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MiB: Colin Camerer on Neuroeconomics

The Big Picture

Camerer won the MacArthur Fellow (Genius award) in 2013. He is the portfolio manager of the Return Stacked ETF Suite, manging 800 million in ETF assets. He is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and holds fellowship at the Econometric Society and the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory.

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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased in Q1 2024

Calculated Risk

Asset Quality Metrics Remained Generally Favorable With the Exception of Material Deterioration in Credit Card and Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Portfolios: Loans that were 90 days or more past due or in nonaccrual status increased to 0.91 Total assets held by problem banks rose $15.8 billion to $82.1 Problem banks represent 1.4

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The Fed on "Possible Macroeconomic Effects of a Temporary Federal Debt Default"

Calculated Risk

From Federal Reserve Staff in 2013 on the debt ceiling debate: Possible Macroeconomic Effects of a Temporary Federal Debt Default. economy—Treasury securities are the world’s “safe” asset and the dollar is the world’s main reserve currency. This is relevant today. Failure to raise the U.S.

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Build a Resilient Investment Strategy With The All Weather Portfolio

Validea

Investors looking for a diversified portfolio that performs well in all market conditions have long been drawn to the All Weather Portfolio, a strategy pioneered by Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates. The portfolio allocates across U.S. equities, gold, commodities, and long-duration and intermediate-term Treasury bonds.

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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked. My portfolio was tiny; I had no 401k, and my wife’s 403(b), with less than a decade’s worth of contributions, was barely 5-figures.

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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

Low Stakes : The most successful market timers are often those people who do not have actual assets at risk. Catching the exact right moment when the crowd is mostly wrong goes against all of your instincts as a social primate.3 It’s utterly laughable. The less it matters, the easier it is to be bold and outside of the mainstream.4

Marketing 304
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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased Slightly in Q3 2024

Calculated Risk

Asset Quality Metrics Remained Generally Favorable, Though Weakness in Certain Portfolios Persists The past-due and nonaccrual (PDNA) loan ratio increased 6 basis points from the prior quarter to 1.54 2 Quarterly, banks reported an increase in the PDNA ratio in credit card loan portfolios (up 20 basis points to 3.36

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