Sun.Jan 22, 2023

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The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices

Calculated Risk

Earlier, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter on December existing home sales, NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December , I mentioned that the median price was down more than normal seasonally. Below is a table of the seasonal pattern over the last several years. Seasonally prices typically peak in June (closed sales for contracts signed mostly in April and May).

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week What investment beliefs do you hold that a majority of investment pros would disagree with? (mebfaber.com) Is this a new bull market? Hold on. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) The stock market typically bottoms before earnings. (tker.co) Nick Maggiulli, "Being rich is a feeling." (ofdollarsanddata.com) Time and patience play a big role in wealth building.

Insurance 272
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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of January 22, 2023 Monday: • No major economic releases are scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 and DOW futures are down slightly (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last week with WTI futures at $81.64 per barrel and Brent at $87.63 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $85, and Brent was at $90 - so WTI oil prices are DOWN 5% year-over-year.

Economics 261
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5 Numbers That Will Tell Us How the U.S. Economy Does This Year

A Wealth of Common Sense

This continues to be one of the more confusing economic environments in history. Every other day the narrative switches between an imminent recession and a soft landing. Neither outcome would surprise me at this point. Some economic indicators are screaming slowdown while others are giving an all-clear. This state of limbo is making it difficult to know what’s going to happen.

Numbers 138
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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Sunday links: the long haul

Abnormal Returns

Markets The Nasdaq 100 is up every week this year. (allstarcharts.com) Market narratives shift all the time. Don't get caught up in it all. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Why higher interest rates won't cause a big shift from stocks into bonds. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Crypto How does Genesis' bankruptcy filing affect the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($GBTC)?

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How To Stop Stress Shopping From Ruining Your Finances

Clever Girl Finance

Have you ever bought something to make yourself feel better? If so, you're not alone. Many people turn to shopping to relieve stress and help boost their mood. Yet sometimes, stress shopping or retail therapy can develop into a habit. Since shopping when stressed can improve your mood, what happens when it goes too far? Overspending to make yourself feel better can easily cause more stress.

Retail 105

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Average Savings By Age 25, 30, 35, 40, And Beyond

Clever Girl Finance

Whether you're asking "How much should you have saved by 25?" or "How much should you have saved by 40?" you know that saving for your future is always critical. So, learning about the average savings by age can help you size up your finances to see if you are on the right track. Recently, over half of Americans in a survey said that they are changing their priorities to save more money for their future.

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Talk Your Book: The Biggest Short Squeeze of All Time

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by KraneShares: Today we are joined by Luke Oliver, Managing Director, Head of Climate Investments, and Head of Strategy at Kraneshares to discuss Kraneshares suite of climate ETFs. On today’s show, we discuss: How emissions are financialized Voluntary vs compliant carbon markets How emissions are related to political risk How the ETF is constructed What drives carbon price H.

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Back To The Factor Lab Again

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The Schwab US Dividend ETF (SCHD) got a lot of positive attention for how well it did in 2022 versus market cap weighted (MCW) S&P 500. According to Portfoliovisualizer, SCHD dropped 3.23% while MCW dropped 18.17%, essentially 1500 basis points of outperformance which is outstanding. From 2012 through 2022, SCHD had a CAGR of 13.51% versus 12.78% for MCW and a standard deviation that was lower by 59 basis points.

Numbers 74
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[cdata[ 3 Money Moves For 2023 ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ The new year has brought with it welcome relief as most stock indices have posted back-to-back weekly gains to start the year. However, it may not be all smooth sailing ahead. As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates to bring inflation under control, many economists are now predicting that we are in store for a recession in 2023.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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Using Options Funds? Tread Carefully

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Simplify ETFs Tweeted a link to their year end summary of how their funds performed in 2022. We've looked at some of their funds over the last year or so, awhile back I test drove one in my account for possible client use, and each time I circle back, I am left with the same conclusion, they don't seem to work the way I as a prospective user would want them to.

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Tax Prep Checklist: Everything You Need to Be Ready for Tax Season

James Hendries

Regardless of whether you prepare your taxes yourself or use a professional’s services, it’s a good idea to gather the information and documentation you need well in advance of your actual tax filing date. Below, we’ve listed some key information you need when preparing this year’s taxes. Your Personal Information The personal information you may need to file taxes may contain information from your prior year’s return, including: Your Social Security Number (SSN), a

Taxes 52
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Fundamental Analysis of Gujarat Fluorochemicals

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Gujarat Fluorochemicals: They say corporate events such as buyouts, demergers, etc. can create valuable opportunities for investors. Perhaps, Gujarat Fluorochemicals have been one such case. Over the last three years, the chemicals stock has advanced by 385%. Or is it because of the China Plus One strategy? Or the company was always undervalued?

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13 Key Capsule Wardrobe Basics For A Fabulous Wardrobe!

Clever Girl Finance

Capsule wardrobes are already super popular for obvious reasons. But the main reason is that they make life easier! When your closet has limited items full of capsule wardrobe basics, you save time. Not to mention you can avoid overthinking about your outfit early in the morning. You can also save money by creating multiple outfit combinations with fewer items so you avoid buying more things.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • Just How Common Is Corporate Fraud? A new study estimates that on average 10 percent of public companies commit securities fraud each year. ( New York Times ) • Skipped Showers, Paper Plates: An Arizona Suburb’s Water Is Cut Off : Hundreds of homes outside the boundaries of Scottsdale can no longer get water from the city, now their owners are living a worst-case scenario of drought in the West. ( New York

Medical 261