Remove 2007 Remove Assets Remove Math
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2024 Forecasting Follies

The Better Letter

UBS Asset Management said if its base case soft landing was achieved, “global equities will comfortably ascend to new all-time highs in 2024.” In 2007, Steve Ballmer, then the CEO of Microsoft, said , “There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. There were a few bulls.

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Market Commentary: Markets Perk Up but Macro Outlook Still Messy

Carson Wealth

The math is just Earnings * (Price / Earnings) = Price, since the Earnings parts cancel. Also, household and corporate balance sheets are in reasonable shape and not as leveraged as they were in 2007. Ultimately, if uncertainty continues, the risk premium on US assets is likely to go up.

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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

Low Stakes : The most successful market timers are often those people who do not have actual assets at risk. The dotcom top, the double bottom in Oct 02-March 03; the highs in 2007, the lows 2009. Catching the exact right moment when the crowd is mostly wrong goes against all of your instincts as a social primate.3 More on this later.

Marketing 300
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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

The Big Picture

They run over $800 billion in client assets, and Kristen’s group, the North American Group, is responsible for about half of the revenue that that massive organization generates. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature.

Clients 293
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Hold Cash or Invest? History Shows Cash Isn’t King for Long

Darrow Wealth Management

The federal funds rate hasn’t been this high since 2007 when it peaked at 5.25%. So when the federal funds rate goes up, it can have an outsized impact on shorter term interest rates on assets like Treasury bills (T-bills). This has been the faster pace of rate hikes since the 1980-1981 cycle. 467% a month.

Investing 105
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Bernstein on Bulletproof

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

That is difficult to pull off but if you do the math on that it shows long term outperformance. Having that much in asset classes that are intended to not look like equities should mean that the long term result won't look anything like the stock market. Remember, the peak in the S&P 500 in October, 2007 was 1565.

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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

The Big Picture

I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. Then what enables that you have to have some asset ability capability that competitors can’t equally duplicate. Finance was the natural fit for GMO.

Valuation 130