Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MAY 4, 2025

The more someone trades, the more they are fighting that natural inertia other than proper asset allocation targets and mitigating sequence of return risk when relevant. The purple line went through a nasty drop in 2022. The best performer has had several nasty declines. I haven't sold through any of those drawdowns.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MARCH 30, 2024

In 2022, an 80/20 VBAIX/GHTA blend outperformed 100% VBAIX by 378 basis points while it lagged 100% VBAIX by 70 basis points in 2023. Circling back to model ETF portfolio mentioned at the top of this post, the asset allocation was as follows.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MAY 24, 2024

Barron's had an interesting article about a BofA study showing that over a period of many decades an asset allocation of 60% equities/40% commodities outperformed an allocation of 60% equities/40% fixed income by 0.80% per year. XRMI actually compounds negatively but didn't spare too much pain in 2022.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 14, 2025

Right or wrong, I think of endowment style investing as being a similar to the Permanent Portfolio, not so much quadrants but more like disparate asset class segments which gets us to a paper about endowment asset allocation from True North Institute. It's only down year was 2018 with a decline of 7.91%.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

NOVEMBER 21, 2024

There's no fact sheet yet and while the holdings are available, the asset allocation is vague without calculating the spreadsheet yourself which I did (hopefully correctly). It did decline about 5% in the 2020 Pandemic Crash and in 2022 it was up 1.36%. Offering diversified exposure to U.S. RAAX is much more volatile.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MARCH 30, 2025

It was no more valid in 2023 as it was in 2022. It just so happens that 2022 was a year that it went down a lot. The prompt was a mention of the Cambria Global Asset Allocation ETF (GAA) somewhere and since the market has done so poorly, I though it would be worth revisiting. It certainly has been valid the whole time.

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James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. Municipal bonds are federally tax-free but other state and local taxes may apply. We could see a retest of 3.5%

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 6, 2024

Crisis alpha is mentioned in the literature but unfortunately the fund lagged far behind the S&P 500 and the Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) in 2022. Blogger Nomadic Samuel posted an interview with Jay Kaeppel who has an interesting spin on asset allocation with what he describes as 30/30/30/10.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

NOVEMBER 17, 2024

MDCEX is in Morningstar's Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) category and the Fidelity info page for the fund offers the following comparison to other funds. falling 36% but in 2022 it was only down 6.5% Regardless of whether 2022 was a matter of luck or skill, down 6.5% in 2022 is a solid result.

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 19, 2022

Fri, 08/19/2022 - 10:50. Inflection Points: 2022 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook Report. Our new publication “Outlook 2022: Inflection Points” by Sid Ahl, Erika Pagel, Taylor Graff and J.R. This year’s report examines several issues that the team is monitoring as we head into 2022. Read more >.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

in September, temporarily breaking below the June 2022 closing low. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. Municipal bonds are federally tax-free but other state and local taxes may apply.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MARCH 29, 2024

In 2022, the return stacked version outperformed plain vanilla 281 basis points but was still down 14.06%. for plain vanilla in 2022. There was plenty of outperformance, the standard deviation was quite a bit higher and in 2022, this return stacked portfolio lagged VBAIX by 184 basis points. Would any of this be worth it to you?

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 12, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. Municipal bonds are federally tax-free but other state and local taxes may apply.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. Municipal bonds are federally tax-free but other state and local taxes may apply.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. Municipal bonds are federally tax-free but other state and local taxes may apply.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MAY 10, 2024

Since its inception in June, 2022 it has compounded at -3.16. FIG is not intended to negatively correlate to markets, they want it to be "a modern take on the balanced portfolio, built to help navigate today’s toughest asset allocation challenges." So far, it hasn't done that.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Tue, 10/11/2022 - 13:22. Inflection Points: 2022 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook Report. Our new publication “Outlook 2022: Inflection Points” by Sid Ahl, Erika Pagel, Taylor Graff and J.R. This year’s report examines several issues that the team is monitoring as we head into 2022. Read more >.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

APRIL 17, 2024

In 2022 it was up slightly versus down 5% for PRPFX and down 16% for VBAIX. Reacting in the middle of 2022 after learning too much was allocated to risk assets? They are not intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice or a recommended course of action in any given situation.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 15, 2024

First up, the Harvard Endowment which posted the following asset allocation. The version with VOO was down a lot less in 2022 and only trailed VBAIX in 2023 by 89 basis points. In 2022, the VOO version was down less than half of VBAIX and it also outperformed in 2023. The private equity piece isn't great. I used PSP.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 22, 2024

GAA stands for Global Asset Allocation and it has been lagging for 15 years. We spend a lot of time here on how to diversify to try to smooth out the ride and how to hold up better when markets have a year like 2022 or 2008. Where we allocated 10% to second responders, only one of the models has all 10% in managed futures.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

