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Government Spending Is Out of Control! LOL

The Big Picture

The text accompanying that chart reads: “ Consumption: in 2024, one third of GDP came from government spending, a record high excluding periods of war or crisis; this was financed by 6-7% budget deficits, another unwelcome peacetime record.”

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Sunday links: money skepticism

Abnormal Returns

nytimes.com) Budgeting When you do the math, it's hard to find trillions to save in the federal budget. econbrowser.com) The Department of Veteran Affairs now makes up 5% of the federal budget. economist.com) No-limit vouchers are blowing a hole in the state of Arizona's budget. Just ask Norway.

Math 167
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Wednesday links: institutional forgetting

Abnormal Returns

theverge.com) Economy The bond market is not having it. paulkrugman.substack.com) What happens to the budget (and yields) if we have a recession? axios.com) The proposed budget does little to address entitlement spending. (wsj.com) Some 46% of streaming subscribers use ad-supported plans.

Math 189
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MiB: Stephanie Kelton on US Fiscal Policy and the ‘Deficit Myth’

The Big Picture

We discuss US fiscal policy, recession risks, and her New York Times bestseller “ The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the Peoples Economy.” Senate Budget Committee, and was senior economic adviser for Bernie Sanders 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns. She served as chief economist on the U.S.

Economics 197
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Podcast links: thinking freely

Abnormal Returns

arstechnica.com) Economy Derek Thompson talks Gen Z with Kyla Scanlon, author of "In This Economy?: fasterplease.substack.com) Policy Stephen Dubner talks tax myths with Jessica Riedl, a senior fellow in budget, tax, and economic policy at the Manhattan Institute. techcrunch.com) Pocket Casts is making its podcast player free.

Budgeting 144
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MiB: Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Global Chief Economist for BCG

The Big Picture

He discuss structural changes to the global economy, doomsaying, and his book Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk , A list of his favorite books is here ; A transcript of our conversation is available here Tuesday. He is a frequent contributor to Harvard Business Review and World Economic Forum.

Economics 159
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15 Recession-Proof Businesses That Thrive in Any Economy

Clever Girl Finance

But while the economy slows, certain businesses remain steady, and some even thrive. Lets dive into 15 of the best recession-proof business ideas you can start today, even in a bad economy. These are businesses that meet everyday needs, provide essential services, or deliver comfort and value when people are tightening their budgets.

Economy 69