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Is It Time to Sell Stocks?

ClearMoney

Motivated by the substantial payoff associated with successful timing, researchers over the years have examined a wide range of strategies based on analysis of earnings, dividends, interest rates, economic growth, investor sentiment, stock price patterns, and so on. Tactical Asset Allocation: Periodic shifts in allocation to stocks.

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Is Active vs. Passive Actually Passé?

ClearMoney

Because early indexing didn’t spin its wheels in bottom-up company analysis or top-down economic trend forecasting, it became known as passive investing. 2 It is reasonable to assume a portion of that trading activity represented asset allocation changes motivated by market viewpoints, rather than buy-and-hold position accumulation.

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Market Review 2021: A Recovery Amid Challenges

ClearMoney

The distribution of vaccines and the easing of lockdowns were followed by an economic rebound, but the emergence of new variants would be a setback for the recovery. In addition to the effective vaccines, markets were buoyed by a number of other positive developments, including strong corporate earnings and increased consumer demand.

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Global Portfolio Strategy | July 7, 2022

James Hendries

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. Although energy prices came down some, weakening economic data and the lack of a cease-fire in Ukraine offset the modest gas price relief.

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Market Responses to Fed (in)Action | Weekly Market Commentary | June 20, 2023

James Hendries

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

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Global Portfolio Strategy | August 3, 2022

James Hendries

due to expectations of slowing economic growth. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. It is expressed as a number of years.

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ESG and the Stock-­Picker’s Dilemma

Brown Advisory

While these efforts are valuable – they may eventually lead to well-defined ESG factors that resonate with economic principles – it is easy to forget that they cannot prove whether "ESG investing" can be a source of market-independent returns, or alpha. Resource and Energy Economics 41:103-121. Journal of Financial Economics.