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Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Will there be a recession in 2025?

Calculated Risk

How much will the economy grow in 2025? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2024, and that a soft landing was the likely outcome. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2025 and a few predictions: Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Economy 173
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Surprise! California’s 40 Qs of Rising Minimum Wage & Fast Food Industry Growth (Beating USA)

The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here Our story so far : California has been raising its minimum wage for the past decade, starting at $8/hour through 2013. Economies are extremely dynamic, ever-changing on a day-to-day basis. I will, however, make a couple of substantive points by way of rebuttal: Correlation is not causation.

Food 306
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4

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Market Commentary: Stocks Hit New Highs Amid a Year of Milestones

Carson Wealth

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.

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Market Commentary: Seven Important Things to Remember In 2025

Carson Wealth

Im old enough to remember back in 2013 when everyone freaked out because the island of Cypress was having financial issues. Then you look back and the S&P 500 gained over 30% in 2013 and you wonder what in the world we were thinking! Im serious, it was a very big deal for about a week and had many investors on edge.

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Transcript: Richard Bernstein, CEO / CIO of RBA

The Big Picture

00:17:53 [Speaker Changed] So what was, you know, we stood up a firm in 2013, I’m curious, and that experience was kind of surprising. Fortunately, the overall economy does not do that on a regular basis. It’s not just the government, it’s through the entire economy. 00:59:00 [Speaker Changed] Yeah.

Numbers 147
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Market Commentary: Markets Rally After Fed Meeting in Another Volatile Week

Carson Wealth

17 of 19 members now say inflation uncertainty is higher, versus 14 in December 18 members say inflation risks are higher, versus 15 in December At the same time, members are a lot more worried about a slowing economy and rising unemployment. Even more members think this as of March.