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Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!). economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking.
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. range in Q4 2025. What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025? It appears that the participation rate will decline in 2025 based on demographics and that population growth will slow due to less net migration.
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors. Up to $30 billion in mutual fund marketing and distribution fees could be at risk if the SEC approves dual share classes. The Mag Seven stocks have regained momentum in recent weeks, but will that last?
Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Question #8 for 2025: How much will Residential investment change in 2025? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025? Excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. How much will RI change in 2025?
We discussed this very topic 5 years ago: Out of curiosity, I entered the phrase invest like Warren Buffett in a Google search. But Buffett has spent 60 years studying what makes for a great undervalued investment. The world is very different today, and a truly unique set of circumstances created a unicorn. It yielded 78,600 hits.
In How Not to Invest , I showcase extreme examples of unforced errors to illustrate these behavioral mistakes. Chris Bloomstran, chief investment officer of Semper Augustus Investments Group, has tracked this. Decades as an investor and trader on Wall Street have taught me that panics come and go.
Fun factoid: The sound of Batnick’s eye rolls as he heard the same story for the umpteenth time was always in the back of my head as I wrote the book… Source : How Not To Invest Like Buffett.
From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate) Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. annual rate, and residential investment increased at a 1.3%
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. How much will wages increase in 2025? My sense is nominal wages will increase close to mid-to-high 3% range YoY in 2025 according to the CES. How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025? year-over-year as of November.
Full transcript here Source: A Conversation With Barry Ritholtz (Paul Krugman, May 24, 2025) For more information about How Not to Invest and where to buy hardcovers, e-books, and audio versions, please see this. The post Fun with Bad Investing Ideas appeared first on The Big Picture.
Fun conversation in Barron’s about Steering Clients Away From Bad Investing Mistakes. Source : How Next-Generation Advisors Steer Clients Away From Bad Investing Mistakes A key role of a financial advisor is to prevent clients from making rash decisions during volatile markets. billion in assets under management.
His latest book, How Not to Invest, offers a blueprint to help you make better decisions and achieve financial success. Source : Debunking Investment BULLSH$T! | #575 The Meb Faber Show, Mar 21, 2025 How Not to Invest Apple Podcasts Spotify The post Debunking Investment BS! billion for 3,900 families.
Here is an update to a graph that uses new home sales, single family housing starts and residential investment. (I Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly. The dashed line is the January 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR).
Luckily, alongside the increasing popularity of podcasts on a seemingly infinite range of topics, there is a growing ecosystem of podcasts aimed at financial advisors, covering everything from practice management and career development to technical topics, such as investment, tax, and estate planning.
I discussed much of this in my Q2 2025 RWM client quarterly call on April 5. On the corporate side, companies hold off on big CapEx spending, building new plants, investments, and hiring. Before 2025 ends, a mild recession begins. I am sharing this now because so many questions have poured in.
Welcome to the January 2025 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors!
We are four weeks out from the publication of “ How Not To Invest: The ideas, numbers, and behaviors that destroy wealth – and how to avoid them.” ” Audio, ebook, and hard copies are all scheduled to drop on the same day, March 18, 2025. The result: Bad investment outcomes that should not have occurred.
Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. This index usually leads CRE investment by 9 to 12 months, so this index suggests a slowdown in CRE investment in 2025. for the month as the share of firms reporting a decline in firm billings increased.
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. Morningstar profiled the 15 funds that have lost the most value for shareholders over the past decade. Recent market volatility has perked new interest among investors and advisors in buffer ETFs.
Morningstar published its 2025investment outlook for financial advisors. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. Morgan Stanley has looked to add employees of startup companies as wealth management clients in anticipation of future IPOs, reports Inc.
Whats fun is that while Ritholtz is preaching a very conservative investing style, his own style of writing and communicating ideas is anything but. Slow and steady wins the race, or something like that. Put another way, Ritholtz is fun.
Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: ABI April 2025: Billings continue to decline at architecture firms The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score declined to 43.2 for the month.
