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Client Letter | Looking Ahead | November 2, 2022

James Hendries

Some recent softening in economic data, coupled with signals from the bond market, may be indicating that Fed policymakers’ concerted inflation fight may be closer to the end than the beginning. We should also have slowing corporate earnings growth and greater economic uncertainty to contend with, some formidable seas to navigate.

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Market Review 2021: A Recovery Amid Challenges

ClearMoney

Coming out of a volatile 2020, investors sought signals as to which way the global economy was headed. The distribution of vaccines and the easing of lockdowns were followed by an economic rebound, but the emergence of new variants would be a setback for the recovery. But growth stocks rallied later in the year. Dimensional Japan Ltd.,

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Latest Equity Asset Alocation Views | Weekly Market Commentary | March 13, 2023

James Hendries

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. Recent economic data has pointed to continued growth—giving rise to the “no landing” narrative.

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Market Responses to Fed (in)Action | Weekly Market Commentary | June 20, 2023

James Hendries

As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. During that time, the Fed held a tightening bias since they believed the housing market was stabilizing, the economy would continue to expand, and inflation risks remained.

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Taking Advantage of Higher Yields | Weekly Market Commentary | September 26, 2022

James Hendries

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

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New Bull May Need a Breather | Weekly Market Commentary | June 26, 2023

James Hendries

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

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No Landing = No Sense | Weekly Market Commentary | March 6, 2023

James Hendries

Suggesting an economy makes “no landing” makes no sense. Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Analogies eventually break down, especially this one.