Sat.Aug 19, 2023

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MiB: Cass Sunstein on Decision Making

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with legal scholar Cass Sunstein , who founded and leads Harvard Law School’s Program on Behavioral Economics and Public Policy. He has authored numerous books, including the NYT bestseller The World According to Star Wars as well as “ Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth and Happiness ” (written with Richard H. Thaler); and “ Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment ” (written with Danny Kahneman).

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Saturday links: longer tails

Abnormal Returns

Autos American cars keep getting heavier. (semafor.com) Why EVs don't come with spare tires. (finance.yahoo.com) EV owners don't go back to ICEs. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Water Why we shouldn't be all that surprised that global oceans are warming. (cnbc.com) Why letting places like Venice get swallowed up by the sea is so unsettling. (wired.com) Alaska has a flooding problem.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Just wanted to say thanks to everyone who’s been watching the Friday night show I’ve been hosting with Michael Santoli for CNBC each week. Last night we had Cameron Dawson and Adam Parker on to talk about whether or not the August pullback is just a seasonal swoon or something more. Neither of them thought it was the start of some larger correction just yet.

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Bull Market Respite or Bear Market Rally?

Dear Mr. Market

Dear Mr. Market: Let’s first remind our readers again of who this “Mr. Market” character is. Our investment blog and star personality is in reference to Benjamin Graham’s metaphor in his book “ The Intelligent Investor ,” where he personifies the stock market as Mr. Market, an emotional and erratic character. Over the past few decades, rarely have we seen such unprecedented market action but also a total tug of war between emotions, volatility, politics, and w

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles Don’t look now, but US fiscal policy has become very loose again (By Michael Cembalest) If you’re explaining, you’re losing. (By Tom Morgan) Higher bond yields create a sort of escape velocity at some point where the interest payments offset the interest rate risk (By Cullen Roche) Everything is sales. (By Morgan Housel) Saving for a down payment is harder than it’s been in decades (By Nick Maggiulli) Lif.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • July Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction • The "New Normal" Mortgage Rate Range • Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August • Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July; 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in July; California Sales Down 9% YoY • Lawler: Is The “Natural” Rate of Interest Back to Pre-Financial Crisis Levels?

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Chart of the Week: Small Cap ETFs Come in Different Packages

Advisor Perspectives

This year has been the year of innovation, with artificial intelligence (AI) all the rage. Yet, many advisors are focusing on other investment styles to round out client portfolios.

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Schedule for Week of August 20, 2023

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are July New and Existing Home sales. For manufacturing, the August Richmond and Kansas City Fed surveys will be released. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak on the "Economic Outlook" at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. The BLS will release the preliminary employment benchmark revision on Wednesday. -- Monday, August 21st -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, August 22nd -- 10:00 AM: Existing Home Sales for July from the National Association of Realt

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Don’t Accept Losses from Virtue Investing

Advisor Perspectives

You put on a trade. You are short bonds, or something like that. It may be tempting to see the people on the other trade as the “bad guys,” while you are the “good guys.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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How Much Does A Million Dollar Life Insurance Policy Cost?

Good Financial Cents

Do you think a million-dollar term life insurance policy sounds like too much insurance? As a Certified Financial Planner, I see underinsured people every day. What do I tell them? A million-dollar term life insurance policy might actually be the minimum coverage needed for the typical middle-class household, but it’s affordable. That might sound like an exaggeration, but if you crunch the numbers – just as we’ll be doing a little bit – you’ll realize that a million-dollar policy might be just w

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Rosenbluth Digs Into the Types of AI Funds of TD Ameritrade

Advisor Perspectives

Todd Rosenbluth appeared on TD Ameritrade to discuss artificial intelligence in advance of VettaFi’s upcoming August 30th AI Symposium.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Investment Lessons from 400 Years of “Confusion of Confusions” Three Hundred and Thirty-Five years ago, in 1688, Joseph de la Vega wrote, “Confusion de Confusiones”, considered to be worlds first book on stock trading. What was unique about the book was that it focussed on a topic that was new, trading of shares in Amsterdam stock exchange, considered to be the oldes