2016

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Normal Accidents

The Irrelevant Investor

The S&P 500 is about to wrap up its eight consecutive year of positive returns. If this continues into next year, it would match the longest streak of all-time. For some context, in the nine years from 1991-1999, the S&P 500 gained 450%; In the recent 8 year period, the S&P 500 is up 193%. In addition to strong performance from U.S. stocks, you've probably noticed that international stocks haven't been keeping up.

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TEDxWilmington | Jump to the New S Curve: Unleash the Power of Inclusion

Brown Advisory

TEDxWilmington | Jump to the New S Curve: Unleash the Power of Inclusion. ajackson. Mon, 12/05/2016 - 07:33. Speaker: Dune Thorne. Dune Thorne explores the statistic that 70% of high school valedictorians are girls yet 4% of S&P CEOs are women. How can businesses be more supportive of women and gender diversity? Dune illustrates the “S curve” as a potential solution and discusses the need for a new approach and a new conversation—which can benefit women and benefit businesses.

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Rationally Irrational

The Irrelevant Investor

Human beings do not do well with decisions. Whether we're wrestling with who to start in fantasy football, which line to get on at the store, which stock to buy, or even what to choose from on a dinner menu, there are certain glitches in our brain that are really hard to avoid. We anchor to meaningless numbers, we make decisions that will minimize potential regret, we use information that comes to mind immediately, and we use simple rules of thumb.

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Mindless Investing Slays Another Giant

The Irrelevant Investor

Odey Asset Management, a London hedge fund which was seeded by George Soros in 1991, is having a rough year. The fund has lost nearly half its value, because "Passive investing has taken money which typically would have been in the bond market and deposited it in the equity market." I cannot imagine how an investor feels after reading this. This is on the same are you f*king kidding me level as when Bernstein claimed indexes were worse for society than Marxism.

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8 Ways to Torture Your CFO

The office of the CFO is rapidly evolving, with more and more demands being placed upon the finance and accounting team each year. Join us in this webinar, where we share 8 things to NOT do when it comes to helping the CFO office advance in supporting the business. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how best to support an organization's finance leadership.

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Self-Examination

The Irrelevant Investor

Richard Feynman once said "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself – and you are the easiest person to fool." This is true in all walks of life- we think we're better looking than we really are, we think we're smarter, better drivers, better parents, and better children. Of all the places that self-deception exists, investing has to top the list.

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Even With Perfect Information

The Irrelevant Investor

Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal recently had Victgor Haghani, co-founder of LTCM and CEO of Elm Partners Management, on the Odd Lots podcast. Haghani told a story about an experiment he did in which subjects were given a loaded coin. They were told that the coin will land on heads 60% of the time. The subjects were given half an hour to flip the coins and there was real money on the line.

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Aaron Brooks and Saving Money

The Irrelevant Investor

Ben Carlson recently wrote about the parallels between dieting and personal finance. In both cases, we know exactly what we're supposed to do, but just knowing is not nearly enough. Our brains function in such a way that sometimes it helps to completely remove our mind from the equation. Other times we have to introduce a barrier to the way we think.

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Don’t Fear the Reaper

The Irrelevant Investor

In a recent Bloomberg article, Luke Kawa writes how investors are positioning themselves as interest rates rise: Cumulative inflows into the iShares Short Maturity Bond ETF (NEAR), Floating Rate Bond ETF, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Short Term High Yield Bond ETF, PowerShares Senior Loan Portfolio , and the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF topped $400 million in total for the first session of the week, the highest since the inception date of the most recent member of this product group.

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Use the MACD, And Moving Average Indicators To Perfection!

The Irrelevant Investor

This was the subject line of an email that came into my inbox tonight and it's something I've been thinking about for a while. No, not how to use MACD to perfection, but how investors think about signals and indicators. A few weeks ago I was riding the subway, when after a minute or two of sitting at a station, on came the dreaded “we are delayed due to train traffic ahead of us.

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TEDxWilmington | Why Investing in Public Education is So Risky

Brown Advisory

TEDxWilmington | Why Investing in Public Education is So Risky. ajackson. Mon, 12/05/2016 - 08:20. Speaker: Atnre Alleyne. Atnre Alleyne talks about our track record of investing in the right thing - and the wrong thing, using Solyndra, the Snuggie, and the movie "Moneyball" as examples. We’ve got to think differently. To advance we need to reconsider our investments and disrupt the inequitable system.

