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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

While the GDP number for the first quarter disappointed, strength was evident beneath the surface. The weakest numbers were in areas that are volatile and tend to reverse, such as inventories and net exports. The core numbers were solid again and didn’t change our basic outlook for the rest of the year. in the first quarter.

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

Retail and food service sales have increased at an 8.6% Economic indicators across consumption, income, industry and the labor market don’t point to a recession. Fast forward 12 months and not only did we not have a recession, but economic growth has accelerated over the past quarter and is showing strong momentum as we head into 2024.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

Expectations were low mostly because we had received some disappointing April data recently that suggested the consumer may be weakening, including retail sales, disposable income, and services consumption. We didn’t even see significant revisions to March and April payroll numbers, and the 3-month average now sits at 249,000.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. In fact, the average annual number of jobs gained from 2010-2019 was 2.2 Another 20% gain is possible, however, as it has happened before four times.

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. That’s well above the 2010-2019 average of 2.4% And that is what is happening now.

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Market Commentary: Fundamentals May Be Aligned for Solid Stock Gains in 2024

Carson Wealth

The third quarter’s blockbuster productivity data follows a hot number from the prior quarter, when productivity rose 3.5% (annualized). annual pace, which is faster than the 2010-2019 pace of 1.2%. Fed members have watched inflation fall over the past year even as real economic growth has accelerated and unemployment has stayed low.

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Market Commentary: Market Rally to Close April, But Be Wary of “Sell in May”

Carson Wealth

Equities closed out April in strong form amid better-than-expected earnings and resilient economic data. Don’t Be Fooled by Headline GDP The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the U.S. Here’s how the various components contributed to the headline number in the fourth quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023.