Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 14, 2025

(sixcolors.com) Contracts When the government pulls money from an account without authority. government is breaking legal contracts. wired.com) Economy Industrial production rose in January. axios.com) It's hard to plan when the U.S. nytimes.com) DOGE DOGE's website is less than secure.

Advertising

The Big Picture

MARCH 7, 2025

Prior to this role at BCG, Philipp advised financial institutions and governments at the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) as well as McKinsey & Company. This week, I speak with Philipp Carlsson , Global Chief Economist for Boston Consulting Group. He was also Chief Economist at Stanford C.

Economics

Abnormal Returns

APRIL 8, 2025

statnews.com) Tariffs Why tariffs are bad for the economy. bloomberg.com) X is benefiting from being a government news organ. (nature.com) We won't see the impact of cuts to biomedical research for years. paulkrugman.substack.com) You can't turn research labs on and off. Well, you should be. zachseward.com)

Manufacturing

Discipline Funds

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

As an example of this, consider this data point from JP Morgan : “ Exhibit 4 highlights real GDP growth and S&P 500 returns during Republican, Democratic, and divided governments (when one party does not control the White House and both chambers of Congress). And in the post-WW2 era the government has been divided 61% of the time.

Economy

The Big Picture

JANUARY 4, 2025

Global Financial Data ) Vanguard 2025 economic and market outlook : The global monetary easing cycle will be in full swing in 2025, with inflation in most developed economies now within touching distance of central banks targets. economy, while other economies have been less lucky. Luxury car sales fell 27%.

Government

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 2, 2025

nytimes.com) DOGE Elon Musk has been plotting the destruction of the federal government for awhile now. propublica.org) DOGE laid off the GSA's 18F team which works to make government systems work better. axios.com) Economy Where manufacturing jobs are increasing. Oz is hopelessly conflicted, from a financial perspective.

Manufacturing

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 3, 2025

standard.co.uk) Economy The good producing sector is flatlining. wsj.com) You can't just exclude government spending from GDP. (ft.com) The UK has expensive housing AND expensive energy. theatlantic.com) It's hard to live in London without family money. bonddad.blogspot.com) Unsold housing inventory is on the rise.

Media

Carson Wealth

MARCH 3, 2025

Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. We continue to think the bull market is alive and well and the economy is on solid footing, but that doesnt mean we wont have scary headlines or worries. Heres the thing.

Marketing

Steve Sanduski

JULY 15, 2025

How Nixon’s decision to abandon the gold standard transformed the global economy and what new transformations could be happening today. government, in particular, really significant power to impose really devastating economic harm on foreign countries. government that creates chokepoints. government? That the U.S.

Portfolio

Advisor Perspectives

MAY 22, 2025

Take the stubborn belief that government stimulus spending and debt issuance reliably boost economic growth. It is a simple and seductive idea—when the economy falters, the government can step in, inject capital, and jumpstart growth. Common sense and economic theory often collide.

Government

Trade Brains

JULY 30, 2025

Different from private digital assets, it aims to digitize payments, increase transparency, foster financial inclusion, and work alongside cash, aiming to become a key component of India’s digital economy. Conclusion The E-Rupee is a significant milestone in India’s digital economy.

Banking

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 9, 2024

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.

Marketing

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 3, 2025

papers.ssrn.com) Economy Why the defined contribution model is a risky one. papers.ssrn.com) On the returns to government-funded R&D. (poetsandquants.com) A problem with psychology studies: subjects value compensation differently. papers.ssrn.com) What do people really want?

Government

Carson Wealth

JULY 16, 2025

Central banks aim to control inflation to keep economies stable. Interest rates are one of the Fed’s most powerful tools for influencing the pace of the economy. When prices spike, your buying power shrinks, and the economy reacts. Deficit-financed: Government spending funded by borrowing (e.g., Price goes up? You profit.

Investments

Discipline Funds

NOVEMBER 20, 2024

Of course, it’s also true that government spending is often inflationary. We experienced very high inflation during Covid in large part due to government spending. I believe this is especially true if you live in a 3rd world economy where the probability of currency collapse is even moderately high.

Insurance

Discipline Funds

APRIL 30, 2025

Net exports and government subtracted a total of 5.08% with exports making up the majority of that. The NBER defines a recession as A significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months. But you had a lot of conflicting things going on under the surface.

Insurance

Carson Wealth

JUNE 9, 2025

The index started with just 12 companies, representing major segments of the economy at the time, like leather, steel, and sugar. The economy created 139,000 jobs in May (above expectations for a 126,000 increase) and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%. It was meant to gauge the overall health of the industrial sector.

Economics

Abnormal Returns

APRIL 30, 2025

axios.com) Economy Q1 2025 GDP shrank 0.3%. notboring.co) In praise of slack in government, business and life. (sixcolors.com) Vietnam Firms that moved operations to Vietnam have gotten rug pulled. nytimes.com) American firms sourcing goods in Vietnam are stuck. wsj.com) A majority of Americans say they Vietnam War was a mistake.

Startup

The Big Picture

MARCH 4, 2025

Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. Alright, so, so you go from public finance, how did you evolve towards co-head of innovation economy? So Barry Ritholtz : Let’s talk about your dual role, your, your co-head of innovation economy and your head of specialized industries.

