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Comments on June Employment Report

Calculated Risk

NOTE: State and local government education hiring was reported at 63.5 thousand education jobs lost. It is possible this is just a timing issue and more than expected educators will be let go in July. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.5

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Are Tariffs a New US VAT Tax?

The Big Picture

The challenge is how to frame the current economic scenario in a way that is useful and informative and not the usual run-of-the-mill noise. 2) What will their impact be on economic activity and inflation? I didnt understand this as representing a significant threat to the established economic order. In a word, the U.S.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased 7% in March

Calculated Risk

On the institutional side, planning activity slowed for education, healthcare and government buildings. Commercial construction is typically a lagging economic indicator. On the commercial side, weaker planning activity for warehouses, data centers and retail stores drove this months decline.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 10% in December

Calculated Risk

On the commercial side, data center and warehouse planning drove much of the growth this month, while stronger healthcare and education activity supported the institutional portion. Commercial construction is typically a lagging economic indicator. In December, the DMI was up 19% when compared to year-ago levels.

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The WealthStack Podcast: Unlocking Private Markets with AssetMark's Michael Kim

Wealth Management

The WealthStack Podcast: Unlocking Private Markets with AssetMarks Michael Kim The WealthStack Podcast: Unlocking Private Markets with AssetMarks Michael Kim AssetMarks Michael Kim unpacks how technology, education and private equity access are converging to redefine portfolio construction.

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Comments on July Employment Report

Calculated Risk

NOTE: Last month I noted that state and local government education hiring was up sharply - probably due to a data collection, timing or seasonal adjustment issue. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.7 That increase was revised away for June.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

Close to 63% of jobs created in May were in the non-cyclical sectors of health care and social assistance and private education (+87,000). US LEI Deteriorates Right now, our proprietary US Leading Economic Index (LEI) is telling us that economic momentum is slowing and the economy is growing below trend.