Fri.Nov 11, 2022

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Big Moves: Bears & Bottoms

The Big Picture

Yesterday’s explosive move higher was exactly what I was referring to last month in Groping for a Bottom , when I suggested the risks were asymmetrical in : “The risk here feels asymmetric : The downside appears to me as a potential grind lower — the Fed overtightens, then keeps over-tightening; maybe earnings miss badly; That mild recession we have been discussing — what if it turns out to be much worse than expected?

Marketing 279
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10 Ways to Elevate Your Google Business Profile

Wealth Management

More and more affluent investors are starting their search for an advisor online.

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Insiders

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2023 BMW i7 EV

The Big Picture

The 7 Series is all new and redesigned, with your choice of electric or traditional ICE powertrains: the 740i is a rear-drive, 3.0-liter BMW TwinPower Turbo inline 6-cylinder that makes 375 HP; the 760i xDrive Sedan is all-wheel drive, with a 4.4-liter BMW TwinPower Turbo V-8 engine making 536HP. But the top of the line is now an all-electric luxury sedan: the i7 starting at $119,300, producing 536 HP, with a range that is about 300 miles. 0-60 MPH only takes 4.5 seconds.

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Bolster Your Bench with Wealthtech Talent During Downturns

Wealth Management

Strategic wealthtech and advisory firms should always be scanning “waivers” for experienced talent

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Podcast links: finding your audience

Abnormal Returns

The biz Podcasts are great way to reach a business-oriented audience. (trungphan.substack.com) How Spotify ($SPOT) has maintained its audio lead. (cnbc.com) Financial history Barry Ritholtz talks with Edward Chancellor authof of “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest.” (ritholtz.com) Allison Schrager talks with William Goetzmann about how finance enabled civilization.

Startup 245
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Commonwealth Sets $1T Growth Goal As It Leans Into RIA Market

Wealth Management

The firm’s executives said they are pressing forward on the path toward becoming a national RIA, lowering platform fees, bringing commission trails in-house, expanding capital options for the affiliated businesses, and bulking up its suite of services designed for fee-based advisors.

More Trending

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Junk-Bond ETFs Post Record Inflow in Dash Back to Risk

Wealth Management

It was the largest combined influx the two biggest ETFs in the category have ever received.

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Friday links: not out of the woods

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Now is the time to clear out all your bad trades before the new bull market gears up. (neckar.substack.com) The best asset allocation is one you can stick with. (awealthofcommonsense.com) FTX FTX has filed for bankruptcy. (nytimes.com) FTX, SBF and affiliates made all manner of investments. (fortune.com) What VCs lost with the FTX implosion.

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FTX Collapse Is a Feature, Not a Bug, of Financial Innovation

Wealth Management

The leverage and other aspects everyone tut-tuts about after-the-fact are essential for economic progress.

Economics 244
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The Day Inflation Broke

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Warren Pies, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the latest in markets, inflation, the effects of seasonality, what could be next, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods! Listen here: Apple podcasts Spotify podcasts Google podcasts Everywhere else!

Marketing 241
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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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Wall Street Hit by New Reality as Legal Risks of CO2 Pact Grow

Wealth Management

As the world awaits the final result of the US midterms, the finance industry is trying to figure out how vulnerable the outcome will leave it.

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Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November A brief excerpt: Over the last month … 1. New listings have declined further year-over-year. 2.Mortgage rates had increased further but declined this week. 3. House prices are declining month-over-month (MoM) as measured by the repeat sales indexes.

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2023 Outlook Across the Four Levers of Performance

Wealth Management

Thursday, December 01, 2022 | 11:00 AM ET

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The Triffin Dilemma and Why it Matters More Than Ever (Video)

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here’s a new Three Minute Money video on the Triffin Dilemma and why it matters more than ever.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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The Crypto Casino Fails, FTX Files for Bankruptcy $8 Billion in the Hole

Mish Talk

Image of Sam Bankman-Fried and Bill Clinton courtesy of CoinDesk. CoinDesk reports Washington, D.C.’s Buddy Sam Bankman-Fried Has Some Explaining to Do. FTX was a big donor to Democrats in the mid-term elections. FTX hit an all-time high of $85 on Sept. 9, 2021 but may soon be worthless. It is the biggest plunge ever in market cap. FTX Files for Bankruptcy It's all over for FTX.

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Early Q4 GDP Tracking

Calculated Risk

It is early in Q4. we will have more estimates next week. From BofA: [Forecast 1.0% in Q4 ] Overall, the data since our last weekly publication pushed down our 3Q GDP tracking estimate from 3.1% q/q saar (seasonally adjusted annual rate) to 3.0% q/q saar. Looking ahead to next week, there are a number of data releases that could affect 3Q tracking, including retail sales on Wednesday, which will also kick-off our 4Q tracking.

