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The May statement said that “Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further”. Given the 115pp reduction in bilateral US-China tariffs on May 12, we think a more appropriate characterization could be: “Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated”. The March SEP was pre-“Liberation Day”. annualized.
Fed's Beige Book Overall economic activity rose slightly since mid-January. Banking activity was slightly higher on balance among Districts that reported on it. Overall expectations for economic activity over the coming months were slightly optimistic. Agricultural conditions deteriorated some among reporting Districts.
This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. It is especially true for strategists and forecasters at large brokers and banks. So as strategists at Bank of America Corp., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., One last reminder: All forecasts are marketing.
From the NY Fed: Household Debt Rose Modestly; Delinquency Rates Remain Elevated The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $147 billion (0.8%) in Q3 2024, to $17.94
From the NY Fed: Household Debt Growth Remains Steady; Auto Loan Originations Pick Up The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $185 billion (1%) in Q2 2025, to $18.39
The transcript from this weeks, MiB: Melissa Smith, co-Head of Commercial Banking at JPMorgan , is below. Melissa Smith is co-head of commercial banking for JP Morgan. Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. And just to define that middle market sort of means in, in the commercial banking, right?
The HDFC Bank share continues to play a defining role in India’s financial markets, particularly in 2025. Its price movement has gone beyond reflecting individual performance it is now influencing the broader banking index, Bank Nifty , in a visible and consistent manner. HDFC Bank Shares’ Impact on Bank Nifty 1.
Excerpts: The economic environment has changed significantly since 2020, and our review will reflect our assessment of those changes. Many estimates of the longer-run level of the policy rate have risen , including those in the Summary of Economic Projections. From Fed Chair Powell: Opening Remarks.
Since the last projections were released, economic growth has been above expectations, the unemployment rate is below expectations, and somewhat inflation lower than expected (although there are some "base effects" that might push PCE inflation up in Q4). Projections will NOT be released at this meeting. June 2024 1.9 June 2024 1.9
Synopsis: ICICI Bank posted stronger profit growth and loan expansion, while HDFC Bank led in deposit growth and announced a bonus issue. Both banks showed mixed Q1 FY26 results amid rising NPAs. lakh crores, shares of ICICI Bank Limited surged nearly 3 percent on BSE to close in the green at Rs. lakh crores.
Since the last projections were released, economic growth has been below expectations, the unemployment rate and inflation close to expectations. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2025 2026 2027 Jun 2025 1.2 For review, here are the June projections.
From the NY Fed: Household Debt Balances Continue Steady Increase; Delinquency Transition Rates Remain Elevated for Auto and Credit Cards The Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorks Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit.
Fed Chair Powell presents the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. -- Monday, February 10th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, February 11th -- 6:00 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for January. 8:30 AM: The Consumer Price Index for January from the BLS.
Fed Chair Powell speaks on the economic outlook on Friday. -- Monday, March 3rd -- 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for February. 12:30 PM: Speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Economic Outlook , At The University of Chicago Booth School of Business 2025 U.S. The key report scheduled for this week is the February employment report.
For manufacturing, the June Industrial Production report and the July New York and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, July 14th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, July 15th -- 8:30 AM: The Consumer Price Index for June from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in CPI, and a 0.3%
Globally, Asian markets traded with mixed cues as investors digested fresh economic data from China. Bank Nifty Chart & Price Action Analysis (In this analysis, we have used 20/50/100/200 EMAs, where 20 EMA (Red), 50 EMA (Orange), 100 EMA (Light Blue), 200 EMA (Dark Blue)). and closed around 57,443.90 points or 0.41%. to 12.39.
How should investors view the relationship between trade policy and inflation in the current economic environment? This week, we speak withAustan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. He’s president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. That is a sign of credibility of the central bank.
sherwood.news) Finance Daniel Davies, "The essence of managing an investment banking franchise is that the biggest driver of success is the capacity to bear pain." jeffreyptak.substack.com) Global China is more diverse (economic) than you think. wsj.com) AI Alibaba ($BABA) has pivoted to AI. ft.com) Dating apps are leveraging AI.
From the NY Fed: Change in Household Debt Balances Mixed; Student Loan Delinquencies Rise Sharply The Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorks Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $167 billion (0.9%) in Q1 2025, to $18.20
At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to be unchanged at 77.4%. •
For manufacturing, the July Richmond and Kansas City Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, July 21st -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, July 22nd -- 8:30 AM: Speech Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Opening Remarks , At the Integrated Review of the Capital Framework for Large Banks Conference, Washington, D.C.
” Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Phil Pearlman, is former Chief Behavioral Officer at the Bank of the Ozarks and founder of the Pearl Institute. Previously, he served as executive editor at Stocktwits and was chief behavioral officer at the Bank of the Ozarks. Let’s bring in Phil Perlman.
