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What Does the Market “Know” ?

The Big Picture

I am not a fan of that framing; my preference is to note that different investors in equity and fixed income have very different risk tolerances stocks, time horizons, and investment goals. But rational people can reasonably disagree on anything market-related — after all, someone has to be on the other side of your trade.

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Investing strategies for bear markets

Nationwide Financial

Of course, earnings and profits are dependent to a large extent on economic performance (although not for all companies and not all in the same manner.). The economic cycle of expansion and recession does affect the stock market by affecting company earnings. So, recessions can lead to bear markets.

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Bond markets not troubled by recession talk

Nationwide Financial

That message reinforced the idea that economic growth in the U.S. economy may head in the coming months. At least when viewed through a credit spread lens, bond investors seem not so panicked about the prospects for an economic slowdown. when the differences in yields are minor), there’s less anxiety about the economy.

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Mid-year Outlook: Preparing for an Eventual Slowdown

Nationwide Financial

Still, policy easing and lower interest rates aren’t likely on the Fed’s radar until 2024, even if the economy slips into a moderate recession. Leading indicators for the economy still strongly point to a forthcoming slowdown. There are two critical risks investors should remain attuned to as we head into the second half of the year.

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Small caps: Near-term risks vs. long-term potential

Nationwide Financial

Are the Russell 2000’s weak returns a sign of slowing economic growth, or is the recent underperformance of small caps reflecting investor sentiment about current market opportunities? Typically, small-cap companies are more vulnerable to weakening economic conditions.

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Help clients prepare for a pending recession

Nationwide Financial

Recessions often arrive unexpectedly, even for investors tuned in to the latest economic news. When a rough economic patch appears on the horizon, your clients seek your guidance to help them check their emotions and stick to a strategy to help them manage market risk. Diversify your client’s income sources.

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Understanding the Debt Ceiling and Your Financial Resilience

MainStreet Financial Planning

While it can lead to short-term market volatility, it is important to remember that the economy and financial markets have proven resilient over time. By having a strong financial foundation, you can better weather any potential economic fluctuations. Cash provides liquidity and acts as a safety net during times of market turbulence.