APRIL 22, 2024

It offers this pie chart to show its current asset allocation. The fact sheet does not define what 75/25 means but the prospectus says it allocates 75% to long volatility and 25% to short volatility. Below, we compare VOLSX to a home made version of their exact, most recent allocation and VBAIX a proxy for a 60/40 portfolio.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 4, 2024

In 2022 SPD was down 25.96% versus 18.19% for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO). Per an email from Unlimited the fund is trying to offer "core, liquid, uncorrelated ballast within overall asset allocation." It's only been trading since late 2022. So far, the answer is no but there hasn't really been a test yet.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 29, 2024

Several talked about tax issues, it is important to keep tabs on how taxes might change going forward and then when they actually do change. Yes on the taxes but without earned income and living on long term capital gains from an investment portfolio, there might be no income tax.

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Investing Caffeine

JANUARY 2, 2024

Although 2023 closed with a festive explosion, 2022 ended with a bearish growl. Effectively, 2023 was a reverse mirror image of 2022. In 2022, the stock market fell -19% (S&P) due to a spike in inflation. For the year just ended, much of the year felt like a party, but 2022 felt more like a funeral.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

AUGUST 26, 2024

Here's the target asset allocation. I worked in SSO and UBT to be able to leverage up to the right asset allocation. RPAR tracks very close to the replication for the first two years and then it separates from it in early 2022. RPAR lagged the replication by 614 basis points in 2022.

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Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 1, 2022

An individual who learns to manage $4,000 a month after taxes will be equipped to manage $14,000 or even $40,000 a month as their earnings increase over time. Retirement plans, such as 401(k) and 403(b) plans, allow employees to contribute a portion of their salary up to a federal limit ($20,500 in 2022).

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Darrow Wealth Management

MAY 22, 2023

In fact, the Federal Reserve has raised the upper limit federal funds rate by 5% since the beginning of 2022. Since the beginning of 2022, cash has outperformed the S&P 500 by about 14% on a cumulative total return basis. Hold cash or invest? Interest rates have skyrocketed since the end of 2021.

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Discipline Funds

JULY 25, 2023

In 2022 the global stock market was down -18% and has rebounded +17% year to date. Of course, if you lived through it in real-time 2022 was pure panic and 2023 has been pure euphoria. In the vast majority of cases this ends up creating lower returns by creating unnecessary taxes and fees. 2) Set realistic savings return goals.

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Park Place Financial

MARCH 14, 2022

When people buy and sell sections of their portfolio to maintain a consistent asset allocation, they are rebalancing their investments. Individuals may also readjust their portfolios if their risk level changes and they need to develop a new asset allocation strategy. March 16, 2022. |. March 10, 2022. |.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

OCTOBER 7, 2024

GMO posted a short paper in support of its Benchmark Free Asset Allocation Strategy (BFAAS). For this post we'll focus on BFAAS' asset allocation. The asset mix is 53.6% A more detailed look at the asset mix shows the the following. The paper positions BFAAS as a substitute for 60/40. to equities, 29.7%

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Cordant Wealth Partners

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

you receive from Microsoft Reduce your tax bill both now and in retirement Make smart investment decisions within your 401(k) account Microsoft’s 401k Plan The Microsoft 401(k) plan is offered to Microsoft employees , including employees of subsidiaries such as LinkedIn and other divisions of the company.

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eMoney Advisor

MARCH 21, 2023

Portfolio Rebalancing Depending on what has been going on in the market, you may have clients whose portfolio asset allocations are no longer in balance. This strategy is commonly used to limit short-term capital gains to preserve the value of the investor’s portfolio while reducing taxes. ” Investopedia , 2022.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

OCTOBER 11, 2024

Simplify has a fund that owns the S&P 500 with a put option overlay that somehow went down more than the S&P 500 in 2022. FIG, the blue line, " is a modern take on the balanced portfolio, built to help navigate today’s toughest asset allocation challenges." Typically, risk parity which is what RPAR is, loads up on bonds.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 15, 2023

The iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy (DBMF) was a star performer for much of 2022. We wrote a few posts last year about the Rational ReSolve Adaptive Asset Allocation Fund (RDMIX) which is intended to be an all weather strategy. In 2022 it was down 5.5% 50/50 dividends/managed futures finally pulled ahead after 2022.

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eMoney Advisor

DECEMBER 27, 2022

Legacy covers estate and tax planning, and business succession planning if applicable, connecting with self-actualization in Maslow’s pyramid. It is not meant to be, and should not be taken as financial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Sources: 1 eMoney Leading with Planning Research, May 2022, Advisors n=360.

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Darrow Wealth Management

MARCH 28, 2022

The key to weathering the storm is having a diversified asset allocation that’s truly aligned with your risk tolerance and appetite before there’s a personal financial problem or other negative event. Asset allocation. Don’t wait for volatility to get your investments in order! Consider U.S.

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