Calculated Risk
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Most analysts expect the FOMC will cut the federal funds rate at the meeting this week by 25bp lowering the target range to 4 1/2 to 4 3/4 percent. Currently almost all market participants are expecting a 25bp cut this week. Market participants are also pricing in another 25bp cut in December. From BofA: We expect the Fed to cut rates by 25bp in November.
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Top clicks this week Why rates are bucking the Fed. (sherwood.news) How major asset classes performed, or didn't, in October 2024. (capitalspectator.com) What's behind weakness in the long end of the curve? (apolloacademy.com) Why mortgage rates are rising. (axios.com) This device is the equivalent of an 'EV gas can.' (newatlas.com) Institutional investor ownership of single-family homes is concentrated in certain geographies.
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Calculated Risk
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Weekend: • Schedule for Week of November 3, 2024 Monday: • No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are down 8 and DOW futures are down 168 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $69.49 per barrel and Brent at $71.10 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $81, and Brent was at $88 - so WTI oil prices are down about 14% year-over-year.
A Wealth of Common Sense
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
It’s been a good year in the stock market. Through the close on Friday, the U.S. stock market is up 20% in 2024. The Russell 3000 Index is a good approximation of the total U.S. stock market. The index now has a little less than 2,700 stocks. Out of 2,670 stocks, 101 are up 100% or more this year (3.8% of the total). Thirteen stocks are up 300% or more, five are up 500% or greater and there is one stock in the one c.
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Wealth Management
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Step-by-step guide for better estate plan conversations.
Trade Brains
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
The Indian non-banking financial sector demonstrates remarkable resilience through strong net interest margins and effective asset quality management. These companies deliver exceptional financial performance while maintaining robust credit portfolios. Their success stems from strategic market positioning and efficient operational models. Furthermore, the sector’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions strengthens its competitive position in the financial landscape. 1.
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Trade Brains
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Smart investors constantly search for industries poised for substantial growth in the coming years. Currently, four sectors stand out for their impressive potential. Waste management companies innovate with AI-driven sorting systems and sustainable disposal methods. Meanwhile, water management businesses develop advanced filtration technologies and infrastructure solutions.
Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
By Irene Stolte, ChFC, CLTC If you’d like to discover new ideas and build connections, MDRT book clubs offer both. You will meet other MDRT members as you discuss takeaways from favorite business books, including how what you read changed your view of your life, personally and professionally. Here is a list of my favorite books read by MDRT book clubs: “The Go-Giver: A Little Story About a Powerful Business Idea” by Bob Burg and John David Mann This business parable is about a go-getter named Jo
Trade Brains
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Dividend-paying stocks attract investors seeking regular income alongside capital appreciation. In the coming weeks, several prominent large-cap companies have announced significant dividend payouts. These companies represent diverse sectors including finance, FMCG, and energy. Moreover, their strong financial performance and consistent dividend history make them attractive investment options.
Investing Caffeine
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Scarier than Halloween, the current presidential election is causing people on both sides of the political aisle to be frightened by the idea of their candidate potentially losing. Uncertainty is generally petrifying to investors, resulting in downward pressure on stock prices, but with less than a week until election day, the stock market is providing more treats than tricks.
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Trade Brains
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
This microcap infra company, which provides wind and solar services, is in focus after receiving an order from Suzlon and Tata Chemicals totaling worth Rs. 4.08 crore. Price Movement In Monday’s trading session, Winsol Engineers Limited stock was down by 7 percent to Rs.300.05 per share, from its previous close price of Rs.323.50. The stock was recently listed on the bourses in May 2024.
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Strategy Why you can safely ignore the public pronouncements of hedge fund managers. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Fingers crossed, uncertainty will decline next week. (tker.co) People confuse stocks and flows all the time. (capitalgains.thediff.co) Buffered ETFs Investors are swapping low vol ETFs for buffer ETFs. (ft.com) On the risks of buffered ETFs.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 3, 2024
Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • Billionaire Clans Spend Nearly $2 BILLION On 2024 Elections : 150 Families Have Already Outpaced By $700 Million What 600 Individual Billionaires Spent in 2020. ( The Tax Decode ) • Throw Out Your Black Plastic Spatula : It’s probably leaching chemicals into your cooking oil. ( The Atlantic ) • Guns.
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