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A Historic Missed Opportunity

The Big Picture

2016 : Regardless of the nation in question, the appropriate approach to financing this debt suggests a long-term bond — whether with a 30-year or even 50-year maturity. There is a single solution to all of them: Issue more long bonds, preferably 30- or 50- year securities. A lot of what ails the U.S. Big Picture mirror A 50-Year U.S.

Economics 281
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MiB: Stephanie Kelton on US Fiscal Policy and the ‘Deficit Myth’

The Big Picture

” She has made virtually all the ‘top 50 lists’ including POLITICO’s 50 Most Influential Thinkers in 2016 and Bloomberg Businessweek’s 50 People Who Defined 2019. Senate Budget Committee, and was senior economic adviser for Bernie Sanders 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns.

Economics 197
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Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April and a Look Ahead to May Sales

Calculated Risk

Months-of-supply is at the highest level since 2016 (excluding one month near the start of the pandemic). Also, months-of-supply for April was above pre-pandemic levels for the period 2017-2019 and the highest for April since 2016. Sales SA were down YoY for the 3rd consecutive month and 40 of the last 44 months.

Sales 147
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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

Source : S&P 500s 2024 Rally Shocked Forecasters Expecting It to Fizzle By Alexandra Semenova and Sagarika Jaisinghani Bloomberg, December 29, 2024 See also : My Year-End Stock Market Forecast (December 10, 2024) All those 2025 mortgage rates forecasts are now wrong By Mike Simonsen Housing Wire, December 19, 2024 Previously : Coming March 18: (..)

Banking 345
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Realtor.com Reports Most Actively "For Sale" Inventory since December 2019

Calculated Risk

With inventory climbing, and sales depressed, months-of-supply is at the highest level since 2016 (excluding start of pandemic) putting downward pressure on house prices in certain areas. The median list price per square foot—which adjusts for changes in home size—rose 0.8% year over year.

Sales 214
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Summer Reading List Of “Best Books” For Financial Advisors – 2025 Edition

Nerd's Eye View

It quickly became a perennial favorite on Nerd's Eye View, and so I've updated it every year, with new lists of books in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and a fresh round last year in 2024.

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Monday links: a cult of personality

Abnormal Returns

imports from China have been declining since 2016. (bloomberg.com) You need a strategy to survive the commoditization of the asset management industry. philbak.substack.com) China The percentage of U.S. apolloacademy.com) China's marriage rate plunged in 2024. reuters.com) Global The Russian economy is under increasing pressure.

Media 170