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FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Calculated Risk

So we think the forecasts for 2026 and beyond will remain largely unchanged. emphasis added From Goldman: We are not making any changes to our Fed forecast and continue to expect the first of three normalization cuts in December , followed by two more in 2026 to a terminal rate of 3.5-3.75%. Dec 2024 1.8 Dec 2024 4.2 Dec 2024 2.3

Banking 286
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NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 7.4% in September; Up 2.6% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Further gains are expected if the economy continues to add jobs, inventory levels grow, and mortgage rates hold steady.”. million in 2025 and more than 5 million in 2026,” Yun said. Yun predicts the median existing-home price will rise to $410,700 in 2025 and to $420,000 in 2026. The Northeast PHSI expanded 6.5%

Sales 173
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AIA: "Billings continue to decline at architecture firms"

Calculated Risk

economy is not officially in a recession at this time, many architecture firms are reporting recession-like business conditions. This index usually leads CRE investment by 9 to 12 months, so this index suggests a slowdown in CRE investment throughout 2025 and into 2026. Although the U.S.

Economy 162
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FOMC Projections and Press Conference

Calculated Risk

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed close to FOMC expectations. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2024 2025 2026 Mar 2024 2.0 Statement here. Here are the projections. Dec 2023 1.2 The unemployment rate was at 3.9% Dec 2023 4.0

Banking 286
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FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected

Calculated Risk

Since the last projections were released, the economy has performed better than the FOMC expected, and inflation was lower than expected. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2023 2024 2025 2026 Dec 2023 2.5 The BEA reported real GDP increased 3.1% Sept 2023 1.9

Banking 204
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Deloitte Forecast on India’s GDP; Will Indian Economy Hit $5 Trillion?

Trade Brains

Dr. Rumki Majumdar sees India’s economy showing strong resilience after the election period. The country maintains its position among the world’s fastest-growing large economies. Indian Economy Looking to Hit $5 Trillion Looking ahead, India moves steadily toward becoming a $5 trillion economy by 2027-2028.

Economy 116
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FOMC Projections and Press Conference

Calculated Risk

Since the September projections were released, the economy has performed better than the FOMC expected, and inflation was below expectations. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2023 2024 2025 2026 Dec 2023 2.5 Statement here. Here are the projections.

Banking 173