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Negative effects of a prolonged bull market

Truemind Capital

Equity markets corrected by more than 50% in 2000-01 and more than 60% in 2007-08 which lasted for 1.5-3 Like the circle of life, good times are followed by bad times, and bad times are followed by good times, stock markets also go through cycles of excessive greed/optimism to excessive fear/pessimism.

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Negative effects of Bull Market

Truemind Capital

Equity markets corrected by more than 50% in 2000-01 and more than 60% in 2007-08 which lasted for 1.5-3 Like the circle of life, good times are followed by bad times, and bad times are followed by good times, stock markets also go through cycles of excessive greed/optimism to excessive fear/pessimism.

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Transcript: Jim O’Shaughnessy on Infinite Wisdom

The Big Picture

O’Shaughnessy Asset Management, became a leader in direct indexing, eventually was bought by Franklin Templeton, leading him to launch O’Shaughnessy Ventures, O’Shaughnessy Fellowships, infinite Loops podcast, just so many different things. Valuations tended to crash and burn very, very cheap valuations tended to do well.

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Things Change

The Better Letter

From the tech sector, the top ten included four names, including the entry of Apple (the first-generation iPhone was announced by then–Apple CEO Steve Jobs on January 9, 2007) and Google (which had only come to market in 2004). The correct number, conspicuously omitted by Jacobin in the correction, is something less than 0.05

Numbers 100
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Barron’s ) see also Warren Buffetts Favorite Valuation Indicator Flashes Buy Signal. In the week ending April 16, gold funds had their biggest inflows since 2007, while selling of U.S. Founded in June 2005 (with Yoav Roth) they manage $20B in client assets. Vox ) Rebecca Patterson: Farewell, Ye Mighty Dollar.

Valuation 130
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Is Value Investing Out of Favor or Out of Time?

Validea

Between the 1970s and 2007, value investing—where investors identify stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value—reigned supreme for two generations of investors. Many investors hopped on his bandwagon and received outstanding returns for decades, until the financial crisis in 2007, the article relates.

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Burry Predicts Market Crashes—With Mixed Results

Validea

This generation’s fortune-teller has been Michael Burry, who called the 2007-2008 housing bubble burst early on. Unlike a lot of pundits, Burry risked his own money on his 2007 housing call and other stock picks that delivered high rewards. His firm Scion bought puts on two popular index funds, betting on a looming downturn.