Remove Economy Remove Investment Advisor Remove License Remove Manufacturing
article thumbnail

Three Factors That Could Change the Course of Inflation | Weekly Market Commentary | July 25, 2022

James Hendries

Since the onset of the global pandemic, the inflationary environment has been irritated by supply-related problems with ports, international manufacturing shutdowns, and global shipping as primary challenges. For example, auto manufacturers are still hampered with ready access to necessary components.

article thumbnail

Federal Reserve Preview: Trick or Treat? | Weekly Market Commentary | October 31, 2022

James Hendries

With a series of important economic indicators suggesting the economy is declining and inflation is finally decelerating, albeit very slowly, markets are beginning to factor in that the Fed may soon transition to a less aggressive stance in early 2023. The Economy Slows But Inflation Follows Too Slowly. economy grew at a 2.6%

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Xi Jinping’s Influence to be Tested | Weekly Market Commentary | October 3, 2022

James Hendries

Given the country’s weak economy, due in large part to stringent zero-COVID-19 measures that have led to strict and prolonged lockdowns, coupled with a debt-laden property market, authorities in Beijing and throughout the Chinese provinces will need to focus on reviving the country’s economic underpinning. At the same time, U.S.

article thumbnail

Case for Recession Weakens | Weekly Market Commentary | August 8, 2022

James Hendries

economy is in or about to enter recession, so we thought a piece on what a recession might mean for the stock market would be of interest. economy is not currently in recession, odds are still perhaps a coin flip or better that one may come in the next year. While Friday’s strong jobs report provides more evidence that the U.S.

article thumbnail

A Feisty Bull-Bear Debate: Weighing the Pros and Cons | Weekly Market Commentary | January 23, 2023

James Hendries

Topic 1: Economy Bull case: Consumer is resilient, the labor market is strong, wages are rising, and inflation is coming down steadily. Bear case: Inflation is still high, leading indicators are signaling recession, manufacturing activity and housing market have slowed significantly. Call us cautious bulls. Our take: The U.S.

article thumbnail

Pessimism May Be Overdone | Weekly Market Commentary | January 17, 2023

James Hendries

economy grew at a solid 3.2% and European economies, currency effects, and some mitigation of profit margin pressures from cost controls and lower inflation. economy may “muddle through” and skirt recession. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates. And don’t forget the U.S.

article thumbnail

Low Bar for Earnings Season | Weekly Market Commentary | October 17, 2022

James Hendries

economy in mid-March, 62% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates, and aggregate earnings were within one percentage point of expectations. One way to assess downside is to look at the historical relationship between the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index and earnings growth.