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Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey

Calculated Risk

Also at 8:30 AM, Retail sales for June is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales. Economic Outlook , At the Housing Partnership Network Symposium, Washington, D.C. Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for a 0.2% up from -4.0. •

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Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, Fed Chair Powell

Calculated Risk

At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for March is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales. At 1:30 PM, Speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Economic Outlook, At the Economic Club of Chicago, Chicago, Ill. The consensus is for a 1.3% At 9:15 AM, The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for March.

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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased slightly to moderately"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Economic activity increased slightly to moderately across the twelve Federal Reserve Districts in late November and December. Contacts in most Districts reported modest increases in selling prices, though there were instances of flat or decreasing prices as well, particularly in the retail and manufacturing sectors.

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Comments on October Employment Report

Calculated Risk

Unemployment Rate Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November. Here is a graph that shows the historical net retail jobs added for October, November and December by year. This graph really shows the collapse in retail hiring in 2008.

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NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased; Delinquency Rate "Edged Up"

Calculated Risk

The New York Fed also issued an accompanying Liberty Street Economics blog post examining the evolution in aggregate debt to income ratios and what that suggests about Americans’ ability to manage their debt obligations. Other balances, which include retail cards and other consumer loans, were effectively flat, with a $2 billion increase.

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Schedule for Week of February 9, 2025

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are January CPI and Retail sales. Fed Chair Powell presents the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. -- Monday, February 10th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, February 11th -- 6:00 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for January.

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Schedule for Week of July 13, 2025

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are June CPI, Retail Sales and Housing Starts. 2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. -- Thursday, July 17th -- 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. increase in core CPI.