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Market Commentary: Stocks Hit New Highs Amid a Year of Milestones

Carson Wealth

One More Bit of Good News November was a huge month for stocks, but the big winner was small caps, with the Russell 2000 up an amazing 10.9%. We found 22 other times the Russell 2000 gained at least double digits in a month and six months later it has been higher 90% of the time and a year later up a very solid 15% on average.

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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Monthly numbers can be noisy and so a 3-month average is helpful. The hiring rate, which is the number of hires as a percent of the labor force, has fallen to 3.3%, the slowest pace since 2013 (outside of the Covid months). Compliance Case # 7521978.1._011325_C The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4

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Market Commentary: More Reasons We Think This Bull Market Has Plenty of Life Left

Carson Wealth

last week, declining for the second consecutive week, but there’s still a lot of strength under the surface, as the small cap Russell 2000 Index climbed 3.5%. March 2000 at the peak of the tech bubble. For markets, GDP is typically one of the least important economic data points because the numbers are relatively stale.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Pause on Geopolitical Risk, Fed

Carson Wealth

Here’s another look at our current bull market, but this time compared to the longest bull market ever, from 1987 to 2000. They’ve reconciled this by reducing the number of rate cuts in 2026 to just one (each cut worth 0.25%-points). Even looking beyond 2025, the Fed is now projecting higher inflation in both 2026 and 2027.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Has Best Week of the Year as Recession Fears Fade

Carson Wealth

Those numbers were the underpinning of a large upside surprise in July retail sales. And finally small cap stocks caught a bid, the Russell 2000 Index of small cap stocks climbing 2.5% Headline retail sales came in at 1.0% growth for the month versus expectations of 0.3%. versus a 0.2% consensus expectation. versus the S&P 500’s 1.6%

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Makes New All-Time High as Fed Goes Big

Carson Wealth

Beyond headline inflation, higher energy prices can even feed into core inflation numbers that the Fed typically focuses on. The Russell Mid Cap index rose over 4% during this period, while the Russell 2000 small cap index rose over 7%. An underrated factor here is lower energy prices.

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Market Commentary: The Rally Continued

Carson Wealth

On Tuesday, the Russell 2000 Index, which is composed of small-caps, gained nearly 5.4%, marking one of its best days ever. Also, the number of NYSE stocks on the rise surged, which is exactly what was needed for the next phase of this bull market to continue.