Sat.Jan 07, 2023 - Fri.Jan 13, 2023

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What Makes Financial Advisors Happier: More Time Or More Money?

Nerd's Eye View

While it may be easy to assume that having more money would make a person happier by opening consumption opportunities unavailable to those with less income, experienced advisors can likely identify many examples of high-income individuals who are unhappy with their lives. To provide a more holistic view, researchers have sought to assess whether increased income leads to greater happiness on two dimensions: emotional wellbeing (how an individual feels today) and evaluative wellbeing (how an ind

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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in November

Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI: According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in December. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in December. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

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Why Inflation Has Been Falling…

The Big Picture

It may surprise you to learn that during this cycle of falling inflation, there seems to be little correlation with rising Fed Rates. This is very counter-intuitive but it makes sense when you consider what an aberrational and unusual cycle this has been. Despite zero rates for a decade plus inflation was quite benign. it was only the combination of the global pandemic and lockdown, a massive fiscal stimulus, and a surge in demand for goods that have driven the 2020 to 2022 inflation.

Economy 347
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Slowing Rent Growth Hits Apartments, But Investors Have Not Lost Interest

Wealth Management

After hitting double-digits in the first part of 2022, the pace of annual rent growth slowed to 6 percent in December.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Happy New Year everyone! Great to be back in the saddle this week, working with our new president as we prepare for 2023 and beyond. We’ve got lots of projects and initiatives underway at Ritholtz Wealth, some of which you’ll be hearing about from me very soon. This week we went back to our regularly scheduled programming, with fresh episodes of all your favorite shows – What Are Your Thoughts, Animal Sp.

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Housing January 9th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 4% Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports inventory is down 4.0% week-over-week. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of January 6th, inventory was at 471 thousand (7-day average), compared to 491 thousand the prior week. Inventory has declined sharply seasonally in the winter. The second graph shows the seasonal pattern for active single-family inventory since 2015.

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More Trending

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What Investors in Office Real Estate Expect for 2023

Wealth Management

Exclusive WMRE research details how sentiment on office real estate has shifted as a result of uncertainty on the long-term outlooks for the sector.

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We Just Might Pull This Off

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Callie Cox, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss discuss the latest CPI data, why Michael’s feeling a little bullish, calling the Fed’s bluff, chances of a soft landing, retail investor sentiment, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

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Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in December

Calculated Risk

With the pandemic, there was a surge in 2nd home buying. I'm looking at data for some second home markets - and I'm tracking those markets to see if there is an impact from lending changes, rising mortgage rates or the easing of the pandemic. This graph is for South Lake Tahoe since 2004 through December 2022, and shows inventory (blue), and the year-over-year (YoY) change in the median price (12-month average).

Marketing 341
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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Friday the 13th, end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • F@*$#*! 2022 was a record year for earnings call swearing : The “polycrisis” of runaway inflation, pandemics, interest rate increases, supply chain snafus and wars helped lift swearing on earnings calls and investor days to a new record high in 2022. Good job everyone. ( Financial Times Alphaville ). • Elon Musk Might Never Be the World’s Richest Person Again : It’s not just that he became the first person in history to have $200 billion

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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The Building Blocks of a Durable Family Office

Wealth Management

Laying the foundation for an organization that will support the family and its legacy requires commitment to a process and regularly revisiting fundamental decisions.

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

After December’s trash fire, markets are optimistic, says Ritholtz’s Josh Brown from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 205,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending January 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 205,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 204,000 to 206,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,500, a decrease of 1,750 from the previous week's revised average.

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Personal finance links: finding a new plan

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Mark Miller, author of "Retirement Reboot: Commonsense Financial Strategies for Getting Back on Track." (the-long-view.simplecast.com) A discussion about when it is time to adjust your retirement plans. (mullooly.net) Banking High yield bank savings accounts are now actually high yield. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The BNPL bubble is set to burst.

Planning 245
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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IRS Audits of Millionaires Remain Low

Wealth Management

Low-income taxpayers are far more likely to be targeted.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 103: Balancing Client Responsiveness With The Proactive Sledgehammer Of Value

Nerd's Eye View

As comprehensive financial planning has become more widely adopted, many financial advisors have felt pressure to find new ways to differentiate themselves by demonstrating their unique value to clients. And while providing fee-only advice or highlighting service as a fiduciary may have once been a fair differentiator, these services are now often considered table stakes, necessitating financial advisors to find more creative solutions that show current and prospective clients that they provide

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BLS: CPI decreased 0.1% in December; Core CPI increased 0.3%

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.1 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing 0.1 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 6.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for gasoline was by far the largest contributor to the monthly all items decrease, more than offsetting increases in shelter indexes.

