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Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • The Meadows Texts: A Plot To Overturn An American Election : TPM Has Obtained Explosive Evidence Uncovered By The January 6 Select Committee. ( Talking Points Memo ). • What Sam Bankman-Fried Got for His Baffling Media Blitz : The disgraced FTX founder didn’t help his case, and he probably made it worse. ( Slate ). • The High Price of Bad Business: Corporate America’s Biggest Settlements : BP’s Deepwater
Markets You can safely ignore all the year-end stock market forecasts. (nytimes.com) It's way too easy to kid yourself you saw what was coming down the pike. (wsj.com) Sam Ro, "The thing about certain risks is that the become less of a problem for markets the more market participants talk about them." (tker.co) Finance Cryptocurrency is the Segway of finance, heavily hyped and niche-only.
Housing economist Tom Lawler has been sending me his predictions of what the NAR will report for over 12 years. And he has graciously allowed me to share his predictions with the readers of this blog. The table below shows the consensus for each month, Lawler's predictions, and the NAR's initially reported level of sales. Lawler hasn't always been closer than the consensus, but usually when there has been a fairly large spread between Lawler's estimate and the "consensus", Lawler has been closer
Top clicks this week What is the bond market saying about the economy right now? (awealthofcommonsense.com) What is going to happen to home prices if mortgage rates stay above 6%? (awealthofcommonsense.com) This is the best present to yourself and others. (allaboutyourbenjamins.com) What Oaktree Capital types are reading including "How the World Really Works: The Science Behind How We Got Here and Where We’re Going" by Vaclav Smil.
Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste
Weekend: • Schedule for Week of December 18, 2022 Monday: • At 10:00 AM ET, The December NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 33, unchanged from 33. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are up 8, and DOW futures are up 46 (fair value).
If you’ve ever tried to proofread the gazillionth draft of an article, you know it’s painful to reread a familiar piece. Plus, you naturally fill in missing words and correct other mistakes in your mind, not on the page. The Speak feature in Microsoft Word is helping me overcome this challenge. (Note: I initially used—and blogged about using—Adobe Acrobat for this purpose.).
Inflation is finally slowing down. We’ve gone from an annual run rate of more than 9% to around 7%. This is not yet mission accomplished but the fact that we’ve gotten a handful of inflation prints going in the right direction is a good start. Even though the past 3 months of inflation have come in at an annualized rate of 3.7%, the Fed is not impressed.
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Inflation is finally slowing down. We’ve gone from an annual run rate of more than 9% to around 7%. This is not yet mission accomplished but the fact that we’ve gotten a handful of inflation prints going in the right direction is a good start. Even though the past 3 months of inflation have come in at an annualized rate of 3.7%, the Fed is not impressed.
Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by Constrained Capital: See here to learn more about investing in companies with capital constraints and here for further disclosures and information regarding Constrained Capital On today’s show, we are joined by Mark Neuman, Founder and CIO of Constrained Capital to discuss investing in ESG orphaned companies.
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