Remove Budgeting Remove Economy Remove Valuation
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Financial market round-up – Jul’25

Truemind Capital

In Q1’25 US Economy contracted at a rate of 0.5% Monetary and fiscal policies decisions in the form of the recent rate cuts and budget tax breaks can lift household consumption, especially in the festive season ahead. annual rate, the first negative reading since Q1 2022. in May), making interest rate decisions tricky. q-o-q and 10.8%

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7 Areas Where Probabilities of Errors Are Rising

The Big Picture

How that plays out in the courts and the economy is as yet unknown. Whether it comes from DOGE or the Budget process or a minor court case or a more serious challenge, we should be aware of the changing environment. They do increase the vulnerability of the economy to a shock, and that is the risk factor here.

Economy 288
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Market Commentary: Investment Takeaways as Tariffs Take Their Toll on Markets

Carson Wealth

But what we do know is that with every decline, more risk has already been priced in and stock valuations have become cheaper compared to their longer-term earnings potential. In fact, this outcome would be expected among capitalist economies. This brings up an important point. Heres how the calculations were actually done.

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Transcript: John Montgomery, Bridgeway Capital Management

The Big Picture

That was like, I should have paid more attention to that question because my budget, my business plan was 50% of our net worth before it was all said and done. So you think of old economy stocks and new economy stocks is another way to think about ’em. I mean, and I immediately got the 80 20 rule. Question one.

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Three Things – This is a Big Deal

Discipline Funds

This is a baseline estimate though and other researchers like the Yale Budget Lab have the figure closer to 17%, although they’re assuming the other countries remain at current levels. They discuss the drivers of US outperformance and conclude that the main driver was rising valuations. rate at the start of the year.

Taxes 59
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Things Change

The Better Letter

IBM’s return was fueled by growing earnings, growing dividends, and buying back stock at cheap valuations. The broader economy matters. We’ll see what 2030 and beyond bring. What can we learn from this exercise or, at least, be reminded of? Here are ten to start. It’s hard to stay on top. Often a lot.

Numbers 100
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Defense Stocks Rally Amid Rising Global Tensions – Sustainable or Speculative?

Trade Brains

The ongoing war in Ukraine, renewed instability in the Middle East, tensions across the Taiwan Strait, and NATO’s growing focus on deterrence have all led to increased military spending by major economies. The United States, already the largest defense spender globally, passed a record $886 billion defense budget for FY2024.