Sun.Sep 25, 2022

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Bear in mind

The Reformed Broker

Okay don’t press the <Buy> because of this but maybe reconsider pressing the <Sell> button if you haven’t already… The AAII sentiment poll hit 60% Bears this week. History says the more pessimistic the investor class becomes, the better the prospective returns look six months out. The way I think about this is that the only thing that could make investors really bearish is a big sell-off in t.

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MiB: Steve Case on AOL, Startups & Venture

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Steve Case , co-founder of America On-Line (AOL), founder of investment firm Revolution , Chair of the Smithsonian, and author of The Rise of the Rest: How Entrepreneurs in Surprising Places are Building the New American Dream. We discuss how he launched America Online in 1985 back when the internet was restricted to academia and the government.

Startup 316
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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Monthly Mortgage Payments Up Record Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

On Friday, the average 30-year mortgage rate hit 6.7% for zero points and top tier scenarios. This was the highest rate in 14 years and is close to the highest rate in over 20 years (above 6.76% will be the highest since early 2002). Here is a graph showing the 30-year rate using Freddie Mac PMMS , and MND for last week. Click on graph for larger image.

Insurance 246
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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Sunday links: incentivizing crazy behavior

Abnormal Returns

Markets Quality stocks have not been a defense against a bear market. (wsj.com) TIPS yields are at their highest level in a decade. (marketwatch.com) How rogue waves help explain market disasters. (bestinterest.blog) Strategy The bear case is obvious. What's the bull case? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Why you should be happier investing today than a year ago.

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Schedule for Week of September 25, 2022

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are August New Home sales, the third estimate of Q2 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for August, and Case-Shiller house prices for July. For manufacturing, the Richmond and Dallas Fed manufacturing surveys will be released this week. -- Monday, Sept 26th -- 8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August. This is a composite index of other data. 10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for September. -- Tuesday, Sept 27th -- 8:30 AM: Durable Good

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • August Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction • NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased Slightly to 4.80 million SAAR in August • Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different • Final Look at Local Housing Markets in August • 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in August This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

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What is the Fed Doing?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Don’t fight the Fed used to be a positive slogan. That’s not the case anymore. If anything, it feels like the Fed wants to fight us, all of us, including the stock market and the economy. The Fed is actively trying to crash the stock market, break the housing market and push the economy into a recession. How do I know this? Because Fed officials are literally telling us this every time they speak.

Economy 145
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Back to Basics

The Irrelevant Investor

The stock market fell around 5% last week. It did the same the week before that. The last few years made investing look easy. This year is setting the record straight. What makes this decline particularly unsettling is everyone saw it coming. If we do enter a recession, or if we are already in one, it will be the most widely anticipated economic slowdown in the history of time.

Economics 125
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Everything Older Workers Need to Know About Retiring

James Hendries

Many workers have been dreaming of retirement since they first entered the workforce. However, once this retirement date draws near, the prospect of giving up your primary source of income may be nerve-wracking, even if you’ve diligently saved and planned. Below, we discuss a few steps you may wish to take to potentially make this transition easier.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles We are living in a future that 99% of people in human history couldn’t have even begun to imagine. (By Packy McCormick) An entire generation has taught itself how to shoot, edit, graphically augment, and develop an audience for their content via TikTok, YouTube, and Snapchat (By Matthew Ball) Has the stock market changed (By Wes Gray) If you’re attuned to the thing you’re interested in, you see brea.

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[cdata[ 3 Tips to Help Protect Your Identity ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ In the age of technology, it's easier than ever for hackers to access your personal information. According to Experian, 1 in 20 Americans fall victim to identity theft every year. There are a few steps you can take to protect your financial identity: Place A Credit Freeze You can freeze your credit at the three main credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of BeanBox coffee, grab a seat int he den, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • LaGuardia Airport Is No Longer the Worst. This Team Fixed It : An elite squad was tasked with making sure the gleaming Terminal B was ready to open. There are lessons from LaGuardia for every business. ( Wall Street Journal ). • The robots are here.

Economics 310
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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • Fake cryptocurrency giveaway sites have tripled this year : The number of websites promoting cryptocurrency giveaway scams to lure gullible victims has increased by more than 300% in the first half of this year, targeting mostly English and Spanish speakers using celebrity deepfakes.

Media 293
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.