It’s often characterized by economic pessimism and declining investor confidence. Market Metrics & Economic Indicators GDP, CPI, P/E ratios—economic indicators can sound like alphabet soup, but they can be the pulse checks of your investments. Central banks aim to control inflation to keep economies stable.
In contrast, the realty sector saw pronounced selling pressure, signalling risk aversion and waning investor confidence in economically sensitive segments. Bank Nifty (In this analysis, we have used 20/50/100/200 EMAs, where 20 EMA (Red), 50 EMA (Orange), 100 EMA (Light Blue), and 200 EMA (Dark Blue)). on Monday, down by -313.8
So I bought Silicon Valley Bank options (SVB) right after it got cut in halfbut right before it went to zero. This was impossible, and I said so: Either you guys are either going to win the Nobel prize in economics or go to jail. I was up so much on that trade that my trading demons were emboldened. There is nothing in between. (I
At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. During the day, The AIA's Architecture Billings Index for March (a leading indicator for commercial real estate).
From the Philly Fed : The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for February 2025. An explanation from the Philly Fed: The coincident indexes combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic. The Philadelphia Feds U.S.
From the Philly Fed : The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for January 2025. An explanation from the Philly Fed: The coincident indexes combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic. The Philadelphia Feds U.S.
The recently released Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey showed a record number of participants who intend to cut US exposure, as shown in the chart below. Afterward Powell participated in a Q&A, with the former head of India’s Central Bank and University of Chicago professor, Raghuram Rajan.
In addition, we look at how the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Criminal Investigation unit is leveraging banking data to detect financial crimes, and examine a proposed 5 percent payroll tax in Washington state that could significantly impact businesses. Did you miss last weeks edition? Wrappe, J.D.,
When the Reserve Bank of India announced a 100 basis point cut in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) alongside a 50 basis point reduction in the repo rate , the immediate narrative that dominated headlines was simple: liquidity infusion. The Real Economic Undercurrent A CRR cut is not just a technical move.
For manufacturing, the December Industrial Production report and the January New York and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, January 13th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, January 14th -- 6:00 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for December. The consensus is for a 0.4% down from 0.2.
I hesitate to criticize Saylor because this bet has worked out brilliantly so far, but that doesn’t change the way economics and finance works. 3) The worlds best (or worst) investment bank. Saylor makes this claim by arguing that the money supply is increasing by 15% and that that is essentially the real cost of future money.
8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Begins. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; December 10, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Last weeks riddle: I have a bank, yet no cash. Retail Sales. Industrial Production.
Since February this year, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has reduced the repo rate by a total of 100 basis points. percent, signaling a clear shift toward monetary easing to support economic growth. percent, signaling a clear shift toward monetary easing to support economic growth. percent to 5.50 percent to 5.50 percent to 5.5
Introduction to GIFT City and Its Legal-Economic Status The Gujarat International Finance Tech-City, commonly referred to as GIFT City, is a landmark initiative by the Government of India aimed at creating a world-class financial centre within the country.
2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. -- Thursday, December 5th -- 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 55.5, down from 56.0.
Economics Noah Smith talks abundance with Derek Thompson. podcasts.apple.com) Tyler Cowen talks central banking with president of the Chicago Fed Austan Goolsbee. podcasts.apple.com) Tyler Cowen talks central banking with president of the Chicago Fed Austan Goolsbee.
Weekly Market Insights | October 28th, 2024 Stocks Mixed Ahead of Election Stocks were mixed last week as fresh economic data points and election-related uncertainty slowed market momentum. 8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. ABA Banking Journal, October 25, 2024 7. Consumer Confidence.
Bachelor’s in economics and a BS in computer science from Wellesley in Boston and then an MBA from Harvard Business School. So it was Pascal then c plus plus, and then I took an economics class and that’s when the lights went off because it was a very mathematical field in many ways, but also with a link to the Rio economy.
This will be a light week for economic data. The key report this week is the June Trade Deficit. -- Monday, August 4th -- 2:00 PM: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) for July. -- Tuesday, August 5th -- 8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for June from the Census Bureau. This graph shows the U.S.
The key economic reports this week are October CPI and Retail Sales. For manufacturing, October industrial production and the November New York Fed survey will be released this week. -- Monday, November 11th -- Veterans Day Holiday : Most banks will be closed in observance of Veterans Day. The consensus is for a 0.3%
Related: David Kowachs &Partners Recruits Wells Fargo Veteran in Virginia “We are quite pleased to hear this update,” Citizens Bank analyst Devin Ryan wrote in a note that reiterated the bank’s outperform rating.
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