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Slowing U.S. Economy, State by State

The Big Picture

Rather than engage in futility, let’s look at the coincident indexes in all 50 states over the past 3 months, via the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (October 2023). Note: I have been occasionally eyeballing this map since 2008 , and it does a good job of showing the overall trend of the economy (on an obvious lag).

Economy 353
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Transcript: Melissa Smith, co-Head of Commercial Banking at JPMorgan

The Big Picture

The transcript from this weeks, MiB: Melissa Smith, co-Head of Commercial Banking at JPMorgan , is below. Melissa Smith is co-head of commercial banking for JP Morgan. Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. Barry Ritholtz : This week on the podcast I have yet another extra special guest.

Banking 130
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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

It is especially true for strategists and forecasters at large brokers and banks. So as strategists at Bank of America Corp., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., So as strategists at Bank of America Corp., Deutsche Bank AG, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.,

Banking 345
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Monday links: defining points in history

Abnormal Returns

sherwood.news) Finance Daniel Davies, "The essence of managing an investment banking franchise is that the biggest driver of success is the capacity to bear pain." propublica.org) Economy Retail sales are decelerating. calculatedriskblog.com) More signs the economy is weakening. wsj.com) AI Alibaba ($BABA) has pivoted to AI.

Media 195
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Fed Chair Powell: "Longer-run level of the policy rate have risen"

Calculated Risk

We may be entering a period of more frequent, and potentially more persistent, supply shocksa difficult challenge for the economy and for central banks. Higher real rates may also reflect the possibility that inflation could be more volatile going forward than in the inter-crisis period of the 2010s.

Economics 147
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Monday links: changed communication

Abnormal Returns

on.ft.com) Big banks are going to struggle making up the revenue lost to private lenders. sherwood.news) Economy Bubbles often leaving interesting stuff behind. (msn.com) Silk Road Bitcoin are in motion. coindesk.com) Crypto is a 24/7/365 enterprise. bloomberg.com) Finance Why ServiceTitan has to go public.

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Sunday links: asymmetric returns

Abnormal Returns

(scheplick.com) Business The degenerate economy is booming. nytimes.com) Policy There are no neobanks without banks. msn.com) Heat is going to increasingly play a role in how the economy works. wapo.st) Economy More companies are now touting price cuts. howardlindzon.com) How veterinary medicine became a big business.

Medicine 311