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Monday links: a tortured existence

Abnormal Returns

ft.com) The amount of bank failures, measured by assets, rivals that of 2008. nytimes.com) ETFs Model portfolio shifts can have a big effect on ETF flows. etftrends.com) Economy Is the U.S. (cnbc.com) The banking industry's 'crisis phase' may be over for now. riaintel.com) The pace of ETF launches has slowed of late.

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Wednesday links: the sea change

Abnormal Returns

Markets Four things that mattered for portfolios in 2022. wsj.com) Economy The indicators that show a recession is creeping ever closer. capitalspectator.com) Today's housing market is way different than 2008. morningstar.com) Gasoline prices are ending 2022 below where they were a year ago.

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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

Holding onto expectations of major shifts in key drivers of the markets and the economy – merely due to the changing of the calendar – is a carryover from the days when the calendar mattered much more. We can credit three elements for this massive outperformance: -Substantial prices resets: 57% in 2008-09 and 34% in 2020.

Economy 328
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Practical Lessons from Bob Elliott

Validea

Elliott’s decade of experience leading research at one of the world’s premier hedge funds provides a rare window into institutional-level thinking that individual investors can apply to their own portfolios.

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How Does The Stock Market Affect The Economy?

Trade Brains

Understanding How Does Stock Market Affect The Economy: The stock market and the economy are in a lot of talk in recent days. Seeing the market indexes declined by over 30% within a month, an obvious question among people is to understand how does the stock market affects the economy. How the Stock Market Affect the Economy?

Economy 98
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Chart of the Day – Ignoring Political Noise

Discipline Funds

During periods where Democrats were in total control the economy performed better, but the markets performed worse. And during periods of total Republican control the economy did worse and the markets performed better. The point here is that the markets and the economy don’t really care about politics.

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Market Timing vs. Time in the Market

Zoe Financial

If you got unlucky in 2008 trying to time the market and you were down 39%, it is very difficult emotionally speaking to reverse course and try to time the market by buying. Economies and markets fluctuate. For instance, since 1950 the S&P 500 has seen calendar year returns vary from 47% up to 39% down.