Sat.Jul 30, 2022 - Fri.Aug 05, 2022

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Comments on July Employment Report

Calculated Risk

Today we celebrate the recovery of all the jobs lost in 2020, and the unemployment rate matching the lowest level since 1969. The headline jobs number in the July employment report was well above expectations, and employment for the previous two months was revised up by 28,000, combined. The participation rate decreased slightly, and the employment-population ratio increased slightly.

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How Amazon Become Ordinary

The Big Picture

“I constantly remind our employees to be afraid, to wake up every morning terrified. Not of our competition — but of our customers.” -Jeff Bezos, 1998 Amazon shareholder letter. We all know how much FAANMG stocks have faltered this year, but there is a bigger story brewing: The companies themselves seem to have…lost their way. What once made them great has slipped into their historical legacy, with less innovation and far less delight to its end users.

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How Mortgage Rate Increases are Affecting Commercial Real Estate Investment

Wealth Management

We are seeing investors shift into smaller tertiary markets where competition is weaker, value-add properties where the potential for rent increases is higher.

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Podcast links: long time horizons

Abnormal Returns

Business Zack Fuss talks with Christian Bellinger about the business of luxury giant LVMH. (joincolossus.com) Howard Lindzon talks with Will Ahmed, founder and CEO of WHOOP. (howardlindzon.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Hannah Elliott discuss how EVs are changing driving. (ritholtz.com) Derek Thompson talks with Ted Gioia on why old music is seemingly pushing aside new music.

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8 Ways to Torture Your CFO

The office of the CFO is rapidly evolving, with more and more demands being placed upon the finance and accounting team each year. Join us in this webinar, where we share 8 things to NOT do when it comes to helping the CFO office advance in supporting the business. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how best to support an organization's finance leadership.

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July Employment Report: 528 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 528,000 in July, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Both total nonfarm employment and the unemployment rate have returned to their February 2020 pre-pandemic levels.

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MiB: Hannah Elliott on Hypercars & EVs 

The Big Picture

?. This week, we speak with Bloomberg Businessweek staff writer Hannah Elliott , who reports on the automotive industry with a special focus on hyper-cars, motorcycles, and electric and luxury vehicles. She lives in Los Angeles, where car culture is enjoying a renaissance. NOTE : During the broadcast portion, we had the usual Q&A but in the podcast portion, this turned into a conversation; Hannah made the mistake of asking me a question and we were off to the races of me babbling about cars

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Dr. Amazon

The Reformed Broker

When you’re the size that Amazon is and you’re looking for growth, the only thing that could really move the needle for you is to attack a massive market opportunity. How does $4 trillion sound? That’s about what Americans spend directly on healthcare each year. Consider this past week’s acquisition as the solidifying piece of the story.

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Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 0.1% in July

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Decrease Minimally in July From Seasonal Adjustment Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) decreased 0.1% in July from June. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index declined to 219.6, up 12.5% from a year ago. The non-adjusted price change in July decreased 3.2% compared to June, leaving the unadjusted average price up 10.2% year over year. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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What Employment Sectors Are Growing the Fastest?

The Big Picture

Source: Visual Capitalist. It’s light summer posting season! I am heading out of town for a wedding, and then on to the “ Shadow Kansas City Federal Reserve Board ” next week, then some family gatherings. Meanwhile, mull over this chart of the 20 fastest growing jobs over the next decade. Enjoy what’s left of the Summer! The post What Employment Sectors Are Growing the Fastest?

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ETF Launches Slowed in July

Wealth Management

Fewer than 20 new ETFs came to the market last month. Here's a look at the new funds, including a batch of single-stock ETFs.

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How to Streamline Payment Applications & Lien Waivers Through Innovative Construction Technology

Speaker: Dylan Secrest, Founder of Alamo Innovation and Construction Digital Transformation Consultant

Construction payment workflows are notoriously complex when you consider juggling multiple stakeholders, compliance requirements, and evolving project scopes. Delays in approvals or misaligned data between budgets, lien waivers, and pay applications can grind progress to a halt. The good news? It doesn't have to be this way! Join expert Dylan Secrest to discover how leading contractors are turning payment chaos into clarity using digital workflows, integrated systems, and automation strategies.

