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MiB: Ken Kencel, Churchill Asset Management

The Big Picture

He launched the Churchill Financial Group in 2006, which was purchased by PE giant The Carlyle Group in 2011. Known as the Dean of Valuation, he teaches Corporate Finance and Valuation to the MBA students at Stern where he has been voted “Professor of the Year” by the graduating M.B.A. class nine times.

Assets 174
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Revisiting the Market Valuation in the Wake of This Year’s Decline

Validea

With the S&P 500 now close to 20% off its highs, I thought now might be a good time to look to our market valuation tool to see where things stand. But before I do that, I wanted to first cover two caveats I always put in articles about market valuation. With that all being said, let’s look at the current valuation data.

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Four Hard Investing Lessons From 2022 With Silver Linings

Validea

While some of that outperformance was due to improving fundamentals and earnings, most of it the returns came from the valuation investors assigned to these stocks. The chart below shows that of the tech sector’s 760% total return, 620% came from the change (increase) in valuation while 140% came from increasing earnings and dividends.

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Strategy of the Week: The Motley Fool Small-Cap Growth Investor Model

Validea

A companys price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio must be in line with or lower than its earnings growth rate to ensure valuation remains attractive. This strategy had big winning years like 2013 (+65.9%) , 2020 (+106.5%) , and 2021 (+51.7%) but also suffered steep declines, including 2008 (-27.0%) , 2011 (-16.7%) , 2015 (-9.6%) , and 2022 (-30.3%).

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Three Things I Think – Midweek Reading

Discipline Funds

But some time around 2011/12 I got tired of living in fear and realized that very few people make money being pessimistic in the long-run. All that scaremongering about the national debt, QE, valuations, Capitalism, etc. The generally optimistic Cullen you might know by now did not exist.

Economy 97
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Just Put It All Into.

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Gold was mostly in a downtrend from mid-2011 to early 2016. It doesn't look like we're going to get to an extreme panic level for the S&P 500 on this event but as an example, with equities down 40%, you don't need as much protection from gold as when the stock market is at all time highs combined with sky high valuations.

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Looking at the Rise of Money Losing Companies

Validea

Two weeks ago, I wrote an article where I looked at the valuation of the median stock and how it has changed over time. 12/30/2011 1.5% 12/30/2011 23.8% By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® ( @practicalquant ) —. Year End Date Negative Earner Percentage 12/30/2005 1.1% 12/29/2006 1.2% 12/31/2007 1.0% 12/31/2008 2.1% 12/31/2009 4.9%

CFP 59