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Tuesday links: the case for diversification

Abnormal Returns

Strategy High uncertainty decisions, like investing, are by definition difficult. behaviouralinvestment.com) Do commodities have a role to play in a long-term, strategic asset allocation? bloomberg.com) SpaceX's valuation keeps rising, due in part to Starlink's success.

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Dealing with Inflation

Truemind Capital

Definitely not! The simple solution is asset allocation. The investment in equity or any other risky asset class should not be a 0 or 1 game – get out or get in 100%. 35% when markets are extremely expensive and 80% when they are extremely cheap as per the historical valuation standards.

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Should You Worry About “Recession” Risk?

Discipline Funds

The economy has decelerated sharply in the last year, but we aren’t seeing data that is consistent with what the NBER would define as a “recession” So how concerned should we be about these technical definitions? In our view we’re still in the “muddle through” camp as it pertains to the economy.

Economy 92
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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

The Big Picture

00:13:13 [Speaker Changed] It’s an improvement of value or refinement on the definition of value. 00:15:17 [Speaker Changed] So let’s get into some of the definitions of this. So as those assets, the relevance and then capital discipline are the key components for us. Is that, is that what you’re suggesting?

Valuation 130
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Where do we stand in the equity market cycle?

Truemind Capital

Sentiment cycles move from one extreme of greed to another extreme of fear which takes valuations also to extremes from their long-term averages. At the extreme of fear sentiment (which coincides with dirt-cheap valuations), the risk-reward is highly favorable i.e., higher potential upside with lower potential downside risk.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

By Drew Voros When you chase outperformance, you catch underperformance.

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Client Letter | Looking Ahead | November 2, 2022

James Hendries

Still, as we survey what are better equity valuations, long-awaited income opportunities in the bond market, and a likely less-antagonistic Fed in 2023, there may be emerging reasons to believe that the next year may be more constructive than the last. Asset allocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

Clients 52