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2010

Compliance

Economics

Financial Services

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Market Commentary: 7 Reasons the Bull Market Is Alive and Well

Carson Wealth

MAY 13, 2024

Economic data remains supportive, according to the Carson Leading Economic Indicator, which is pointing to above-trend growth. This is why we have our own Carson Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) for the U.S. The banking system has held up, and economic growth has run ahead of the pre-pandemic 2010-2019 trend.

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 23, 2023

Retail and food service sales have increased at an 8.6% Economic indicators across consumption, income, industry and the labor market don’t point to a recession. Fast forward 12 months and not only did we not have a recession, but economic growth has accelerated over the past quarter and is showing strong momentum as we head into 2024.

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail

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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

APRIL 29, 2024

in the first quarter, well above the 2010-2019 average pace of 2.4%. Here’s the Big Picture As noted above, economic growth remains strong when factoring in the most important parts of the economy: household consumption, investment, and even government spending. Think of it like core GDP. in the first quarter.

Marketing Marketing Economy Government

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 29, 2024

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. That’s well above the 2010-2019 average of 2.4% And that is what is happening now.

Marketing Marketing Economy Government

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Market Commentary: A Closer Look at the Stock Market’s Reaction to Major Geopolitical Events

Carson Wealth

APRIL 22, 2024

Economic Growth Remains Solid, As Does the Outlook While inflation data for Q1 was hot, albeit for idiosyncratic reasons, we also received the following: Strong employment data, with payroll growth accelerating from last year and layoffs low. For perspective, the 2010-2019 average pace was 2.4%. That is above 3.5% public and private.

Marketing Marketing Economy Government

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Market Commentary: The Dow’s on a Winning Streak

Carson Wealth

JULY 24, 2023

We just received a tremendous amount of data to round out the economic picture in the second quarter (Q2). All This Points to Strong Economic Growth The Atlanta Fed puts out a “nowcast” of quarterly real GDP growth that is updated with major economic data releases. It’s a Bird. It’s a Plane! It’s … the U.S. over the past year.

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail

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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 8, 2024

In fact, the average annual number of jobs gained from 2010-2019 was 2.2 In fact, monthly job creation averaged 163,000 in 2019, which was a year of solid economic growth. The economic numbers continue to suggest there will be no recession in 2024, with a very reasonable margin of error. While that is lower than the 4.8

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers

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Market Commentary: Fundamentals May Be Aligned for Solid Stock Gains in 2024

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

annual pace, which is faster than the 2010-2019 pace of 1.2%. Economic output regained its pre-pandemic level by the first quarter of 2021, with 8 million fewer workers, which translated to higher productivity per worker. It’s also 40% above the 2010-2019 average and 4% above the 2005-2007 average.

Marketing Marketing Economy Startup

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Market Commentary: The Case Against a Stock Market Bubble

Carson Wealth

MARCH 25, 2024

Going into this meeting, a big question was whether Fed members would lower that projection to just two cuts in their summary of economic projections (the dot plot). Fed officials upgraded their economic growth projections for 2024 from 1.4% to 2.1% (real GDP growth). That’s a big jump and acknowledgement that the economy is strong.

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing

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Market Commentary: Stocks Keep Chugging Along

Carson Wealth

MAY 22, 2023

Economic data continues to come in strong, including for retail sales and vehicle production. Housing starts and permits data are turning around as builders become more confident about the economic outlook. Housing may no longer be a drag on economic growth the rest of this year. The housing market is showing signs of recovery.

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics

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Market Commentary: Volatility Is the Toll We Pay

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 28, 2023

Credit markets continue to show very few signs of economic stress. Recent economic data from China show that the world’s second largest economy is in trouble. Much of China’s economic growth is driven by real estate investment, which has pulled back significantly. and financial markets. per year between 2010 and 2019.

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics

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Market Commentary: Stocks and Bonds Rally as Fed Recognizes Progress on Inflation

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 18, 2023

In their updated “ Summary of Economic Projections ,” they revised their estimates of core inflation for 2023 down from 3.7% Markets were off to the races after the Fed released its statement and economic projections. 3% in 2023 after adjusting for inflation, which would be above the 2010-2019 trend.

Marketing Marketing Economy Investing

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Breakout Confirmed

Carson Wealth

JUNE 5, 2023

Recent economic data do not point to a recession. During the last expansion, 2010-2019, average annual payroll growth was 2.2 The NASDAQ 100 Index includes publicly-traded companies from most sectors in the global economy, the major exception being financial services. Instead, the economy is showing resilience.

Economy

Economy Numbers Compliance Banking

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Market Commentary: Market Rally to Close April, But Be Wary of “Sell in May”

Carson Wealth

MAY 1, 2023

Equities closed out April in strong form amid better-than-expected earnings and resilient economic data. Don’t Be Fooled by Headline GDP The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the U.S. The good news is there is a measure of economic growth that excludes this volatility, which is shown in the last lines of the previous table.

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers

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Market Commentary: Stocks Can Go Lower, But We Expect Them to Rebound

Carson Wealth

JUNE 26, 2023

Between 1980 and 2010, there were five recessions, and each was preceded by a huge decline in single-family housing starts. It doesn’t appear we are late in the economic cycle nor on the precipice of a recession (within the next 4-6 months). Amid decreasing demand, builders reduced their involvement in new construction projects.

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Index Hits a New All-Time High

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 22, 2024

While our outlook is for a favorable economic backdrop for credit-sensitive bonds, we’ve grown somewhat more cautious because credit spreads are already tight and we see more upside for equities, including some pockets of attractive valuations. The average yield from 2010-2021 was just 2.34%. 16 was 4.65%.

Marketing Marketing Economy Portfolio

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Transcript: Ted Seides

The Big Picture

AUGUST 15, 2023

SEIDES: But market returns across — RITHOLTZ: The past decade, 2010 to 2020, we were what? Let me say what your compliance wouldn’t allow you to say. So I think that argument is very valid in those couple of years, 2009, 2010 probably, maybe 2011, which was a tough year for hedge funds. SEIDES: It’s lower.

Management Investing Investments Government