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Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Will there be a recession in 2025?

Calculated Risk

How much will the economy grow in 2025? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2024, and that a soft landing was the likely outcome. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2025 and a few predictions: Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Economy 173
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4

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Market Commentary: Stocks Hit New Highs Amid a Year of Milestones

Carson Wealth

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). 6 million level we saw in 2018-2019. Hires fell to 5.3

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

The index started with just 12 companies, representing major segments of the economy at the time, like leather, steel, and sugar. General Electric was the most recent of the 12 to be included, but was it removed October 2018. Over the first five months of this year, the economy has created 619,000 jobs (averaging 124,000 per month).

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Market Commentary: Good Riddance February, Hello March

Carson Wealth

Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. We continue to think the bull market is alive and well and the economy is on solid footing, but that doesnt mean we wont have scary headlines or worries. Heres the thing.

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Market Commentary: ‘Tis the Season — Five Things to Know About Markets in December

Carson Wealth

In the past decade it has been only the 10 th best month, thanks in part to a 6% drop in 2022 and a 9% crash in 2018. The past few weeks we’ve discussed why we think this bull market is alive and well, but we also see no major reasons to expect the economy to fall into a recession in 2025.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Stall but More Signs Inflation Has Normalized

Carson Wealth

Only once has December been the worst month of the year for the S&P 500 (2018). y/y versus the 2018-2019 average of 3.7%. y/y versus the 2018-2019 average of 3.3%. The NASDAQ 100 Index includes publicly-traded companies from most sectors in the global economy, the major exception being financial services.