Banking

Trade Brains

JUNE 17, 2025

After Israel’s attack on Iran, several uncertainties have been created around the world that have shaken the entire economy. This took a toll on India’s economy as well. Since India imports the vast majority of oil used for energy, this would add inflation to the Indian economy, which decreases the value of bond returns.

Government

The Big Picture

JULY 1, 2025

So it was Pascal then c plus plus, and then I took an economics class and that’s when the lights went off because it was a very mathematical field in many ways, but also with a link to the Rio economy. So what’s happening with the global economy, what’s happening with interest rates, what is the Fed going to do?

Investments

Harness Wealth

JULY 31, 2025

These changes touch everything from estate planning to gig economy reporting—and they demand more than reactive form filing. Digital asset reporting requirements are becoming more stringent , with new Form 1099-DA implementation and lowered Form 1099-K thresholds affecting cryptocurrency traders and gig economy workers.

Taxes

Abnormal Returns

JULY 14, 2025

calculatedriskblog.com) Economy How rising government debt levels affect borrowing rates. (wsj.com) Work Men are more likely to return to the office. wsj.com) How companies are low-key laying off workers. economist.com) The office vacancy rate keeps growing.

Education

Abnormal Returns

MAY 22, 2025

Markets Japanese government bond yields are soaring. theatlantic.com) Economy Still no pick up in weekly initial unemployment claims. ft.com) 30-year Treasury yields hit levels not seen since 2007. axios.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Steven Englander about why yields are rising around the world.

Investments

WiserAdvisor

JUNE 17, 2025

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing is on the rise and is expected to grow in the coming years If you have not already considered ESG investing , 2025 might be the year to give it a serious look. That kind of pressure ensures companies prioritize ESG governance and ethical practices. As of the end of 2024, the U.S.

Financial Advisor

International College of Financial Planning

JUNE 17, 2025

Introduction to GIFT City and Its Legal-Economic Status The Gujarat International Finance Tech-City, commonly referred to as GIFT City, is a landmark initiative by the Government of India aimed at creating a world-class financial centre within the country.

Compliance

Trade Brains

NOVEMBER 3, 2024

Furthermore, as technology advances, these sectors attract significant investments and government support. The Indian government’s focus on the Swachh Bharat Mission and stricter regulations drive this sector’s growth. The government’s PLI schemes and Make in India initiative fuel rapid expansion in this space.

Electronics

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 6, 2025

Short-term yields fell on Fed rate cuts, although fewer than expected at the start of the year as the economy topped expectations. We think the current expected slower path of rate cuts is very unlikely to push the economy into a recession on its own, but it will make the economy more sensitive to other shocks.

Marketing

Harness Wealth

APRIL 30, 2025

In today’s dynamic economy, millions have embraced a diverse portfolio of income streamsfrom traditional employment to creative side hustles, equity compensation, and investment ventures. The very nature of work has undergone a dramatic transformation over the last decade. But that is where the simplicity ends for many modern workers.

Taxes

Trade Brains

JULY 17, 2025

Being data-driven and aggressive, it can be an appealing prospect to experienced, risk-tolerant investors interested in small-cap, long-term growth, but only as long as they are prepared to go through the ups and downs of volatility and possible governance issues. Crores NAV (as of July 14, 2025): ₹77.23

Risk Tolerance

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 4, 2025

The Economy Is Currently Being Held Up By AI This was a big week if you wanted to get a picture of the economy, inflation, and even policy (both monetary and tariffs). Elevated interest rates are hurting rate-sensitive areas of the economy like housing, which are now dragging on economic growth. Let’s dig in. annualized pace.

Marketing

Discipline Funds

JULY 8, 2025

Then the government will respond with a ZIRP at some point because any recession that coincides with such an environment will very likely coincide with very high unemployment and very low inflation. There is a flood of supply coming into the global economy because AI is going to make everything so accessible. Well, I should be clear.

Government

Trade Brains

JUNE 23, 2025

Government-Promoted Atmanirbhar Bharat : The Indian government has pushed self-sufficiency hard with an emphasis and talk of ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat.’ There was a lack of deep-pocketed Indian investors, almost no functional VC ecosystem locally, and the allure of large foreign cheques was simply too enticing.

Startup

Abnormal Returns

MAY 11, 2025

cnn.com) Kathryn Anne Edwards, "The federal government is treating those who default on their college loans more harshly than those who cheat on their taxes." (fa-mag.com) marginalrevolution.com) Economy How much economic activity got pulled forward due to tariffs? (insideclimatenews.org) Don't criticize AI in this administration.

Marketing

Discipline Funds

MAY 17, 2025

1) Moody’s Downgrades US Government Debt. After the close on Friday Moody’s dropped a bombshell downgrade of US government debt from AAA to aa1. A year later interest rates on US government debt were a full 1% lower. Here are the facts: The USA, like all fiat currency issuing governments has a printing press.

Government

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 4, 2025

On one side are the proponents of trickle-down economics, who believe that keeping taxes low enables the affluent to invest more money in ways that create jobs and grow the economy. income tax treaties, protocols, notes, and technical explanations govern how U.S. Estate taxes also offer challenges. And, if the U.S. More than 100 U.S.

Risk Management

Nationwide Financial

AUGUST 14, 2024

government backing them. Then, a shift in the outlook for the economy (partly by weaker employment numbers) caused spreads to widen, particularly for high-yield bonds (e.g., On the other side of the equation are often corporate bonds, either high-rated investment-grade bonds or low-rated high-yield bonds.

Economics