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FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Calculated Risk

The May statement said that “Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further”. Given the 115pp reduction in bilateral US-China tariffs on May 12, we think a more appropriate characterization could be: “Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated”. The March SEP was pre-“Liberation Day”. annualized.

Banking 286
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AIA: "Billings continue to decline at architecture firms"

Calculated Risk

economy is not officially in a recession at this time, many architecture firms are reporting recession-like business conditions. The ABI score is a leading economic indicator of construction activity, providing an approximately nine-to-twelve-month glimpse into the future of nonresidential construction spending activity.

Economy 162
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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

The index started with just 12 companies, representing major segments of the economy at the time, like leather, steel, and sugar. The economy created 139,000 jobs in May (above expectations for a 126,000 increase) and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%. It was meant to gauge the overall health of the industrial sector.

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Indian Unicorns are Moving Towards Local Ownership: Here’s What’s Changing

Trade Brains

While many of these firms originated with foreign investors, there are now signs of a shift in this pattern towards a more locally-owned venture capital landscape, although ownership will still largely be supplemented by a combination of investor interest, policy change, and national economic priorities.

Startup 52
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Market Commentary: Stocks Pause on Geopolitical Risk, Fed

Carson Wealth

Worries over the fallout from the Middle East conflict has traders on edge, while US economic data has been slowing some, and the Federal Reserve (“Fed”) is continuing to hold rates firm (which we discuss in more detail below). Even looking beyond 2025, the Fed is now projecting higher inflation in both 2026 and 2027.

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Preparing for the TCJA Sunset: What Tax Advisors Need to Know

Harness Wealth

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA)the 2017 tax code overhaul designed to boost economic growthis set to expire on December 31, 2025. Unless Congress intervenes, the TCJAs sunset will usher in a swathe of tax increases in 2026, with analysts estimating that over $4 trillion worth of tax hikes could take effect. tax-paying arena.

Taxes 52
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Benchmarking the U.S. economy

Calculated Risk

Presidents receive too much credit and blame for the economy! But it worth looking at the current state of the economy. economy that President Donald Trump is set to inherit While the U.S. Economic forecasts even one year or two years out are highly uncertain. economy in the later part of 2024 was in a strong position.

Economy 162