Thu.Nov 17, 2022

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Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation

The Big Picture

. There is a new 60/40 in town, and it is the contribution to inflation from consumer demand for goods and the pandemic-broken supply chain. That is according to a study by Julian di Giovanni, who publishes at the NY Fed’s blog Liberty Street Economics. Over the summer, he posed a fascinating question: How Much Did Supply Constraints Boost U.S. Inflation?

Medicine 363
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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 45% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 18%

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from Chief Economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Nov 12, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, increasing 45% above one year ago.

Sales 362
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Why Real Estate Investors Are Paying More Attention to RV Parks and Campgrounds

Wealth Management

RV parks have grown in popularity with consumers during the pandemic. Investors have noticed the trend.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 222,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending November 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 222,000 , a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 225,000 to 226,000. The 4-week moving average was 221,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised average.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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What Separates Great Leaders from the Rest

Wealth Management

They do the work to strengthen their interpersonal skills.

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October Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction

Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: October Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction Excerpt: The fourth graph shows housing starts under construction, Seasonally Adjusted (SA). Red is single family units. Currently there are 794 thousand single family units (red) under construction (SA). This is below the previous six months, and 36 thousand below the recent peak in April and May.

Numbers 287

More Trending

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US Treasury Yield Curve Is One of the Most Inverted in History

Mish Talk

Strong Recession Signal Since 1990, the spread between 30-month T-Bills and the 10-year Treasury Note was only more inverted ahead of the 2001 recession. Since 1990, the spread between 30-month T-Bills and the 30-year long bond has only been more inverted a couple of times. This is a very strong recession signal. Reducing Inflation Without a Recession Might Not Be Feasible I's unusual for the Fed to be this candid but Kansas City Fed President Esther George says Reducing Inflation Without a Rece

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Wealth Enhancement Group Adds BTR Capital Management, More Than $1B in Assets

Wealth Management

In its 12th acquisition this year, WEG adds a ninth office in Northern California.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 99: What Does It Take For You To Find The Confidence To Take Action?

Nerd's Eye View

For many financial advisors, improving business development strategies can be a challenging task to address. With the myriad tools available to advisors that help them analyze the potential outcomes of their ideas and strategies, collecting the data to do so has become easier than ever. At the same time, though, over-analyzing strategies prior to implementing them can create a substantial gap between ideating a plan and actually putting it into motion.

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12 Must Reads for the CRE Industry Today (Nov. 18, 2022)

Wealth Management

National Mortgage News looks at what 2023 might bring in the world of real estate investment financing. Bisnow looks at the challenges diversity officers face when it comes to CRE firms. These are among today’s must reads from around the commercial real estate industry.

Investing 278
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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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Housing Starts Decreased to 1.425 million Annual Rate in October

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions Housing Starts: Privately?owned housing starts in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,425,000. This is 4.2 percent below the revised September estimate of 1,488,000 and is 8.8 percent below the October 2021 rate of 1,563,000. Single?family housing starts in October were at a rate of 855,000; this is 6.1 percent below the revised September figure of 911,000.

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Generation X – The Forgotten Generation Financial Advisors Should Remember

Wealth Management

Get smart about engaging with the next set of retirees.

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Housing Starts and Permits Swing to More New Lows For This Cycle

Mish Talk

Seasonally-adjusted, annualized (SAAR) housing data from commerce department, chart by Mish. The Commerce Department's New Residential Construction Report shows housing starts and permits drifting lower. Building Permits Privately?owned housing units authorized by building permits in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,526,000. This is 2.4 percent below the revised September rate of 1,564,000 and is 10.1 percent below the October 2021 rate of 1,698,000.

Numbers 174
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RIA Edge Podcast: Brandon Kawal on How to Win the War for Talent in the RIA Industry

Wealth Management

The principal of Advisor Growth Strategies details the keys to attracting, developing and retaining top talent in the RIA industry.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Friday: Existing Home Sales

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 10:00 AM ET, Existing Home Sales for October from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 4.39 million SAAR, down from 4.71 million in September.

Sales 147
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Dave Hagen on Accessing Data Seamlessly from Multiple Sources

Wealth Management

Dave Hagen, chief commercial officer of BridgeFT, explains how technology can make better data more easily available.

