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Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!). economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking.
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. range in Q4 2025. What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025? It appears that the participation rate will decline in 2025 based on demographics and that population growth will slow due to less net migration.
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. Most FOMC participants expect around two 25 bp rate cuts in 2025. What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2025? by the end of 2025 (Q4-over-Q4). I also expect the FOMC to slow balance sheet runoff in 2025.
Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: In Q1 2025, 19% of Units Started Built-for-Rent were Single Family Brief excerpt: Along with the monthly housing starts report for April released last week, the Census Bureau also released Housing Units Started by Purpose and Design through Q1 2025.
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Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025 A brief excerpt: Yesterday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-January provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always focus first on inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale !
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-March provides a snapshot of the current housing market. months in January 2025, up from 3.0 Inventory, inventory, inventory! Inventory usually tells the tale.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Moody's: Q1 2025 Apartment Vacancy Rate Highest Since 2010; Office Vacancy Rate at Record High A brief excerpt: From Moodys Analytics Economists: Q1 Moodys CRE Preliminary Trend Analysis The national multifamily market has been under supply-side pressure over the past two years.
Register now for February 20th, 2025 at 12:00 pm PT, 3:00 pm ET, 8:00 pm BST to reserve your spot! Advanced Preparation: None Required. Delivery Method: Group Internet-Based. Feedback and Comments: contact marketing@skystem.com or call 646-833-3177.
For investors, the prudent path remains clear—embrace low-cost, systematically managed funds and let the odds work in your favor as opposed to active management.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025 A brief excerpt: Earlier this week, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales.
The Census Bureau released the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership report for Q1 2025 today. National vacancy rates in the first quarter 2025 were 7.1 The results of this survey were significantly distorted by the pandemic in 2020. However, there are serious questions about the accuracy of this survey. percent).
Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Policy and 2025 Housing Outlook Excerpt: I started the year taking Fed Chair Jerome Powells approach to the impact of policy: Id wait to see what was implemented before changing my outlook. Now we know a little more. In fact, sales were down YoY.
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Today, I am participating in a few events at Bloomberg’s Hedge Fund Forum 2025. The post Bloomberg Hedge Fund & Alternative Manager Forum 2025 appeared first on The Big Picture. I am looking forward to this conversation. I will drop the full panel discussion into the MiB feed as a bonus Masters in Business live.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-July provides a snapshot of the current housing market. Given current market conditions, NAHB is forecasting a decline in single-family starts for 2025.”
2025 has had a tumultuous start for most advisory firms, as tariffs-driven market volatility has increased client anxiety and the amount of required hand-holding, forcing advisory firms to manage their own expenses a bit more closely in the face of greater revenue uncertainty.
Therefore, meaningful revisions to the 2025 forecasts are likely. at the end of 2025 (3.9%-4.4%) GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2025 2026 2027 Mar 2025 1.5 As of April 2025 , PCE inflation increased 2.1 Dec 2024 1.8 Dec 2024 4.2
Register now for April 22nd, 2025 at 9:00 am PT, 12:00 pm ET, 4:00 pm BST to reserve your spot! Advanced Preparation: None Required. Delivery Method: Group Internet-Based. Feedback and Comments: contact marketing@skystem.com or call 646-833-3177.
More than a dozen asset managers have updated regulatory filings to drop accredited investor restrictions in the wake of a recent SEC decision, reports FundFire. Despite the recent rush to private markets, venture capital has struggled compared to other asset classes, according to PitchBook.
BlackRock made another move to bolster its private market capabilities with the acquisition of net lease real estate firm ElmTree Funds. Private investment platform Linqto, which promised access to pre-IPO firms, filed for bankruptcy amid SEC scrutiny of its practices.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-February provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always focus first on inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale !
Katie Greifeld July 2, 2025 2 Min Read Bloomberg photo (Bloomberg) -- Vanguard Group is planning its debut into an increasingly competitive corner of the $11.6 trillion US exchange-traded fund arena.
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June 27, 2025 Private markets are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy. Q&A: What Was Behind Schechter’s Decision to Sell to Arax? Q&A: What Was Behind Schechter’s Decision to Sell to Arax? In fact, they may be the missing piece in your clients’ portfolios—and AssetMark is betting big on that future.
Third-party model portfolios had $646 billion in assets under management as of March 31—an increase of 62% since June 2023, according to Morningstar. While more than 60 asset managers have filed for dual-class share structures, many firms may never launch them, Ignites reports.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-April provides a snapshot of the current housing market. Just over two weeks ago, I revised down my outlook for housing this year, see Policy and 2025 Housing Outlook.
Open, honest and candid discussion about retirement plans for Amazon drivers, retirement assets sliding, a lack of plan sponsor fiduciary awareness and more.
Register now for July 10th, 2025 at 9:00 am PT, 12:00 pm ET, 4:00 pm BST to reserve your spot! Advanced Preparation: None Required. Delivery Method: Group Internet-Based. Feedback and Comments: contact marketing@skystem.com or call 646-833-3177.
10:00 AM: State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for January 2025 -- Tuesday, March 18th -- 8:30 AM: Housing Starts for February. The consensus is for a reading of 43, up from 42. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. This graph shows single and multi-family housing starts since 1968.
Diana Britton , Executive Editor , WealthManagement.com July 1, 2025 1 Min Read Raymond James added a group of seven advisors managing more than $1.1 EP Wealth Hires Integrations Head From Captrust $32.6B New York Team From Ameriprise Raymond James Adds $1.1B New York Team From Ameriprise The Valhalla, N.Y. The Valhalla, N.Y.
Diana Britton , Executive Editor , WealthManagement.com June 26, 2025 2 Min Read Image courtesy of Ken Teegardin Scott J. Mason received a 97-month prison sentence for defrauding clients of over $17 million.
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in Q1 2025 A brief excerpt: From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase Slightly in the First Quarter of 2025 The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.04
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Elaine Misonzhnik , Senior Editor, Investments June 23, 2025 4 Min Read Iaremenko/iStock/Thinkstock Investor interest in digital assets might be growing, but concerns about the security and regulatory uncertainty around the asset class mean that Bitcoin and crypto ETFs remain the most likely avenues for allocation.
David Bodamer , Editorial Director , WealthManagement.com July 8, 2025 1 Min Read Alamy Photo Schwab Advisor Services has expanded the number of mutual funds RIAs can acquire without transaction fees.
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So, 2025 is seeing a larger than normal pickup in inventory. The red line is for 2025. Inventory will pass 2020 levels in the next two weeks, and it now appears inventory will be close to 2019 levels towards the end of 2025. Usually, inventory is up about 6% or 7% from the seasonal low by this week in the year.
So, GDP was revised down for 2025. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP 1 Projection Date 2025 2026 2027 Jun 2025 1.2 Mar 2025 1.5 Mar 2025 4.3 As of April 2025 , PCE inflation increased 2.1 The projections for Q4 2025 PCE inflation were revised up.
10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for June. -- Tuesday, July 1st -- 9:30 AM: Discussion, Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Policy Panel Discussion , At the European Central Bank Forum on Central Banking 2025, Sintra, Portugal 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for June. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 48.8, up from 48.5
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