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All Time Highs Are Bullish

The Big Picture

The usual suspects have already proffered their litany of horrors – valuations are too high, gains are too narrow, we havbe market concentrated and a toppy feel, to say nothing about all of the new geopolitical risks that continue to accumulate in tariffs war and oil prices.

Valuation 268
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Key Tax Court Cases on Valuation of Pass-Through Entities: The Later Years

Wealth Management

Developments from 2020 to 2023.

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Avoid the Unforced Investment Errors Even Billionaires Make

The Big Picture

For the 2020 calendar year, the fund gained 153%; from the March 2020 COVID lows to its peak 11 months later, ARKKs returns were an eye-popping 359%. Most ARKK ETF holders got in near the 2020 top after its surge. Woods was lauded with recognitionand huge inflows. In 2023, he tweeted a list of overlooked facts.

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Timing the Stock Market Using Valuations

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: My asset allocation has been pretty conservative since the market run-up in 2020. One thing I like about having the 60/40 split is that it gives me the option of changing to a more aggressive allocation if stock valuations fall. I have nagging doubts that my alloc.

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What’s Ailing Tesla’s Stock?

The Big Picture

I have a few ideas, none of which are conclusive, but perhaps together they explain some of the price action: the distraction to Elon Musk from the Twitter acquisition (and litigation); company valuation, and last, competition from legacy car makers. Let’s spend a few moments on each: 1.

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Washington Post ) • How Interest Rates & Inflation Impact Stock Market Valuations : You would assume, all else equal, that much higher interest rates and price levels would have had a far greater impact on the stock market. That puts Mexico far above the Netherlands (14%), Belgium (13%) and even Oktoberfest progenitor Germany (9%).

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What if Dunning Kruger Explains Everything?

The Big Picture

equity valuations: “Baby-boomers’ huge flow of 401K plan contributions helped to drive equities higher; now that ~70 million Boomers are retiring, when do demographics flip this from a huge positive to a net drag?” (June 21, 2021) What If Everything is Survivorship Bias? Let’s consider another question, this one on U.S.