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Personal finance links: a sense of purpose

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Steve Chen talks with Sam Dogen author of "Buy This, Not That: How To Spend Your Way To Wealth And Freedom." (newretirement.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Jordan Grumet author of "Taking Stock: A Hospice Doctor's Advice on Financial Independence, Building Wealth, and Living a Regret-Free Life." (morningstar.com) Noah Kagan talks money moves with Ramit Sethi author of "I Will Teach You To Be Rich.

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NY Fed Q2 Report: Total Household Debt Surpasses $16 trillion

Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Total Household Debt Surpasses $16 trillion in Q2 2022; Mortgage, Auto Loan, and Credit Card Balances Increase The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The Report shows an increase in total household debt in the second quarter of 2022, increasing by $312 billion (2%) to $16.15 trillion.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • The stock market can be an emotional roller coaster. It shouldn’t be. There’s how you think about investment risk — and then how you feel about it. ( Vox ). • Gen Z Knows What It Wants From Employers. And Employers Want Them. To tap into the creativity of younger workers, and to offset a labor shortage, companies are offering four-day weeks, club memberships and work-from-anywhere flexibility. ( New York Times ) see also You’re Back at the Office.

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Integrity Marketing Group Expands RIA Platform With $13B Gladstone Wealth Partners

Wealth Management

Gladstone Wealth Partners, an LPL-affiliated hybrid RIA, teams up with Integrity Marketing Group to “transform” financial planning.

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Your Accounting Expertise Will Only Get You So Far: What Really Matters

Speaker: Victor C. Barnes, CPA, MBA

In the climb from contributor to leader, the rules quietly change. If you’re aiming for the summit, the air gets thinner—and what got you here won’t be enough to get you to the top (a concept first popularized by Marshall Goldsmith in his book What Got You Here Won’t Get You There ). What made you successful early in your finance career—technical accuracy, sharp analysis, flawless execution—won’t be what carries you to the next level.

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Longform links: restaurant problems

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Peter Norton’s book “Fighting Traffic: The Dawn of the Motor Age in the American City.” (thereader.mitpress.mit.edu) An excerpt from "The Grieving Brain: The Surprising Science of How We Learn from Love and Loss by Mary-Frances O’Connor. (behavioralscientist.org) Environment Louisiana has been losing land for decades. A look at a plan to reverse things.

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Housing Inventory August 1st Update: Up 32.3% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Inventory is still increasing rapidly, but the inventory build has slowed somewhat over the last few weeks. Still, inventory is increasing much faster than normal for this time of year (both in percentage terms and in total inventory added). Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years: 2022: 13.4K 2021: 4.4K 2020: -13.4K 2019: 2.9K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 124% since then.

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Groucho Marx, Alts Guru

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO & “Masters in Business” host, discusses risk-reward and the less liquid aspects of the market: “I’m reminded of the words of the great investor, Groucho Marx, who said ‘ I don’t want to be a member of any club that would have me.”. When we look at alternatives and that’s everything from venture to hedge fund to private equity, the ones you can get into tend to not to be the top performing funds.

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Former TDAI Exec Kate Healy to Lead CFP Board Center for Financial Planning

Wealth Management

Healy, who was laid off from TD Ameritrade during its integration with Schwab, has volunteered with the Center for Financial Planning for several years. Now she'll lead it.

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How To Overcome Change Fatigue In Finance With Neuroscience-Backed Strategies

Speaker: Kim Beynon, CPA, CGMA, PMP

The most overlooked, yet most critical, element of transformation is preparing people for change. Automation and AI aren't just technical upgrades, they’re cultural shifts which can challenge identities. That’s why change management isn’t a side project—it’s the foundation. In finance, where precision and process rule, navigating change can feel especially disruptive.

