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The Greatest Missed Opportunity of Our Lifetimes

The Big Picture

Treasury Bond (May 19, 2016) Last Call for 50-Year Treasury Bonds (March 16, 2017) Deficit Spending Should Be Counter-Cyclical Not Pro-Cyclical (August 28, 2017) Can We Please Have an Honest Debate About Tax Policy? This is what happens to nations governed by 535 innumerate asshats… Previously : Time for a 50-Year U.S.

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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

October 2, 2017) Deficit Chicken Hawks vs Ronald Reagan (July 13, 2010) Politics & Investing The post Catastrophizing Debt appeared first on The Big Picture.

Economy 347
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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

Previously : The Timing Mistake: Thoughts & Pushback (August 26, 2020) Market Timing for Fun & Profit (August 28, 2020) The Art of Calling a Market Top (October 4, 2017) DOs and DONTs of Market Crashes (January 16, 2016) The Truth About Market Timing (March 13, 2013) Timing the Market? By Jeff Sommer New York Times, Nov.

Marketing 304
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What To Do When The Bitcoin Math Doesn't Math

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

First, is the math right based on my numbers? I didn't want to backtest too far back because Bitcoin had massive gains in 2017 and 2020 that might not be repeatable. If we guess just 2 billion people, and that is just a guess, and divide that into the 15.2 How can it solve anyone's problem?

Math 52
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Assessing Altria and Tobacco Fundamentals Five Years After the Peak

Fortune Financial

It is no coincidence, for example, that the two most recent periods of major tobacco underperformance in the last several decades have been driven largely by a huge compression in multiples, the result of serious litigation (1998 – 2003) and regulatory (2017 – present) challenges.

Math 52
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The Skew

The Irrelevant Investor

Hendrik Bessembinder An excellent piece from Bloomberg came out over the weekend, The Math Behind Futility , which looks beyond the usual explanations as to why the majority of professional stock pickers fail to keep up with an index. "Even if there weren’t fees and expenses, the odds are you’ll underperform."

Math 52
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The Self Educating Child

Mr. Money Mustache

Little MM and me self-educating with some Orson Scott Card, way back in 2017. Many teachers are already using this system to “flip the classroom”, and my own boy and I used Khan Academy to help him cover second through eighth grade math in only a month. CodeParade – great bits of coding, math, and graphics combined.