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Wednesday links: a trading vehicle

Abnormal Returns

Markets How does the 60/40 portfolio perform after big down years? (awealthofcommonsense.com) GMO loves deep value stocks. (ft.com) FTX Bankruptcy courts were not built to unwind crypto messes like FTX. (economist.com) Alameda Research made a big investment in miner Genesis Digital Assets soon before the FTX unwind. (wsj.com) BITO Bitcoin tanked in 2022 but Bitcoin futures ETPs held in there.

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.

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Growing RIAs Must Focus on 'Process,' Not Technology

Wealth Management

It is much less disruptive to take the time and train everyone on existing software tools than it is to convert to an entirely new system that requires you to transfer data along the way.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Jan 14-15)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Federal Trade Commission has proposed a nationwide ban on noncompete clauses in employee contracts, aiming to give employees more freedom to change jobs within the same industry. In the advisor world, where noncompete agreements are fairly common, a ban on the practice could incentivize firms to reassess their employee value proposition and to conside

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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December

Calculated Risk

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million in December , down 3.2% from November’s preliminary pace and down 35.0%% from last December’s seasonally adjusted pace.

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Monday links: the case for a soft landing

Abnormal Returns

Markets There's no sign that options trading is slowing down. (wsj.com) The 10-year Treasury rates peaked back in the Fall. (axios.com) Finance Private equity managers are abusing their discretion when it comes to valuations. (institutionalinvestor.com) Goldman Sachs ($GS) is laying off thousands of workers this week. (thinkadvisor.com) Black founders in the U.S. raised about 1% of 2022 venture capital funding.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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CRE Conduit Lending Sector Braces for Challenges in 2023

Wealth Management

Industry experts expect a difficult economic environment to keep CMBS issuance volume down while existing loans may see higher delinquency rates.

Economics 299
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Ask Me Anything (Comments Open!)

Pragmatic Capitalism

We are going to do a new 3 Minute Macro “Ask Me Anything” edition. It should be out next week or so.

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Question #1 for 2023: How much will the economy grow in 2023? Will there be a recession in 2023?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I’ll post thoughts on those in the newsletter (others like GDP and employment will be on this blog). I'm adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 1% in 2022 as the economy slowed following the economic rebound in 2021

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Tuesday links: the AI genie

Abnormal Returns

Markets What role do interest rates have in stock prices? (ofdollarsanddata.com) Why the golden age of biotech stocks may be over. (statnews.com) Crypto Coinbase ($COIN) is laying off 20% of its workforce. (cnbc.com) Why so many are focused on the big discount on the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($GBTC). (blockworks.co) Could another firm actually take over management of GBTC?

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Digital Currency Group Closes Wealth Division Amid Trouble

Wealth Management

The company run by Barry Silbert is dealing with changes and challenges within some of its biggest subsidiaries following the sudden collapse of FTX.

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Economist Says His Indicator That Predicted Eight US Recessions Is Wrong This Year : Cambell Harvey’s work showed link between curve inversion and growth Strong labor demand, risk avoidance support US economy now. ( Bloomberg ). • Wall Street’s sleuth of bears is growing : Stocks kicked off the new year on a positive note, with the S&P 500 climbing 1.4% last week.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in December

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Wraps up 2022 with December Growth The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, improved 6.6% (2000=100) in December to 222.2 from the revised November reading of 208.3. In December, the commercial component of the DMI rose 8.4%, and the institutional component ticked up 2.7%. “One of the key construction storylines for 2022 was the return of enthusiasm and optimism in prospects for nonresidential growth,” stated Richard Br

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Dropping habits that don't serve you is just as important as adopting new habits. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week 15 charts that explain 2022 returns. (morningstar.com) Average annual stock market returns are not-so average. (awealthofcommonsense.com) How to talk to adult children about inheritances. (kindnessfp.com) Five ETF predictions for 2023 including an end to $SPY's reign.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g