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. Morningstar looks at whether investor portfolios should be flipped to 40/60 as bonds become more attractive. Allianz has rolled out two fund of funds that focus on buffer ETFs, reports etf.com.
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. Ray Dalio warned that the runup in values of AI-tied firms is a reminder of dotcom bubble excesses, reports the Financial Times. Single-stock ETFs magnified some of the losses in markets amid the DeepSeek fallout, according to etf.com.
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. Morningstar analyzed the mechanics of State Street and Apollos new private credit ETF. BlackRock has added its Bitcoin ETF to some of its model portfolios.
Write Down Your 10 Financial Goals for 2025! For 2025, the IRS has increased contribution limitsdont miss out. Review Investment Allocations Markets evolve, and so should your portfolio. Remember: investing isnt about timing the market, its about time in the market. Happy Planning and best to you in 2025!
Market: This is perhaps one of our favorite articles and times of the year; not necessarily because of basketball but rather it allows us the opprtunity to articulate our main investment themes we see playing out for the remainder of the year. Who will be this years champion? Lets break it down ( click here to see the full bracket).
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors. In his annual investors letter, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink focused on the growing trend of offering private markets access to the wealth channel. Morningstar took a hard look at some of the new access points for private credit.
Wirehouses are exploring how to combine direct indexing, manager-traded separate accounts and alternative investments into unified managed account platforms, reports FundFire. BlackRock and Franklin Templeton each published private market outlooks for 2025.
In “ How Not To Invest ” (coming March 18!) This is especially true for those made by analysts who are not working to provide you with good investing advice but rather are hoping to drum up business for secondaries and IPOs. . ” It’s a blunt observation about our inability to forsee the future.
Welcome to the March 2025 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors!
ritholtz.com) Why municipal bonds are underperforming in 2025. on.ft.com) Warren Buffett is still teaching us investing lessons. downtownjoshbrown.com) Why your investing time horizon matters. awealthofcommonsense.com) Some wit and wisdom from Warren Buffet at the 2025 shareholder meeting. How to be a better you.
Here is my outlook at the start of 2025: How much will Residential investment change in 2025? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025? What will happen with house prices in 2025? Will inventory increase further in 2025?
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors. Schwab is raising minimum fees for model providers selling to advisors from $100,000 to $300,000, reports FundFire. ETF launches hit a new record in the first quarter, but a Morningstar analyst raised concerns about the quality of many of the new funds.
As we enter 2025, its the perfect moment to take stock of your financial journey and map out your path for the year ahead. Here are six actionable tips to help you kickstart your financial journey in 2025. 2025 is a year full of opportunities to take control of your finances and build a strong foundation for the future.
These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors. In addition, there are currently over 70 crypto ETF applications in the pipeline as asset managers seek to take advantage of a friendlier regulatory regime.
I try to help the hosts understand investing in this environment with lessons and ideas from How NOT to Invest. We discuss the “uniquely unpredictable situation” where markets are trading based on the whims of a single person. This mercurial unpredictability is having a huge effect on prices.
[May 23rd estimate] And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percen t on May 16, down from 2.5 percent on May 15. percent to -3.0 percent.
per year from the start of 2010 through the end of Q1 2025. The risk is that if and when the trend changes, some traders will be slow to adapt; investors may get discouraged when they learn that investing for the “long term” isn’t measured in months or quarters, but in decades. The Nasdaq 100 has nearly doubled that.
.” ~~~ Kahneman’s themes — humility, acknowledging how little we actually know about today, (and even less about tomorrow), striving to understand reality, and recognizing our own inherent shortfalls — are prime drivers of How NOT to Invest. If these ideas interest you, then please check it out. _
This graph uses new home sales, single family housing starts and residential investment. (I Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly. he dashed line is the March 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR) of 403 thousand. from 459 thousand SAAR in February 2025.
Also in industry news this week: A recent study finds that financial advisory clients are leaving largely positive, in-depth reviews for their advisors FINRA has responded to some concerns about its proposed rule regarding outside business activities, saying that it is designed to streamline regulations and not (as has been suggested by some commenters (..)
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