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (August 2022)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the August 2022 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Envestnet has acquired Redi2, one of the most widely used ‘revenue management’ systems in broker-dealers that facilitates the flow of dollars coming in and being paid out to advisors in al

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Trade Deficit decreased to $79.6 Billion in June

Calculated Risk

From the Department of Commerce reported : The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $79.6 billion in June, down $5.3 billion from $84.9 billion in May, revised. June exports were $260.8 billion, $4.3 billion more than May exports. June imports were $340.4 billion, $1.0 billion less than May imports. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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2023 VF8 Vinfast

The Big Picture

VinFast established in 2017 out of Hanoi, Vietnam, was founded by serial entrepreneur Pham Nhat Vuong — he’s Vietnam’s first billionaire and got his start in business selling instant ramen in the Ukrainian market. They plan to sell two all-electric sport-utility vehicles in the U.S. to start: a midsize SUV, called the VF 8, that starts at $40,700, and a larger VF 9, starting at $55,500.

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Six Key Drivers to Consider on the Path to Independence

Wealth Management

With so many options to choose from, how does an advisor decide which path to independence to take?

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You upgrade everything else. Why not your close process?

You wouldn’t keep using a 2009 flip phone - so why settle for outdated close processes? It’s time for an upgrade. SkyStem's Guide to Month-End Close Software walks you through what today’s best tools can do (and what your team shouldn’t have to deal with anymore). Get smart, fast, and a whole lot less stressed when it’s time to close the books.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Aug 6-7)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the SEC has issued a new bulletin clarifying the responsibilities of brokers under Regulation Best Interest (Reg BI). The guidance indicates that, despite early fears that Reg BI was ‘overly accommodating’ to the brokerage industry, the Commission is expecting that reducing conflicts of interest should be an ongoing task for broker-dealers rat

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Construction Spending Decreased 1.1% in June

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during June 2022 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,762.3 billion, 1.1 percent below the revised May estimate of $1,781.9 billion. The June figure is 8.3 percent above the June 2021 estimate of $1,628.0 billion. emphasis added Both private and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,416.4 billion, 1.3 percent

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • Could This Little European Fund Be the Spark for a ‘Vanguard of Hedge Funds’? Hedge fund replication — which can be thought of as a slightly more complicated version of a stock index fund — just got a big boost from a small fund. Seven years after its launch, an SEI fund is beating all its illustrious peers. That could be enough to finally make this hedge fund replication’s moment.( Institutional Investor ). • Things Are Clear as Mud : This year has been all about i

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Getting Family Offices Ready for the Great Wealth Transfer

Wealth Management

Firms that don’t embrace technological solutions to track, analyze and assess risk across asset classes and geographies will be hard pressed to stay relevant.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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#FA Success Ep 292: Syndicating Private Real Estate Opportunities To Differentiate With HNW Clients, With Matthew Topley

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 292nd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Matthew Topley. Matthew is the Founder and CIO of Lansing Street Advisors, an independent RIA based in Ambler, Pennsylvania that oversees $160 million in assets under management for 60 client households. What’s unique about Matthew, though, is how he differentiates his firm by offering his high-net-worth clients opportunities to diversify their investment portfolios by syndicating pr

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Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy

Calculated Risk

These indicators are mostly for travel and entertainment. It is interesting to watch these sectors recover as the pandemic subsides. Notes: I've added back gasoline supplied to see if there is an impact from higher gasoline prices. Apple has discontinued "Apple mobility", and restaurant traffic is mostly back to normal. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers.

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Surprises? Not Many

The Big Picture

“With over 71% of S&P 500 companies finished reporting revenues and earnings for Q2-2021, the revenue and earnings surprises are at their lowest levels since the pandemic recovery began. Revenues are beating the consensus forecast by 2.5%, and earnings have exceeded estimates by 5.6%.” – Ed Yardeni. We enter the dog days of summer with markets coming off of their best July in years.

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Study: Bad Advisor Behavior Persists Under State Insurance Regimes

Wealth Management

Advisors with histories of serious misconduct who exit the brokerage industry often continue to provide advice under state insurance regulations and are likely to reoffend in the future, according to a recent Stanford Law study.

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The New Way Remote Finance Teams Are Protecting Accuracy And Building Resilience In A Cyber-Threatened World

Speaker: Cheryl J. Muldrew-McMurtry

Remote finance teams are rewriting how the back-office runs—and attackers are taking notes. Disconnected workflows, process blind spots, and rising cyber threats have become more than just “growing pains”. They’re now liabilities. The challenge isn’t just team distribution, but building resilient systems that protect accuracy, control, and speed across every transaction and touchpoint.