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Seattle Redux: Misunderstanding Seasonal Adjustments

The Big Picture

Barry has written extensively about denominator blindness, i.e. throwing out a number without any context whatsoever. Well, the number is actually very close to the latter (1.470 million): So, 10k on 1.470 million is less than 1 percent — 0.68% to be exact. certain that the Journal got the number from BLS. But whatever.

Food 336
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Bracketology (2025 Edition)

The Better Letter

Nigl’s bracket finally went bust on game 50 (the third game on the second weekend) when three seed Purdue defeated number two Tennessee, 99-94, in overtime. And about 60 percent of national champions are one of the four number one seeds. A roulette wheel hitting the same number seven times in a row ( one in three billion ).

Numbers 74
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Transcript: Elizabeth Burton, Goldman Sachs Asset Management

The Big Picture

One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. New York is number one. Two reasons.

Assets 147
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Bracketology (2024 Edition)

The Better Letter

And about 60 percent of national champions are one of the four number one seeds. A roulette wheel hitting the same number seven times in a row ( one in three billion ). During the 2010 World Cup, Paul the Octopus picked the correct winner of eight-straight matches, including the final (his odds of doing so were one in 256 ).

Numbers 83
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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

The Big Picture

I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. One, we also saw a record number of credit card openings in Q1 and Q2.

Clients 299
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Transcript: Luis Berruga, Global X ETFs

The Big Picture

And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I was employee number 10. RITHOLTZ: Which is really a pretty big number.

Clients 162
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Trying To Learn From Risk Parity

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Kurtosis is a very fancy word where the higher the number, the greater the risk of an outlier result like 2022. A lower number is a mathematical representation of smoothing out the ride via fewer/smaller outlier results. The math is only off by a shade using leverage via UST and a little bit of SSO, remember RPAR is leveraged.