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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. Or, as John Kenneth Galbraith observed, The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable. ~~~ Public Enemy’s 13th album was titled “ Man Plans, God Laughs.”

Banking 345
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Research links: more than math

Abnormal Returns

(rcmalternatives.com) How skew and kurtosis should play a role in portfolio construction. alphainacademia.substack.com) Some popular economics books to avoid including "Power and Progress," by Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson. morningstar.com) Research The 2025 Global Investment Yearbook is here.

Math 147
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March Madness: Final Four Investing Bracket 2025

Dear Mr. Market

My Portfolio Guide, LLC was the first investment firm to publish a March Madness investing bracket where we share our picks and match them up against each other. Read more : March Madness: Final Four Investing Bracket 2025 Large Cap Region: The Heavyweights Clash This years large-cap region includes some of the markets biggest names.

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Build a Resilient Investment Strategy With The All Weather Portfolio

Validea

Investors looking for a diversified portfolio that performs well in all market conditions have long been drawn to the All Weather Portfolio, a strategy pioneered by Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates. The portfolio allocates across U.S. 2025 YTD 1.2% 2025 YTD 1.2% GLD SPDR Gold Shares 7.5% +380.3% 2008 -0.4% -21.0%

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Top Dividend Aristocrats – June 2025

Validea

These companies have maintained dividend increases through different economic cycles, indicating their ability to generate steady cash flows and manage capital effectively. Currently, fewer than 70 companies meet this criteria across various sectors of the economy. CVX CHEVRON CORP $137.84 $240,768 15.8 SYY SYSCO CORP $73.06 $35,416 18.9

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Avoid the Unforced Investment Errors Even Billionaires Make

The Big Picture

All costs impact your returns, but high or excessive fees have an enormous impact as they compound or, more accurately, lessen your portfolios compounding over time. This was impossible, and I said so: Either you guys are either going to win the Nobel prize in economics or go to jail. There is nothing in between. (I

Investing 267
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Top Warren Buffett Stocks – June 2025

Validea

His strategy focuses on finding businesses with strong competitive positioningwhat he terms “economic moats”that can maintain superior profitability over many years. This strict standard mirrors Buffett’s preference for businesses with dependable profit generation that can perform well across different economic environments.