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How to Streamline Payment Applications & Lien Waivers Through Innovative Construction Technology

Speaker: Dylan Secrest, Founder of Alamo Innovation and Construction Digital Transformation Consultant

Construction payment workflows are notoriously complex when you consider juggling multiple stakeholders, compliance requirements, and evolving project scopes. Delays in approvals or misaligned data between budgets, lien waivers, and pay applications can grind progress to a halt. The good news? It doesn't have to be this way! Join expert Dylan Secrest to discover how leading contractors are turning payment chaos into clarity using digital workflows, integrated systems, and automation strategies.

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TEDxWilmington | Better Health, Lower Cost—Absolutely!

Brown Advisory

TEDxWilmington | Better Health, Lower Cost—Absolutely! ajackson. Mon, 12/05/2016 - 09:12. Speaker: Janice Nevin, M.D., MPH. Janice Nevin shares her family’s story of caring for her terminally ill father - and the significant challenges they faced despite their collective expertise. She contrasts this with the more common challenges faced by other patients who are less advantaged.

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The Permanent Portfolio

The Irrelevant Investor

For the last 35 years, the classic 60/40 portfolio returned 10.5% a year. It's hard to imagine that these results will be matched over the next 35 years, which has a lot of people looking to alternative ways of managing a portfolio. Today I'm going to examine one of these alternatives, the "Permanent Portfolio," which was outlined in William Bernstein's "Deep Risk" (and elsewhere).

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Making More From Less

Brown Advisory

Making More From Less. achen. Tue, 11/29/2016 - 14:44. The directors at many nonprofits today are finding that, by some measures, working for the common good has never been so tough. The budget gap for nonprofits has widened because of a slump in their three sources of funds—donations, grants and portfolio returns. Charitable giving to foundations in 2015 shrank 3.8% from the previous year to $42.3 billion, according to Giving USA. 1 Also, from fiscal year 2009 until fiscal year 2016, federal ag

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Mental Scar Tissue

The Irrelevant Investor

The costliest mistake 2% investors make is timing the market. They sell after losses and buy back only when the coast is clear. The problem is not just the money you leave on the table this time, but these mistakes leave behind scar tissue that compounds in our brains. It doesn't take long before we're unable to think objectively. Rather than viewing a buy/sell decision as independent from all others, we think about the outcome of previous mistakes and the regret we felt after buying or selling

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Your Accounting Expertise Will Only Get You So Far: What Really Matters

Speaker: Victor C. Barnes, CPA, MBA

In the climb from contributor to leader, the rules quietly change. If you’re aiming for the summit, the air gets thinner—and what got you here won’t be enough to get you to the top (a concept first popularized by Marshall Goldsmith in his book What Got You Here Won’t Get You There ). What made you successful early in your finance career—technical accuracy, sharp analysis, flawless execution—won’t be what carries you to the next level.

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This Is Not Bearish

The Irrelevant Investor

The S&P 500 just made an all-time high for the 11th time this year, and the 1134th time since 1928. Today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed 19,000 for the first time ever. The natural inclination is that now might not be the best time to put new money to work. The data doesn't support this, at least not in the short term. The table below shows that average returns six months and one year following an all-time high has been stronger compared with all other days.

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When History Suddenly Becomes Irrelevant

The Irrelevant Investor

"The fact that something so unthinkable could occur has had a lasting impact on my view of life and on investing in particular" - Peter Bernstein I'm extremely proud of the event we put on this week, the Evidence-Based Investing conference. There were a lot of like-minded investors in the room and on the stage, so we ended the day with a panel called "The Limitations of Evidence.

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Making Sense When There is No Sense to be Made

The Irrelevant Investor

Our brains were built to save us from ourselves. We misremember the past and pretend we can predict the future. We're able to make sense of things when there is no sense to be made. Here's an example- I was staying at a hotel a few weeks ago in San Diego and I walked into the shop to get some sunscreen. I was going to speak onstage the next day and I burn faster than most people.

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My Portfolio

The Irrelevant Investor

I tweeted this last night as stock market futures were down around 5%. [link] I got a lot of feedback on this, mostly positive, but some decidedly negative, sprinkled in with a little name calling. A lot gets lost in a tweet like this so I want to make a few things clear. Aside from six months of living expenses I have in cash, the rest of my money is 100% invested in the global stock market.

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How To Overcome Change Fatigue In Finance With Neuroscience-Backed Strategies

Speaker: Kim Beynon, CPA, CGMA, PMP

The most overlooked, yet most critical, element of transformation is preparing people for change. Automation and AI aren't just technical upgrades, they’re cultural shifts which can challenge identities. That’s why change management isn’t a side project—it’s the foundation. In finance, where precision and process rule, navigating change can feel especially disruptive.

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What Is Democracy?

The Irrelevant Investor

Will Durant answered this question so eloquently in The Lessons of History- I thought tonight would be an appropriate time to review the words he wrote half a century ago. "Democracy is the most difficult of all forms of government, since it requires the widest spread of intelligence, and we forgot to make ourselves intelligent when we made ourselves sovereign.

