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At the Money: Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed President on Tariffs, Inflation and Monetary Policy

The Big Picture

To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your portfolio, let’s bring in Austin Goolsbee. Look, this, this is a t tangled, uh, this is a tangled web, uh, that is critically important to, to the economy. Um, and so I, I think in a higher rate environment, if you’re trying to cool the economy, this is always true.

Economy 157
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4

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Chart of the Day – Ignoring Political Noise

Discipline Funds

During periods where Democrats were in total control the economy performed better, but the markets performed worse. And during periods of total Republican control the economy did worse and the markets performed better. The point here is that the markets and the economy don’t really care about politics.

Economy 59
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Market Commentary: Swift Election Results Boost Investors’ Confidence

Carson Wealth

It is the most for a Republican President since 1988, but it trails the 365 (2008) and 332 (2012) President Obama won in his two elections. How the economy is doing, Fed policy, inflation, valuations and overall market trends potentially matter much more. The services sector (which makes up more than 60% of our economy) is very strong.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Makes a New All-Time High, and a Look at Housing

Carson Wealth

The Case-Shiller National home price index declined by a cumulative 26% between 2007 and 2012—it’s unlikely we see anything of that magnitude in this cycle. The NASDAQ 100 Index includes publicly-traded companies from most sectors in the global economy, the major exception being financial services.

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Transcript: Lisa Shalett, CIO Morgan Stanley

The Big Picture

You’re there almost a decade, Lisa Shalett : So, and, and from 2012 to 2025, that’s a huge run. We have a very robust economy. And now here we are, and every couple of decades we have to go through these periods where there’s heat in the economy and inflation is one manifestation of the heat. 00:37:58 Right?

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Market Commentary: Why You Shouldn’t Fear New Highs

Carson Wealth

In other words, new highs happen a lot and being scared of new highs isn’t going to benefit your portfolio. You see, new highs happen in clusters that can last a decade plus, but the flipside is many years can also occur without any new highs, like when we saw a total of 13 new all-time highs in the 12 calendar years from 2000 through 2012.