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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. Or, as John Kenneth Galbraith observed, The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable. ~~~ Public Enemy’s 13th album was titled “ Man Plans, God Laughs.”

Banking 345
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The WealthStack Podcast: Unlocking Private Markets with AssetMark's Michael Kim

Wealth Management

The WealthStack Podcast: Unlocking Private Markets with AssetMarks Michael Kim The WealthStack Podcast: Unlocking Private Markets with AssetMarks Michael Kim AssetMarks Michael Kim unpacks how technology, education and private equity access are converging to redefine portfolio construction.

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Nobody Knows Anything, FedWatch Edition

The Big Picture

Rather than accept the volatility of month-to-month economic datapoints — NFP, Consumer Spending, Manufacturing, Inflation, etc. Instead, there is a tendency to put too much weight onto the numbers themselves, encouraging a variety of changes and modifications to portfolios due to whatever the latest data suggests.

Economics 363
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Danny Kahneman: What if Everything is Narrative Fallacy?

The Big Picture

The latest plot line was simply the animal spirits have been awoken and they have run amok and that’s how we have avoided an economic contraction. If you believed these stories, and acted on them, your portfolio probably did poorly in markets over this era. appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Build a Resilient Investment Strategy With The All Weather Portfolio

Validea

Investors looking for a diversified portfolio that performs well in all market conditions have long been drawn to the All Weather Portfolio, a strategy pioneered by Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates. The portfolio allocates across U.S. equities, gold, commodities, and long-duration and intermediate-term Treasury bonds.

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Sunday links: disregarding the facts

Abnormal Returns

awealthofcommonsense.com) How to dole out risk in your portfolio. grist.org) Anti-Asian hate crimes have been rising since 2016. unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. Strategy Your investment strategy needs to work in all markets.

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When, Where, and for How Long

The Big Picture

They all have different sensitivities to economic factors like trade, inflation, commodities, and growth. Within the equity portion of your portfolios, they can provide some measure of diversification. Oversimplifying them into narratives or relying on context-free myths will not serve your portfolio well.

Economics 299