mood?

Advertising 130

Advertising Portfolio Management Economy Food 130

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 9, 2023

The September payroll report confirms the economy is strong. Aggregate income is rising above the pace of inflation, and that’s powering the economy. Wage growth is easing, which should alleviate concerns that the economy is overheating. Expectations for a stronger economy are driving interest rates higher.

Marketing 134

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 134

Discipline Funds

MAY 5, 2025

I suspected it would work well in a frightening market environment, but I wasn’t really sure because I’d never seen live portfolios tested in real-time. That is, if you buy 25 stocks instead of 1 stock then you’ve largely eliminated the risk that any single entity can blow up your portfolio. I’d reframe this.

Assets 59

Assets Financial Planning Portfolio Economy 59

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. BITTERLY MICHELL: … obviously, the United States, the global economy. And ultimately, to make a very long story short, I fell in love with derivatives. So derivatives were a part where I was very intimidated. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Clients 299

Clients Wealth Management Banking Investments 299

The Big Picture

AUGUST 16, 2022

And if you’re able to do that in a diverse number of markets and asset classes, while managing risk in the markets that aren’t trending, you know, that’s in general how trend following works. So if you could say that the maximum size of a trend was, say, 100, maybe you might capture 60% or 70% of that trend. RITHOLTZ: Wow.

Management 305

Management Assets Risk Management Marketing 305

The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. economy is doing well, why do so many Americans say it’s terrible? Sapient Capital ) • If the U.S.

Insurance 130

Insurance Math Economics Economy 130

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 25, 2025

And modern portfolio theory was kind of just coming around. 00:27:54 [Speaker Changed] Let’s put some, some numbers, some mean on that bone. It’s lobotomized investing a danger to the economy, a systemic risk, a bubble waiting to burst. It’s terrible for our economy. Is That right? It’s a mania.

Investing 162

Investing Investments Management Engineering 162

Carson Wealth

APRIL 29, 2024

While the GDP number for the first quarter disappointed, strength was evident beneath the surface. The weakest numbers were in areas that are volatile and tend to reverse, such as inventories and net exports. The core numbers were solid again and didn’t change our basic outlook for the rest of the year. in the first quarter.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 97

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 8, 2024

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. million, or 2.6

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96