Retail 147
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FTX US Declares Bankruptcy Too, What About the FTX Arena?

Mish Talk

Let's compare the above capture to recent statements. 100% Liquid and 100% Bankrupt Here is a fascinating development. " FTX US, the US based exchange that accepts Americans, was not financially impacted by this sh*tsh*w. It's 100% liquid. Every user could fully withdraw (modulo gas fees etc). Updates on its future coming. " FTX US is 100% liquid and 100% bankrupt.

Math 158
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Of Bronze and Blue

Alpha Architect

A Veteran's Day Blog. This summer, The Basic School in Quantico, Virginia unveiled a memorial, honoring lieutenants that were killed in Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom. Of Bronze and Blue was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019

Calculated Risk

From CoStar: STR: Calendar Shift Causes Weekly US Hotel Occupancy To Fall As expected due to the Halloween calendar shift, U.S. hotel performance came in lower than the previous week and showed weakened comparisons to 2019, according to STR‘s latest data through Nov. 5. Oct. 30 through Nov. 5, 2022 (percentage change from comparable week in 2019*): • Occupancy: 62.4% (-9.2%) • Average daily rate (ADR): $147.48 (+11.4%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): $91.99 (+1.1%) While none of the Top 2

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4 Concerning Personal Finance Charts

A Wealth of Common Sense

This is how Americans spend their money1 (according to a study by the Bureau of Labor Statistics): Like most aggregates when you’re dealing with hundreds of millions of people, everyone’s spending is probably somewhat different than these averages. But directionally these numbers look right to me from a big-picture perspective. The two biggest line items for the majority of households are housing and transpor.

Numbers 125
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Good News is Good News

The Irrelevant Investor

When there is a big news release, I like to look at the market’s response before seeing the numbers. I’m more interested in the reaction to the news than the news itself.* One month ago I was driving into the city with Josh, waiting on the CPI report with my face glued to my phone. Futures tanked at 8:30, and I knew inflation came in hotter than expected.

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Year-End Financial Checklist

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

2022 has been a difficult and trying year for stock and bond indexes in both emerging and developed markets. We are on pace to post the first double-digit loss in the major US markets since 2008. After a run of 13 years, it is understandable for investors to want to close their eyes and wait for the storm to pass. However, in times of market runoffs, it is important to review your finances and check the boxes on year-end tasks to ensure you are well-positioned for when the markets rebound.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Revolutionize Advisor Events

Advisor Perspectives

It’s time to take a fresh look at advisor meetings.

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6 Steps For Getting Clarity To Achieve Your Life’s Goals!

Clever Girl Finance

When you don’t know exactly what you want, how will you know when you have it? That problem is precisely why it’s so important to find clarity in your life. Getting clarity to achieve your life’s goals is possible. Sometimes we find ourselves feeling lost in life , drifting along. Maybe we have some clue about what we actually want to achieve, or maybe we feel completely aimless.

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Financial Tips for Couples Getting Remarried in their Retirement

Advisor Perspectives

Here are some suggestions to consider when remarrying.

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Can We Trust Fixed Income Ever Again? Allocation Pivot!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

I wanted to circle back to a couple of things from yesterday's post. First, the growing pains at Twitter. They are selling blue check "verification" for $8/mo. I'm pretty sure there is no vetting going on and this happened. It's fake but still caused a 5% decline in the shares of Eli Lilly (LLY). It also took down client holding Novo-Nordisk (NVO) down 5% too.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Recession Thoughts

Advisor Perspectives

Early this week, with the severe inverted yield curve and other signals flashing recession, I planned to use this letter to delve into the data. Then Thursday’s CPI data convinced markets to blow the all-clear whistle.

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NAIFA-NC Past President Roger Sims Receives Q3 Membership Hardhat Award

NAIFA Advisor Today

We're proud to announce Roger Sims, CLU, LUTCF , has received NAIFA's 2022 Q3 Membership Hard Hat Award.

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Help clients meet the needs of their plan participants

Advisor Perspectives

Offer more ways clients may achieve their retirement plan goals while helping address the diverse investment needs of participants. Learn about our industry-leading investments and expertise—featuring more default options and more personalized asset allocation.

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3 Ways to Cope with the Retirement Blues

Integrity Financial Planning

Settling down for retirement after many years of work can feel like a sigh of relief, a moment to catch your breath and slow down. However, this shift in lifestyle can also bring up feelings of sadness, anxiety, and loss of purpose. Studies show that a third of retirees develop symptoms of depression, [1] especially those who have lost a spouse, live alone, retired unexpectedly, [2] or are simply struggling to adjust.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.