Dear Mr. Market

OCTOBER 11, 2022

The Permanent Portfolio is a seemingly basic portfolio allocation strategy created by investment advisor Harry Browne in the 1980’s and outlined in his book Fail-Safe Investing back in 2001. 25% Cash (economic recession). 25% Long-Term Bonds (deflation). 25% Gold (inflation).

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ClearMoney

MARCH 1, 2022

Similarly, evolution in finance has etched away the apparent cut-and-dried distinction between active and passive investing. The current landscape suggests the characteristics implied by such traditional, binary labels may not be sufficient to describe many of today’s investment approaches.

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The Big Picture

JULY 11, 2023

Jenny Johnson is CEO of investment giant Franklin Templeton. Did you guys just say, we really want to be pure investment management? The requirements for asset managers to have a bank were such that it would inhibit us a bit. And the key is the difference for people investing early. They run about a $1.5

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ClearMoney

JANUARY 4, 2022

And it was a year that showed, again, the difficulty of making investment decisions based on predictions of where markets will go—as well as the enduring benefits of diversification and flexibility. Bond investments should always be matched to an investor’s goals—they aren’t one-size-fits-all. All rights reserved.

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James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. Recent economic data has pointed to continued growth—giving rise to the “no landing” narrative.

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James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. We think core bond sectors (U.S.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement. We think core bond sectors (U.S.

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James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. Although energy prices came down some, weakening economic data and the lack of a cease-fire in Ukraine offset the modest gas price relief.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

due to expectations of slowing economic growth. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, please consult your financial professional prior to investing.

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James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be finished with its rate hike campaign, and that economic conditions will be resilient enough to underpin a strong capital markets environment. With economic data continuing to suggest the U.S.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 20, 2018

Investment Perspectives | Diversification ajackson Tue, 11/20/2018 - 08:45 Last month’s sudden stock market “correction” serves as a vivid reminder that prices can move down at least as easily as they move up. Multiple Risks Stock prices, the skeptics say, have not reflected the reality of rising economic and political risks.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 20, 2018

Investment Perspectives | Diversification. Along with achieving strong long-term returns, protecting our clients’ capital is a critically important part of our challenge as investment advisors. Stock prices, the skeptics say, have not reflected the reality of rising economic and political risks. Tue, 11/20/2018 - 08:45.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, please consult your financial professional prior to investing. Bond yields are subject to change.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors and they do not take into account the particular needs, investment objectives, tax and financial condition of any specific person.

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Perhaps that was not the first time market watchers used the term, but the conversations at the Economic Club of New York were prescient.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, please consult your financial professional prior to investing. Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal.

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Retail Stocks Not as Resilient as Consumers.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! And on the asset allocation side, the team’s preference for value stocks throughout the year turned out to be a win. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. All investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. The LPL Research STAAC continues to favor a tilt toward value from an asset allocation perspective.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 29, 2016

Alternatively, nonprofits can boost potential portfolio returns, which often means tolerating more risk and illiquidity, through a recalibration of asset allocation— the single biggest driver of long-term gains. We have found the following four steps helpful for nonprofits seeking bigger returns: Review investment policy.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Market strategists and pundits make the relationship between recessions and the stock market seem binary, but each economic contraction is different and has different effects on earnings. First, keep in mind that stocks tend to look forward by four to six months and can provide warnings of changing economic conditions. Conclusion.

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Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2016

Investment Perspectives | Real Returns achen Fri, 07/01/2016 - 06:00 One of the most penetrating and recurring questions we receive from clients is, “what is a reasonable long-term expectation for U.S. Low rates are generally good for stocks, as they tend to drive investors into riskier asset classes with higher return potential.

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Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2016

Investment Perspectives | Real Returns. Changes in their assumed rate of return can impact decisions ranging from asset allocation to the spending level that a portfolio can rationally support. Low rates are generally good for stocks, as they tend to drive investors into riskier asset classes with higher return potential.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. Marc Zabicki , CFA , Chief Investment Officer, LPL Financial . Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

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James Hendries

JULY 6, 2022

But our belief is that this economic and profit environment is better than in the early 1990s, early 2000s, or 2008-2009 and therefore supports higher valuations. For instance copper, often referred to as Dr. Copper for its ability to forecast economic conditions, just hit its lowest level since February 2021. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

Policy itself can be difficult to forecast, and economic factors often overwhelm the impact on markets. But as seen in the energy example above, larger economic forces tend to be more meaningful. Barry Gilbert , PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist, LPL Financial. Our best advice: Just go and vote.

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