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Commanding Heights: Amazon, Microsoft Expand Profits in the Cloud

Brown Advisory

Commanding Heights: Amazon, Microsoft Expand Profits in the Cloud achen Tue, 11/08/2016 - 10:54 Amazon and Microsoft have expanded their market share and strengthened their dominance of cloud computing in much the same way that mainframe manufacturers came to rule their sector 50 years ago. The two companies in the most recent quarter boosted earnings and increased profits from the sale of computing power and data storage via the Internet by stepping up sales of sophisticated software, data anal

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Commanding Heights: Amazon, Microsoft Expand Profits in the Cloud

Brown Advisory

Commanding Heights: Amazon, Microsoft Expand Profits in the Cloud. achen. Tue, 11/08/2016 - 10:54. Amazon and Microsoft have expanded their market share and strengthened their dominance of cloud computing in much the same way that mainframe manufacturers came to rule their sector 50 years ago. The two companies in the most recent quarter boosted earnings and increased profits from the sale of computing power and data storage via the Internet by stepping up sales of sophisticated software, data a

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Living In Multiple Timeframes

The Irrelevant Investor

Stocks always have a positive expected return. With the passage of time however, these expected returns turn into realized returns and obviously they're not always positive. We just can't know what the market will deliver, so it's best to plan and prepare for a wide range of outcomes. This range is determined by a number of factors, including but not limited to the business cycle, valuations, interest rates, inflation, and the collective mood of millions of investors.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks

Brown Advisory

Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks achen Fri, 10/28/2016 - 11:25 Why Have High Dividend Yielding Sectors Done Well This Year? Reach for yield. In response to weak nominal growth, central banks have maintained accommodative monetary policies, pushing interest rates to historic lows. Given this low-yield environment, investors have flocked to stocks that yield more than traditional U.S.

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Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks

Brown Advisory

Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks. achen. Fri, 10/28/2016 - 11:25. Why Have High Dividend Yielding Sectors Done Well This Year? Reach for yield. In response to weak nominal growth, central banks have maintained accommodative monetary policies, pushing interest rates to historic lows. Given this low-yield environment, investors have flocked to stocks that yield more than traditional U.S.

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Please, Give Me a Break

The Irrelevant Investor

2016 got off to a volatile start, it felt like every day was either up or down one percent. In fact, when I made this chart on March 11th, 28 of the first 46 days of the year fit this criteria. Now seven months later, that number has fallen off a cliff, collapsing to just 22%. And just as we all thought would happen, volatility vanished as we got closer to the election.

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Here’s Why Technical Analysis Gets a Bad Rap

The Irrelevant Investor

There are a lot of people who don't believe in the merits of technical analysis. It doesn't make sense to them that you can look at past price movements and determine future price movements. If stock prices are driven by earnings, how can a chart provide any insight? Well, yea, stocks are driven by earnings in the long-run, but in the short-run they’re driven by sentiment, which can be observed by measuring supply and demand.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Investment Perspectives | Seeking Yield

Brown Advisory

Investment Perspectives | Seeking Yield achen Tue, 10/18/2016 - 11:03 Late September announcements by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) underscore that today’s extraordinarily low interest rates are likely to persist for some time to come. The Fed’s decision to leave rates unchanged means that its quarter-point hike in December 2015 stands as the only increase in more than 10 years despite significant economic progress over the period.

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Investment Perspectives | Seeking Yield

Brown Advisory

Investment Perspectives | Seeking Yield. achen. Tue, 10/18/2016 - 11:03. Late September announcements by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) underscore that today’s extraordinarily low interest rates are likely to persist for some time to come. The Fed’s decision to leave rates unchanged means that its quarter-point hike in December 2015 stands as the only increase in more than 10 years despite significant economic progress over the period.

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When Hitler Took Cocaine and Lenin Lost His Brain

The Irrelevant Investor

A good litmus test for whether or not I enjoyed a book is to go back and see how often I marked it up. This one passes the test, my pen got a lot of exercise during the reading of Giles Milton's When Hitler Took Cocaine and Lenin Lost His Brain. I'd guess just 10% of the writing I do in the margins are words and thoughts, the other 90% are stars and underlines.

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Genius Does Not Always Understand Itself

The Irrelevant Investor

Today on The Halftime Report's fifth anniversary show, legendary investor Carl Icahn was asked for his thoughts about the market. At one point he says that he looks for "things that are obvious, but not apparent." I thought this was an interesting sound bite, but what does that really even mean? While many of the best investors are able to clearly communicate their philosophy, many of the investors that have earned their legendary status might not be able to get to the root of what drove their

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.