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Owning Individual Bonds vs. Owning a Bond Fund

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: I’ve been minimally invested in bonds as a long-term investor but if I can get 5% or more interest, I’d love to allocate funds and lock that in for as long as possible. I’m looking at corporate investment grade new issues and they largely seem to be callable in a year. While I would be happy if rates came down and I got my principal back in a year, I’d also be happy holding them if they are not call.

Investing 143
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U.S. Housing Starts Drop with Pullback in Single-Family Projects

Wealth Management

Residential starts decreased 4.2% last month to a 1.43 million annualized rate after an upward revision to the prior month, according to government data released Thursday. Single-family homebuilding dropped to an annualized 855,000 rate, the lowest since May 2020.

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.

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Longform links: the rise of the influencer

Abnormal Returns

Book stores Jason Guriel, "The [book] shop’s most valuable contribution is its calm, authoritative curation." (longreads.com) How opening a book store made Ryan Holiday a better writer. (ryanholiday.net) Science Science PhDs increasingly head to industry instead of academia. (statnews.com) It's going to hard to avoid using GMOs as climate, and temperatures, change.

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Family Offices With $182 Billion Eye More Big Gains on PE Bets

Wealth Management

Money managers for the ultra-wealthy plan to increase their allocation to private equity in 2023, according to a new survey.

Planning 251
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Thursday links: crypto irrelevance

Abnormal Returns

Markets The U.S. Treasury yield curve is firmly inverted. (axios.com) Average mortgage rates dropped nearly 50bp last week. (cnn.com) The magazine cover indicator: the U.S. dollar edition. (allstarcharts.com) Lessons Three lessons from the collapse of FTX including 'putting your emotions in check.' (pragcap.com) Betting on unknown quantities is the nature of venture capital.

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Mindy Diamond on Independence: Steward Partners' Jim Gold on Why Supported Independence Is Thriving

Wealth Management

Steward Partners CEO and founding partner Jim Gold revisits the series to discuss the firm's evolution and growth, plus being the first to sign-on to the Goldman Sachs custodial platform, and more.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Some news…

The Reformed Broker

Today my firm Ritholtz Wealth Management announced the hiring of our friend and colleague Jay Tini for the newly created role of President. Jay will be slotting in with our executive team starting January 1st and I couldn’t be more excited. Jay has been a friend of the firm for over a decade and we’ve worked closely with him during his tenure at Vanguard where he’s been in a leadership role overseeing a.

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Sean Brown on Advisor Workflow

Wealth Management

Sean Brown, head coach at YCharts, discusses how he assists advisors in making better business decisions and communicating more effectively.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: GM, CVS, Nextera & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Franklin Tsung on Building Community with Technology

Wealth Management

Franklin Tsung, growth advisor at AppCrown, shares how independent technological solutions can bring advisors’ cultures to customers.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Massachusetts ‘Millionaires’ Tax Applies to Sudden Wealth Events

Darrow Wealth Management

Taxachusetts is back. In November 2022, proponents of the Massachusetts ‘millionaires’ tax (question 1) won their bid to nearly double the income tax rate on individuals with taxable income over $1M a year. Starting in 2023, a 4% surtax will be applied to taxable income and capital gains over $1M. Currently, Massachusetts taxes ordinary income and long-term capital gains at a flat 5% rate whereas short-term capital gains are taxed at 12%.

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CLO Prices Edge Higher, Drawing in Investors Hoping for Bottom

Wealth Management

Collateralized loan obligations rated AAA have seen their average prices rise to 97.6 cents on the dollar, compared with about 97 cents toward the end of last month. That’s close to the lowest on record since the financial crisis, excluding the darkest point in the pandemic.

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Adam Sachs Honored with the Inaugural NAIFA President’s Citation

NAIFA Advisor Today

NAIFA President Lawrence Holzberg , LACP, LUTCF, is pleased to announce that Adam Sachs , CFP®, CLU®, ChFC®, CLTC, AIF®, a Financial Advisor with Centinel Financial Group , LLC, in Needham, MA, is the recipient of the inaugural 2023 NAIFA President’s Citation. Holzberg presented the citation to Sachs on November 14 at NAIFA’s Belong awards celebration at the Omni Shoreham in Washington, D.C. in front of over 300 NAIFA members.

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Reed Colley on the Importance of Providing Advisors with the Right Tools

Wealth Management

Reed Colley, chief executive officer and co-founder of Summit Wealth, discusses how advanced technology and improved platforms can better serve advisors and clients.

Clients 147
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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.