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A Spectacularly Underappreciated 15 Years

The Big Picture

2022 down 18% for the year.4 What has developed over the entirety of the post-financial crisis era of rising equity markets and until 2022, falling or zero interest rates.The good news is that this is how you build wealth over the long haul. See also Lazy Portfolios rolling returns. Q1 2020 down 34% in the pandemic.

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Eight Must Reads for the CRE Industry (Oct. 4, 2022)

Wealth Management

Asset managers continue to own large office portfolios, according to Pensions & Investments. As more homebuyers step away from the market due to rising mortgage rates, home builders are selling new homes to SFR investors in bulk, reports The Wall Street Journal.

Portfolio 289
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Lawler: Some Observations on the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Wind-Down and Reinvestment “Strategy” (Still in Quantitative Easing Mode, Just Less So)

Calculated Risk

From housing economist Tom Lawler: From the beginning of 2020 to early June of 2022 the Federal Reserves balance sheet more than doubled to an almost inconceivable $8.9 Inquiring minds might want to know why the Federal Reserve did not achieve its balance sheet targets by selling longer maturity/duration assets it had previously purchased.

Assets 165
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Investing Behavioral Hacks

The Big Picture

After a big gap opening, latecomers piled in; many had been sitting on the sidelines following a challenging 2022, while others got panicked out during the 10% October drawdown. The problem is those behaviors are so destructive to a portfolio. and it stops you from messing with your primary portfolio. ~~~ Good investing is boring.

Investing 344
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Four Quadrant Portfolio Check Up

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Let's dig in some more on Permanent Portfolio quadrant style. AQR Multi-Asset (AQRIX) used to be called Risk Parity and it also does some quadranty stuff. AQRIX obviously was hit the hardest in 2022 which makes sense from the standpoint of it being a risk parity strategy but the Risk Parity ETF (RPAR) was down 29% at that same point.

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Build a Resilient Investment Strategy With The All Weather Portfolio

Validea

Investors looking for a diversified portfolio that performs well in all market conditions have long been drawn to the All Weather Portfolio, a strategy pioneered by Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates. The portfolio allocates across U.S. 2022 -19.5% -16.2% 2022 -19.5% -16.2% GLD SPDR Gold Shares 7.5% +380.3%

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Passive vs. Active

The Big Picture

What’s obvious is that cheaper is better than more expensive; that there are inherent costs in managing an active portfolio that include more than just trading and taxes but research, analysis, PMs, etc. But that is not the same as becoming one of the most dominant asset managers in the world. Concentrated portfolio risk.

Taxes 334