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Financial Market Round-Up – Apr’24

Truemind Capital

Central Governments have given hope of meaningful rate cuts within this year. However, unsatisfactory progress to the falling inflation trajectory in the latest numbers has dampened the hope of cutting the rates anytime soon. Indian equity benchmark BSE Sensex went up by only 2% due to already stretched equity valuations.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Oct’23

Truemind Capital

Even after reducing the balance sheet size from $8 trillion to $7 trillion, the impact on liquidity has not been much due to excessive spending by the US Government. The current fiscal deficit of the US Government is expected to be 7% in the current financial year, which is multi-decade high. Fitch Ratings downgraded U.S.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jan’24

Truemind Capital

Despite reducing overall liquidity and increasing interest rates by the FED, the widening of the government fiscal deficit, a tight labor market, rising wages, receding inflation, and positive wealth effects helped maintain abundant liquidity and boosted sentiments.

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What lessons today’s investors can learn from the collapse of the Roman Empire?

Truemind Capital

However, due to the finite supply of silver and gold, the spending was limited by the number of Denarii that could be minted. Thus, by debasement of the currency, they were able to make more coins which led to higher spending by the Government. Fast forward to the present times, the gold standard is not used by any government now.

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Global Portfolio Strategy | July 7, 2022

James Hendries

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities.

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Global Portfolio Strategy | August 3, 2022

James Hendries

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. It is expressed as a number of years. We could see a retest of 3.5% over the next few months.

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Market, Stocks, and Bonds Lessons Learned from 2022 | Weekly Market Commentary | January 9, 2023

James Hendries

When LPL Research released the Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton in December 2021, the team’s view was that the hit from inflation would be manageable and would therefore limit the number and magnitude of interest rate increases, enable the U.S. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations.